Predictions → Portugal Primeira Liga

Moreirense vs Maritimo

Moreirense
3:1
Full Time · 14 Sep 2026
Maritimo

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 73% 34.6% @2.87 — 33.8% +0.8 pp ✅
Double Chance 1X 68% 68.1% @1.50 — 64% +4.1 pp ✅
BTTS No 80% 48% @1.79 — 51.8% -3.8 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81% 48.5% @1.64 — 59% -10.5 pp ❌
Correct Score 1-0 67% 10% @7.50 — 5.7% +4.3 pp ❌
Draw (value pick) Draw 71% 31.3% @3.17 — 30.3% +1 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Under 9.5 82% 71% @1.49 — 62.4% +8.6 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Moreirense 1.06 – 0.99 Maritimo · expected total 2.05

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Moreirense

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Maritimo

Winless 6
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Primeira Liga

Moreirense

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Maritimo

Best BTTS rate (83%) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Rank among 18 Primeira Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Moreirense at home · Maritimo away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Moreirense (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2

Maritimo (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Moreirense (home)Maritimo (away)
W 1
D 1
L 2
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
1.80
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
2
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Moreirense

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09/10 GIL Vicente Home 0–1 L
20/09 Vitória SC Away 1–1 D
14/09 Maritimo Home 3–1 W
09/09 Benfica Home 0–4 L
04/09 FC Porto Away 1–2 L

Maritimo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 FC Porto Home 1–2 L
19/09 GIL Vicente Away 1–1 D
14/09 Moreirense Away 1–3 L
05/09 Benfica Home 0–3 L
29/08 Arouca Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison — Primeira Liga

Moreirense #12 · 8 pts —  Maritimo #11 · 8 pts

Moreirense

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–4L
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards21
Red cards1
xG for (avg)0.79
xG against (avg)1.03
Corners for (avg)1.60
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Maritimo

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–4L
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards14
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.36
xG against (avg)0.95
Corners for (avg)3.60
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
MoreirenseMaritimo
W 2
D 2
L 4
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.90
1.80
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
3
1
Yellow cards
21
14
Red cards
1
0
xG for (avg)
0.79
0.36
xG against (avg)
1.03
0.95
Corners for (avg)
1.60
3.60
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Moreirense

1
0-15
1
1
16-30
5
3
31-45
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
76-90
2
scored conceded

Maritimo

3
0-15
3
16-30
3
3
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
2
3
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Primeira Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws