Predictions → Spain Segunda División

Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC

Burgos
3:1
Full Time · 11 Sep 2026
AD Ceuta FC

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 85% 57.4% @1.65 — 61% -3.6 pp ✅
Double Chance 1X 80% 83.9% @1.14 — 84.7% -0.8 pp ✅
BTTS No 88% 62.4% @1.79 — 51.8% +10.6 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 89% 63.5% @1.81 — 53.6% +9.9 pp ❌
Correct Score 1-0 82% 18.2% @5.00 — 7.9% +10.3 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 82% 84.2% @2.47 — 37.6% +46.6 pp ❌

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Burgos

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

AD Ceuta FC

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Segunda División

Burgos

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

AD Ceuta FC

2nd worst defence (2.20 conceded/game) Best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 22 Segunda División teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Burgos at home · AD Ceuta FC away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Burgos (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–0L
W 3
D 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

AD Ceuta FC (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–3L
D 1
L 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)3.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Burgos (home)AD Ceuta FC (away)
W 3
D 1
D 1
L 3
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
2.30
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
3.00
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Burgos

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03/10 Almeria Away 1–2 L
27/09 Eldense Home 1–0 W
20/09 Las Palmas Away 2–1 W
11/09 AD Ceuta FC Home 3–1 W
06/09 Oviedo Away 0–0 D

AD Ceuta FC

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Sabadell Home 1–2 L
04/10 Castellón Away 1–1 D
26/09 Real Sociedad II Home 3–1 W
20/09 Valladolid Home 1–1 D
11/09 Burgos Away 1–3 L

📊 Season Comparison — Segunda División

Burgos #8 · 14 pts —  AD Ceuta FC #21 · 5 pts

Burgos

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–2L
W 4
D 2
L 2
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards20
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.60
xG against (avg)0.48
Corners for (avg)4.00
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

AD Ceuta FC

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–6L
W 1
D 2
L 6
Played9
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)2.20
Clean sheets0
Failed to score3
Yellow cards20
Red cards2
xG for (avg)0.21
xG against (avg)0.46
Corners for (avg)6.30
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
BurgosAD Ceuta FC
W 4
D 2
L 2
W 1
D 2
L 6
Played
8
9
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
2.20
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
2
3
Yellow cards
20
20
Red cards
0
2
xG for (avg)
0.60
0.21
xG against (avg)
0.48
0.46
Corners for (avg)
4.00
6.30
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Burgos

3
0-15
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

AD Ceuta FC

1
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
31-45
4
46-60
2
3
61-75
1
5
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Segunda División predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws