Predictions → Spain Segunda División

Burgos vs Eldense

Burgos
1:0
Full Time · 27 Sep 2026
Eldense

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 81% 49.4% @2.06 — 47.9% +1.5 pp ✅
Double Chance 1X 79% 82.9% @1.26 — 76.4% +6.5 pp ✅
BTTS No 83% 53.3% @1.82 — 50.8% +2.5 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 83% 52.1% @1.70 — 56.4% -4.3 pp ✅
Correct Score 1-0 76% 14.8% @5.50 — 7.2% +7.6 pp ✅
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 63% 54.4% @2.05 — 44.6% +9.8 pp ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Burgos 1.45 – 0.60 Eldense · expected total 2.05

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Burgos

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Eldense

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Burgos at home · Eldense away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Burgos (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–1L
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Eldense (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–3L
W 1
L 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Burgos (home)Eldense (away)
W 3
D 1
L 1
W 1
L 3
Played
5
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
0.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.30
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
1
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Burgos

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
12/10 Granada CF Home 0–1 L
03/10 Almeria Away 1–2 L
27/09 Eldense Home 1–0 W
20/09 Las Palmas Away 2–1 W
11/09 AD Ceuta FC Home 3–1 W

Eldense

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Cordoba Home 2–1 W
02/10 Oviedo Home 4–1 W
27/09 Burgos Away 0–1 L
19/09 Eibar Home 1–2 L
13/09 Sporting Gijon Away 1–0 W

📊 Season Comparison — Segunda División

Burgos #8 · 14 pts —  Eldense #14 · 11 pts

Burgos

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–3L
W 4
D 2
L 3
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards24
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.60
xG against (avg)0.48
Corners for (avg)4.00
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Eldense

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–4L
W 3
D 2
L 4
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Yellow cards18
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.77
xG against (avg)0.89
Corners for (avg)6.70
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0
BurgosEldense
W 4
D 2
L 3
W 3
D 2
L 4
Played
9
9
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.20
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
3
4
Yellow cards
24
18
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
0.60
0.77
xG against (avg)
0.48
0.89
Corners for (avg)
4.00
6.70
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
3/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Burgos

3
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

Eldense

3
0-15
1
16-30
3
31-45
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
1
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Segunda División predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws