Predictions → Spain Segunda División

Leganes vs Castellón

Leganes
0:2
Full Time · 28 Sep 2026
Castellón

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Away 78% 40.2% @2.28 — 43% -2.8 pp ✅
Double Chance X2 71% 71.3% @1.36 — 70.4% +0.9 pp ✅
BTTS Yes 81% 49.7% @1.62 — 57.1% -7.4 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81% 49.4% @1.84 — 52.2% -2.8 pp ❌
Correct Score 0-1 65% 8.5% @7.00 — 5.6% +2.9 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Under 9.5 63% 53.8% @1.78 — 52.5% +1.3 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Leganes 1.05 – 1.47 Castellón · expected total 2.51

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Leganes

Lost 3 in a row Winless 3
BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
1/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Castellón

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Segunda División

Leganes

2nd worst attack (0.70 goals/game) 2nd worst BTTS rate (17%)

Castellón

3rd best attack (1.70 goals/game) Best defence (0.40 conceded/game) 2nd best clean sheets (5)

Rank among 22 Segunda División teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Leganes at home · Castellón away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Leganes (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–1L
W 2
L 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Castellón (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–0D–1L
W 4
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Leganes (home)Castellón (away)
W 2
L 1
W 4
L 1
Played
3
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
0.60
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Leganes

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11/10 Almeria Away 0–3 L
03/10 Cadiz Away 0–4 L
28/09 Castellón Home 0–2 L
20/09 Granada CF Home 3–2 W
13/09 Tenerife Away 0–2 L

Castellón

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11/10 FC Andorra Away 0–1 L
04/10 AD Ceuta FC Home 1–1 D
28/09 Leganes Away 2–0 W
19/09 Tenerife Home 5–0 W
12/09 Girona Away 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison — Segunda División

Leganes #16 · 11 pts —  Castellón #3 · 20 pts

Leganes

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–4L
W 3
D 2
L 4
Played9
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets3
Failed to score5
Yellow cards24
Red cards1
xG for (avg)0.45
xG against (avg)0.87
Corners for (avg)3.70
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1

Castellón

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–2D–1L
W 6
D 2
L 1
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)0.40
Clean sheets5
Failed to score2
Yellow cards17
Red cards1
xG for (avg)1.96
xG against (avg)1.04
Corners for (avg)5.00
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
LeganesCastellón
W 3
D 2
L 4
W 6
D 2
L 1
Played
9
9
Goals scored (avg)
0.70
1.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.60
0.40
Clean sheets
3
5
Failed to score
5
2
Yellow cards
24
17
Red cards
1
1
xG for (avg)
0.45
1.96
xG against (avg)
0.87
1.04
Corners for (avg)
3.70
5.00
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/1
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Leganes

1
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
31-45
5
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Castellón

2
0-15
4
16-30
3
31-45
1
46-60
3
61-75
2
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Segunda División predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws