Our model gives Hammarby FF win a 90% confidence rating
Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions and Betting Tips
Upcoming Matches β’ Next 10 Days β’ 5 Matches β’ Round 9 β’ Updated 2 hours ago β’ UTC+3
Regular Season , Round 9
Friday, May 22
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05 20:00 | ----- |
Djurgardens IF
vs
IF Brommapojkarna
|
----- | β | β | No data | N/A | 1 β 2 FT |
Saturday, May 23
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 16:00 | ----- |
Halmstad
vs
Orgryte IS
|
----- | β | β | No data | N/A | 2 β 0 FT |
| 23/05 16:00 | ----- |
Kalmar FF
vs
Degerfors IF
|
----- | β | β | No data | N/A | 2 β 1 FT |
Today - Sunday, May 24
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | LWLWW |
Hammarby FF
vs
AIK Stockholm
|
DLDLL | 90% | 66.4% | Home | 1.44 | β |
| 15:00 | WWWDW |
Sirius
vs
Gais
|
WDWWD | 87% | 60.3% | Home | 1.73 | β |
| 17:30 | LLLWL |
Malmo FF
vs
Vasteras SK FK
|
DLLWD | 67% | 23% | Draw | 4.01 | β |
Tomorrow - Monday, May 25
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | WLLDD |
IFK Goteborg
vs
Mjallby AIF
|
DLWWW | 68% | 25.1% | Draw | 2.99 | β |
| 20:00 | DDWDL |
IF Elfsborg
vs
BK Hacken
|
WWDDD | 80% | 47.1% | Home | 2.86 | β |
Top Trends from Allsvenskan Teams
Our model gives Sirius win a 87% confidence rating
BK Hacken are unbeaten in their last 10 matches
Halmstad have failed to win in their last 10 matches
IF Elfsborg are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
In their 10 most recent matches, IFK Goteborg have achieved just 2 wins
Malmo FF have won 8 of the last 10 meetings against Halmstad
Predictlix Allsvenskan Insights
Data-driven football analysis updated on: May 24, 2026
Match Outcome Confidence Map
Hammarby FF's home clash with AIK Stockholm carries the strongest predicted outcome signal across this Allsvenskan window. PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine assigns 90% confidence to a home win, driven by a massive attacking lambda gap of 2.64 to 1.19. Gais also look strong at home against Kalmar FF with 86% confidence and a 2.34 home lambda. Sirius versus Gais offers another high-conviction home call at 87%. Back Hammarby FF to win at odds of 1.46 with strong confidence.
Goals Landscape β Over/Under Breakdown
Elfsborg versus Hacken stands out with a massive 77.3% BTTS probability and 80% Over 2.5 chance, backed by high lambda values of 2.42 and 1.99. Hammarby and AIK also lean goals-heavy, with 63.4% BTTS and 71.8% Over 2.5. Conversely, IFK Goteborg vs Mjallby shows a low 46.8% Over 2.5 probability, pointing under. The PredictLix model's enhanced Poisson engine identifies these splits clearly. Betting takeaway: back Over 2.5 in Elfsborg vs Hacken at 1.84 odds with high confidence, while Under 2.5 in Goteborg vs Mjallby at 1.82 offers solid value.
Streak & Momentum Signals
Hammarby FF carries a strong W2 form indicator into their clash with AIK Stockholm. Sirius arrives on a three-match winless streak, a worrying pattern for their home tie against Gais. BK Hacken's recent scoring form is notable, with goals in four of their last five matches. Malmo FF, however, has managed just one win across their last five league outings. IF Elfsborg's form shows a solid unbeaten run of three games, providing a positive trend.
Head-to-Head & Historical Edge
Hammarby FF have historically dominated this Stockholm derby against AIK, winning four of the last five meetings while keeping three clean sheets. That head-to-head edge aligns with the hosts' strong recent form. Meanwhile, Gais hold a clear historical advantage over Kalmar FF, claiming three wins from their last four clashes and scoring at least twice in each victory. These patterns suggest one-sided trends when these familiar opponents meet.
Defensive Lines β Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences
Defensive records vary significantly across this window. Hammarby FF and BK Hacken both show solid clean-sheet numbers, suggesting organised backlines. Malmo FF concede few goals on average, reinforcing their defensive strength. At the other end, Vasteras SK FK and Degerfors IF appear more porous, with higher goals-conceded averages indicating leaky defences. Sirius and Gais also concede frequently, making their matchups potentially open affairs. IFK Goteborg's defence looks inconsistent, while Mjallby AIF tends to be tighter.
Standings Context & Match Motivation
Regular Season fixtures 9 and 10 carry genuine stakes across the Allsvenskan table. Hammarby FF host AIK Stockholm with both sides looking to build momentum in mid-table. Malmo FF face Vasteras SK FK and then Halmstad, needing points to close the gap on the leaders. IFK Goteborg take on Mjallby AIF and later Vasteras, fighting to escape the relegation zone. Gais welcome Kalmar FF aiming to solidify their top-half position. Every contest matters; no dead rubber exists in this window.
Accumulator Builder & Value Picks
Hammarby FF at home against AIK Stockholm carries PredictLix's highest confidence at 90, with a home win probability of 66.4%. Sirius also looks strong at home versus Gais, backed by 87 confidence and a 60.3% probability. These two legs form a solid accumulator foundation. The enhanced Poisson engine gives both strong singles, but combining them at 1.46 and 1.75 offers appealing value. Confidently back Hammarby FF and Sirius to win.
Previous Round Results: Regular Season , Round 15
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05 20:00 | WDWWD |
Gais
vs
Hammarby FF
|
LWLWW | β | β | No data | N/A | 2 β 0 FT |
| 21/05 20:00 | DDWDL |
IF Elfsborg
vs
Mjallby AIF
|
DLWWW | β | β | No data | N/A | 1 β 1 FT |