Sweden Allsvenskan Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions

Upcoming Matches β€’ Next 20 Days β€’ 8 Matches β€’ Round 24 β€’ Updated 57 minutes ago β€’ UTC+3

Value bets in Allsvenskan: 2 bets Β· 50% win Β· profit +$36.08 (ΒΌ-Kelly stakes) Full portfolio β†’

Regular Season, Round 24

Friday, October 16

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
20:00 WLLWL
IF Brommapojkarna IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF Djurgardens IF
LWWWW 81% 48.8% Under 2.5 2.45 β€”

Saturday, October 17

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
18:30 LLDLD
AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg
WLWWW 83% 52.7% Over 2.5 1.60 β€”

Sunday, October 18

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
15:00 WDWWW
Sirius Sirius vs IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg
WWLWD 85% 56.4% Over 2.5 1.70 β€”
15:00 LLWWL
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF
DLLDD 85% 57.7% Under 2.5 2.09 β€”
17:30 LWDWW
Malmo FF Malmo FF vs BK Hacken BK Hacken
WDDLW 85% 56.7% Over 2.5 1.60 β€”
17:30 WLLWW
Halmstad Halmstad vs Hammarby FF Hammarby FF
WWDLW 85% 55.8% Under 2.5 2.88 β€”
17:30 LLDLD
Orgryte IS Orgryte IS vs Gais Gais
LWLDW 83% 53.1% Under 2.5 2.30 β€”

Monday, October 19

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
20:00 DDLLW
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF Kalmar FF
LLLLD 84% 55.4% Under 2.5 N/A β€”
πŸ“‘

AI Prediction Accuracy β€” Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β€” wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

113 matches analysed Updated Oct 11, 2026 Full record β€” wins and losses β†’ Value bets β†’
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
38.1% 43/113
⚽ Both Teams to Score
57.5% 65/113
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5
52.2% 59/113
πŸ”’ Correct Score
8.0% 9/113
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance
71.7% 81/113
πŸ“ Corners Over/Under
51.4% 57/111
🀝 Draw Predictions
18.6% 8/43

Recent Form β€” Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 50.0% 10/20
⚽ Both Teams to Score 55.0% 11/20
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5 45.0% 9/20
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance 75.0% 15/20

Probability Calibration β€” Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% 47.2% 37.8% 37
Match Result (1X2) Β· 70-79% 74.0% 100.0% 1
Match Result (1X2) Β· 60-69% 64.6% 71.4% 7
Match Result (1X2) Β· 80+% 80.7% 100.0% 1
Both Teams to Score Β· <60% 52.8% 62.5% 40
Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% 63.5% 33.3% 6
Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% 52.4% 51.4% 37
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% 63.9% 37.5% 8
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 70-79% 70.2% 0.0% 1
Correct Score Β· <60% 11.1% 10.9% 46
Double Chance Β· 70-79% 75.1% 75.8% 33
Double Chance Β· 80+% 83.2% 81.8% 11
Double Chance Β· 60-69% 69.4% 50.0% 2
Corners Over/Under Β· 70-79% 75.1% 50.0% 4
Corners Over/Under Β· 60-69% 64.8% 45.5% 11
Corners Over/Under Β· 80+% 85.7% 50.0% 6
Corners Over/Under Β· <60% 54.8% 40.0% 25
Draw Predictions Β· <60% 27.7% 14.3% 7

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 23

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
09/10 20:00 WLWWW
IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
LLWWL 86% 58.2% Over 2.5 ❌ N/A 1 – 0 FT
10/10 16:00 LLDLD
AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna IF Brommapojkarna
WLLWL 81% 49.4% Over 2.5 βœ… @1.64 5 – 6 FT
10/10 16:00 LWLDW
Gais Gais vs Sirius Sirius
WDWWW 81% 48.3% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.76 0 – 1 FT
10/10 18:30 DLLDD
Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
DDLLW 83% 53.4% Under 2.5 βœ… N/A 1 – 1 FT
11/10 15:00 WWDLW
Hammarby FF Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF Djurgardens IF
LWWWW 81% 49.6% Over 2.5 ❌ N/A 0 – 1 FT
11/10 17:30 WDDLW
BK Hacken BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS Orgryte IS
LLDLD 82% 51.2% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 3 – 0 FT