Predictions → Argentina Liga Profesional

Banfield vs Atletico Tucuman

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Mon, 09 Nov 2026 • 00:00 UTC+3 • Clausura - 16 • Estadio Florencio Sola • ☀️ 18.5°C, 4 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available39.6% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available74.4% —
BTTS No Current price not available63.4% · Yes 36.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available72.2% · Over 27.8% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available15.4% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.9 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available54.9% · Over 45.1% —

🧠 Match Preview

Banfield · Home

Banfield have drawn three of their last five, including 1-1 at home to Lanus and 1-1 at home to Rosario Central, and failed to score only once in that run. Their recent xG for of 0.94 sits close to a model expected goals figure of 1.04, suggesting a modest but repeatable attacking floor.

Atletico Tucuman · Away

Atletico Tucuman lost three of their last five and failed to score in the 0-1 defeat at Aldosivi, with a recent xG for of just 0.54. Their only win in that stretch was 1-0 at Tigre, so their away scoring has been thin.

Banfield edge a tight home case

The latest head-to-head, on 26 Apr 2026, finished 1-1, while the 2024 meeting in Banfield also ended 1-1, so this pairing has recently stayed level. Banfield's home draws of 1-1 against Lanus and 1-1 against Rosario Central show they keep matches close without running away with them. Atletico Tucuman's recent xG for of 0.54 and their 0-1 loss at Aldosivi point to limited away output. The evidence supports Banfield win.

Published 31 Oct 2026 22:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Banfield 1.04 – 0.79 Atletico Tucuman · expected total 1.83

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Banfield

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.94
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.92
Elo strength rating1466

Atletico Tucuman

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.54
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.37
Elo strength rating1341
BanfieldAtletico Tucuman
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.30
1.10
Best league winning streak this season
2
3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.94
0.54
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.92
1.37
Elo strength rating
1466
1341

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Banfield

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Atletico Tucuman

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Liga Profesional

Banfield

Best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Atletico Tucuman

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 30 Liga Profesional teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Banfield at home · Atletico Tucuman away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Banfield (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–5D–5L
W 5
D 5
L 5
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets4
Failed to score4

Atletico Tucuman (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–2D–8L
W 5
D 2
L 8
Played15
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets5
Failed to score3
Banfield (home)Atletico Tucuman (away)
W 5
D 5
L 5
W 5
D 2
L 8
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.10
Clean sheets
4
5
Failed to score
4
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
15.41%
2–0
8.74%
2–1
6.88%
3–0
3.04%
3–1
2.4%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Atletico Tucuman 2 wins · 5 draws · Banfield 3 wins · avg 1.7 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10

2
5
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
27 Apr 2026 Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Banfield Liga Profesional Argentina
21 Jul 2024 Banfield 1–1 Atletico Tucuman Liga Profesional Argentina
07 Mar 2024 Atletico Tucuman 0–3 Banfield Copa de la Liga Profesional
16 Oct 2023 Banfield 0–0 Atletico Tucuman Copa de la Liga Profesional
05 Mar 2023 Atletico Tucuman 1–0 Banfield Liga Profesional Argentina
06 Sep 2022 Atletico Tucuman 0–0 Banfield Liga Profesional Argentina
10 May 2022 Banfield 1–1 Atletico Tucuman Liga Profesional Argentina
26 Sep 2021 Banfield 2–0 Atletico Tucuman Liga Profesional Argentina
15 Dec 2020 Atletico Tucuman 0–2 Banfield Liga Profesional Argentina
19 Oct 2019 Banfield 1–2 Atletico Tucuman Liga Profesional Argentina

📈 Recent Form

Banfield

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24/10 Lanus Home 1–1 D
17/10 Argentinos JRS Home 0–1 L
11/10 Tigre Away 2–1 W
06/10 Rosario Central Home 1–1 D
19/09 Gimnasia L.P. Away 2–2 D
15/09 Barracas Central Home 1–1 D
05/09 Aldosivi Away 1–3 L
30/08 River Plate Home 2–3 L
23/08 Newells Old Boys Away 1–2 L
15/08 Racing Club Away 1–0 W

Atletico Tucuman

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24/10 Tigre Away 1–0 W
18/10 Rosario Central Home 2–3 L
10/10 Gimnasia L.P. Away 1–1 D
03/10 Barracas Central Home 2–3 L
21/09 Aldosivi Away 0–1 L
12/09 River Plate Home 1–2 L
07/09 Racing Club Away 2–1 W
30/08 Belgrano Cordoba Home 0–0 D
22/08 Instituto Cordoba Home 0–0 D
17/08 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Away 1–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: Liga Profesional

Banfield

Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets6
Failed to score9
Yellow cards71
Red cards4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.94
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.92
Corners for (avg)3.50
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0

Atletico Tucuman

Played30
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets12
Failed to score9
Yellow cards71
Red cards6
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.54
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.37
Corners for (avg)3.80
Penalties (scored/missed)4/2
BanfieldAtletico Tucuman
Played
30
30
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.10
Clean sheets
6
12
Failed to score
9
9
Yellow cards
71
71
Red cards
4
6
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.94
0.54
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.92
1.37
Corners for (avg)
3.50
3.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
3/0
4/2

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Banfield

4
0-15
2
4
16-30
5
6
31-45
8
7
46-60
7
8
61-75
5
7
76-90
8
scored conceded

Atletico Tucuman

4
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
5
31-45
7
3
46-60
3
8
61-75
3
11
76-90
10
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Liga Profesional predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws