Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Mon, 09 Nov 2026 • 00:00 UTC+3 • Clausura - 16 • 🌧 12.1°C, 10 km/h, 1.8mm rain
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 46.3% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 82.2% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 71.2% · Yes 28.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 78.2% · Over 21.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 20% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~6.6 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 73.9% · Over 26.1% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Independiente · Home
Independiente have scored only 4 goals across their last 5 matches, failing to score twice, and their most recent home outing ended 0-1 against Boca Juniors. Their recent xG for of 0.76 over up to five recorded matches is modest, yet the model expected goals of 1.06 for this fixture is higher.
Deportivo Riestra · Away
Deportivo Riestra have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 and have 2 goals in that span, with no clean sheets. Their recent xG for of 1.06 over up to five recorded matches sits well above the model expected goals of 0.55 here.
Riestra's Scoring Drought
The latest H2H is a 2-0 Deportivo Riestra win, but the two meetings before it were 0-1 to Independiente and 0-0. Riestra's recent record shows 2 goals in 5 matches and 3 failures to score, including 0-3 and 0-1 losses. Independiente's 1-4 home defeat to Instituto Cordoba shows risk, yet the Under 2.5 and No BTTS picks fit a low-scoring home edge. The evidence supports Independiente win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:51 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Independiente 1.06 – 0.55 Deportivo Riestra · expected total 1.61
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Independiente
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Liga Profesional
Independiente
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Deportivo Riestra
Rank among 30 Liga Profesional teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Independiente at home · Deportivo Riestra away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Independiente (home)
Deportivo Riestra (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Deportivo Riestra 2 wins · 1 draw · Independiente 2 wins · avg 1.6 goals · BTTS in 1 of 5
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2026 | Deportivo Riestra | 2–0 | Independiente | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 11 Nov 2025 | Deportivo Riestra | 0–1 | Independiente | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 28 Apr 2025 | Independiente | 0–0 | Deportivo Riestra | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 06 Oct 2024 | Independiente | 3–1 | Deportivo Riestra | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 15 Mar 2024 | Deportivo Riestra | 1–0 | Independiente | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
📈 Recent Form
Independiente
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Boca Juniors | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 18/10 | Racing Club | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 12/10 | Talleres Cordoba | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 03/10 | Instituto Cordoba | Home | 1–4 | L |
| 19/09 | Union Santa Fe | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 14/09 | San Lorenzo | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 06/09 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 31/08 | Gimnasia M. | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 23/08 | Independ. Rivadavia | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 17/08 | Lanus | Away | 3–1 | W |
Deportivo Riestra
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Talleres Cordoba | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 27/10 | Instituto Cordoba | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 20/10 | Union Santa Fe | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 11/10 | San Lorenzo | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 05/10 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Gimnasia M. | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 15/09 | Lanus | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 05/09 | Platense | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 29/08 | Velez Sarsfield | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 23/08 | Huracan | Away | 0–0 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Liga Profesional
Independiente #5 · 24 pts · Deportivo Riestra #15 · 11 pts
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Liga Profesional predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws