Predictions β†’ Brazil Serie A

Remo vs RB Bragantino

Next match: Sun, 18 Oct 2026 β€’ 22:30 UTC+3 β€’ Round 31 β€’ EstΓ‘dio Evandro Almeida β€’ β˜€οΈ 28.6Β°C, 10 km/h clear

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Away 76% 34.7% 2.40 Betano 41% -6.3 pp
Double Chance 12 71% 71% 1.30 William Hill 73.5% -2.5 pp
BTTS Yes 84% 55.7% 1.70 William Hill 55.5% +0.2 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% 50.2% 1.88 1xBet 51.3% -1.1 pp
Correct Score 1-2 61% 6.3% 9.50 Bet365 5.3% +1 pp
Draw (value pick) Draw 58% 26.7% 3.57 1xBet 26.5% +0.2 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.9 exp.) Over 9.5 66% 56.9% 1.44 Betano 64.8% -7.9 pp

⚽ Model expected goals: Remo 1.60 – 1.50 RB Bragantino Β· expected total 3.09

🧠 Match Preview

Remo host RB Bragantino at EstΓ‘dio Evandro Almeida on Monday knowing the table tells a brutal story: 19th place with 25 points from 30 games against a Bragantino side sitting 9th on 40 points. The home side arrive on a DDLLL run, while the visitors have managed WDLLD, so neither camp is bursting with confidence, but the gap in class and points is real.

The model leans toward the away win at 34.7 percent, priced at 2.4, with a confidence reading of 76. Expected goals are almost level β€” 1.5963 for Remo and 1.4963 for Bragantino β€” though recent form xG dips to 1.34 and 1.32 respectively, hinting at a tighter, scrappier contest than the standings suggest. Both teams to score lands at 55.7 percent (odds 1.7), Over 2.5 at 50.2 percent (1.88), and corners look interesting with an expected 11.9 and Over 9.5 at 56.9 percent. The double chance covering 1 and 2 carries 71 percent.

The value question is straightforward: the away win at 2.4 against a 34.7 percent model probability is thin, so the draw at 26.7 percent and the correct score 1-2 at 6.3 percent (top score 8.13) are where the model quietly points. The honest caveat is the injury list β€” both squads are heavily depleted, and with Remo's home desperation and Bragantino's inconsistency, this is a fixture where the model's edge is modest and variance could easily bite.

Updated 16 Oct 2026, 04:11 UTC+3 β€” refreshed when the underlying data changes.

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Remo

Form (last 5)
DVasco DA Gama (A) 0–0 Β· 10/10/2026DGremio (H) 1–1 Β· 07/10/2026LSantos (H) 1–2 Β· 19/09/2026LBahia (A) 1–2 Β· 14/09/2026LFlamengo (H) 0–1 Β· 06/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.60
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.94
xG against (recent avg)1.39
Elo strength rating1327
Players out30

RB Bragantino

Form (last 5)
WCruzeiro (H) 4–2 Β· 13/10/2026DMirassol (H) 1–1 Β· 07/10/2026LAtletico-MG (A) 0–1 Β· 03/10/2026LFlamengo (A) 1–2 Β· 20/09/2026DBotafogo (A) 1–1 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Win streak (best this season)3
xG for (recent avg)0.92
xG against (recent avg)1.07
Elo strength rating1512
Players out26
RemoRB Bragantino
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.60
1.20
Win streak (best this season)
1
3
xG for (recent avg)
0.94
0.92
xG against (recent avg)
1.39
1.07
Elo strength rating
1327
1512
Players out
30
26

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Remo

Winless 10
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

RB Bragantino

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” Serie A

Remo

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

RB Bragantino

3rd best defence (1.20 conceded/game) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Remo at home Β· RB Bragantino away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Remo (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–6D–6L
W 3
D 6
L 6
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3

RB Bragantino (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–4D–7L
W 4
D 4
L 7
Played15
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score4
Remo (home)RB Bragantino (away)
W 3
D 6
L 6
W 4
D 4
L 7
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.20
Clean sheets
2
3
Failed to score
3
4

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–2
6.3%
0–1
4.4%
0–2
3.9%
1–3
3.1%
2–3
2.5%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

RB Bragantino 1 win Β· 0 draws Β· Remo 0 wins Β· avg 6 goals Β· BTTS in 1 of 1

1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
19 Apr 2026 RB Bragantino 4–2 Remo Serie A

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Remo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Vasco DA Gama Away 0–0 D
07/10 Gremio Home 1–1 D
19/09 Santos Home 1–2 L
14/09 Bahia Away 1–2 L
06/09 Flamengo Home 0–1 L

RB Bragantino

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
13/10 Cruzeiro Home 4–2 W
07/10 Mirassol Home 1–1 D
03/10 Atletico-MG Away 0–1 L
20/09 Flamengo Away 1–2 L
12/09 Botafogo Away 1–1 D

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” Serie A

Remo #19 Β· 25 pts β€”  RB Bragantino #9 Β· 40 pts

Remo

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–10D–15L
W 5
D 10
L 15
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets4
Failed to score10
Yellow cards62
Red cards5
xG for (avg)0.94
xG against (avg)1.39
Corners for (avg)5.90
Penalties (scored/missed)1/2

RB Bragantino

Wins–Draws–Losses11W–7D–12L
W 11
D 7
L 12
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets8
Failed to score7
Yellow cards79
Red cards5
xG for (avg)0.92
xG against (avg)1.07
Corners for (avg)6.10
Penalties (scored/missed)2/3
RemoRB Bragantino
W 5
D 10
L 15
W 11
D 7
L 12
Played
30
30
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.60
1.20
Clean sheets
4
8
Failed to score
10
7
Yellow cards
62
79
Red cards
5
5
xG for (avg)
0.94
0.92
xG against (avg)
1.39
1.07
Corners for (avg)
5.90
6.10
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/2
2/3

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Remo

3
0-15
5
9
16-30
3
8
31-45
5
10
46-60
8
4
61-75
4
12
76-90
10
scored conceded

RB Bragantino

4
0-15
4
8
16-30
5
5
31-45
7
10
46-60
8
6
61-75
3
7
76-90
6
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

πŸ₯ Injuries & Suspensions

Remo

  • ❌ Diego Hernandez β€” Red Card
  • ❌ M. N. Ferreira Berrondo β€” Red Card
  • ❌ Savio β€” Injury
  • ❌ Eduardo Melo β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Freitas β€” Loan agreement
  • ❌ Kayky Almeida β€” Loan agreement
  • ❌ Patrick de Paula β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Joao Lucas β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ P. Tachtsidis β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Thalisson β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Vitor Bueno β€” Calf Injury
  • ❌ B. Cufre β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Ze Ricardo β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Ze Welison β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Yago Pikachu β€” Red Card
  • ❌ David Braga β€” Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Gabriel Taliari β€” Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Jaja β€” Red Card
  • ❌ Marcelo Rangel β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Marllon β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ D. Tchamba β€” Injury
  • ❌ Marcelinho β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Ze Ivaldo β€” Suspended
  • ❌ Edson Fernando β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Mayk β€” Injury
  • ❌ Tico β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Matheus Felipe β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Patrick β€” Loan agreement
  • ❌ Gabriel Poveda β€” Red Card
  • ❌ A. Galeano β€” Yellow Cards

RB Bragantino

  • ❌ Jhon Jhon β€” Inactive
  • ❌ I. Pitta β€” Inactive
  • ❌ G. Rodriguez β€” Knee Injury
  • ❌ Vanderlan β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Alix Vinicius β€” Injury
  • ❌ Eduardo Sasha β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Fabricio β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Gabriel β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Gustavo Marques β€” Suspended
  • ❌ A. Sant'Anna β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Fabinho β€” Red Card
  • ❌ Fernando Santos β€” Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Juninho Capixaba β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Lucas Barbosa β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Davi Gomes β€” Inactive
  • ❌ I. Sosa β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ J. Herrera β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Eduardo Santos β€” Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ H. Mosquera β€” Inactive
  • ❌ R. Tavares β€” Inactive
  • ❌ Matheus Fernandes β€” Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Pedro Henrique β€” Yellow Cards
  • ❌ A. Hurtado β€” International duty
  • ❌ Bruninho β€” Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Caue Nascimento β€” Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Wallace Yan β€” Red Card
  • ❓ Rodriguinho (doubtful) β€” Injury

More: Serie A predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws

Referee: Alex Gomes Stefano