Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 • 00:00 UTC+3 • Clausura - 19 • 🌦 20°C, 9 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 58% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 81.5% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 56.9% · No 43.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 58.2% · Under 41.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 10% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.6 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 50.6% · Under 49.4% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Millonarios · Home
Millonarios are unbeaten across their last five with 9 goals scored, including a 4-1 home win over Jaguares. Their recent xG for those matches with recorded statistics is 2.09, and the model expected goals for this fixture is 1.99.
Alianza Valledupar · Away
Alianza Valledupar have won two of their last five, both by 1-0, and failed to score in the 0-1 loss at Once Caldas. Their recent xG is 1.42 against a model expected goals of 1.05 here.
Millonarios edge the H2H trend
The latest head-to-head, on 3 May 2026, finished 2-2 at Alianza, yet the earlier meeting in Millonarios ended 2-0 to the hosts. Millonarios have drawn four of five but scored in every match, while Alianza have been shut out once in five. With the hosts' recent xG of 2.09 and a model expected goals of 1.99, a home win is a realistic outcome. The evidence supports Millonarios win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Millonarios 1.99 – 1.05 Alianza Valledupar · expected total 3.03
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Millonarios
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Primera A
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 20 Primera A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Millonarios at home · Alianza Valledupar away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Millonarios (home)
Alianza Valledupar (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Alianza Valledupar 3 wins · 2 draws · Millonarios 5 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May 2026 | Alianza Valledupar | 2–2 | Millonarios | Primera A |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Alianza Valledupar | 3–0 | Millonarios | Primera A |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Millonarios | 2–0 | Alianza Valledupar | Primera A |
| 29 Jul 2024 | Alianza Valledupar | 2–1 | Millonarios | Primera A |
| 01 Feb 2024 | Millonarios | 1–1 | Alianza Valledupar | Primera A |
| 06 Oct 2023 | Alianza Valledupar | 1–2 | Millonarios | Copa Colombia |
| 29 Sep 2023 | Millonarios | 2–0 | Alianza Valledupar | Copa Colombia |
| 30 Jul 2023 | Alianza Valledupar | 1–0 | Millonarios | Primera A |
| 11 May 2023 | Millonarios | 3–1 | Alianza Valledupar | Primera A |
| 31 Oct 2022 | Alianza Valledupar | 2–4 | Millonarios | Primera A |
📈 Recent Form
Millonarios
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Once Caldas | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Jaguares | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 09/10 | Fortaleza FC | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 30/09 | Independiente Medellin | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 25/09 | Atletico Nacional | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Chico | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 14/09 | Cucuta | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/09 | Deportivo Cali | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 07/09 | Deportivo Pereira | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 03/09 | Santa Fe | Away | 2–3 | L |
Alianza Valledupar
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Independiente Medellin | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 29/10 | Once Caldas | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 26/10 | Internacional de Bogota | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 20/10 | Deportivo Pasto | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Águilas Doradas | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 03/10 | Deportivo Cali | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 28/09 | Jaguares | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Santa Fe | Home | 1–4 | L |
| 16/09 | Chico | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 13/09 | Junior | Home | 1–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Primera A
Millonarios #10 · 26 pts · Alianza Valledupar #17 · 17 pts
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Primera A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws