Predictions → Colombia Primera A

Chico vs Internacional de Bogota

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 02:00 UTC+3 • Clausura - 18 • Estadio La Independencia • ⛅ 13.6°C, 2 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw 3.14 → 3.32 ▲6% Pinnacle3.3228.7% -4.7%
Double Chance 1X 1xBet1.4067.5% -5.5%
BTTS Yes 1xBet1.7850% · No 50% -11%
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Pinnacle1.7155.7% · Over 44.3% -4.8%
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available14.4% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.4 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available56.1% · Under 43.9% —

🧠 Match Preview

Chico · Home

Chico have won just once in their last five, scoring only 3 goals and failing to score in 2 of those matches. Their most recent home outing was a 1-1 draw with Junior, one of only 1 clean sheet in the run.

Internacional de Bogota · Away

Internacional de Bogota have scored 11 goals across their last five, with 3 wins, though they failed to score in the 0-1 loss at Alianza Valledupar. Their recent xG for of 1.34 sits close to Chico's model expected goals of 1.21.

H2H swings point to draw

The latest H2H was a 4-0 Internacional de Bogota win on 27 Apr 2026, yet the two meetings before that produced a 0-0 and a 0-1, showing how volatile this pairing has been. Chico's home 1-1 with Junior and Internacional's away 2-2 at Junior both underline the draw pattern on the road side. With the model giving Chico 1.21 expected goals and Internacional 1.18, a 1-1 correct score at 14.4% fits the balance. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:51 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Chico 1.21 – 1.18 Internacional de Bogota · expected total 2.40

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Chico

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.57
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.29
Elo strength rating1301

Internacional de Bogota

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.34
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.38
Elo strength rating1338
ChicoInternacional de Bogota
Goals scored (season avg)
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.70
1.50
Best league winning streak this season
2
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.57
1.34
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.29
1.38
Elo strength rating
1301
1338

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Chico

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Internacional de Bogota

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Primera A

Chico

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Internacional de Bogota

Best BTTS rate (83%, last 6) 3rd best Over 2.5 rate (67%, last 6)

Rank among 20 Primera A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Chico at home · Internacional de Bogota away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Chico (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–3D–6L
W 9
D 3
L 6
Played18
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets8
Failed to score5

Internacional de Bogota (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–9D–8L
W 2
D 9
L 8
Played19
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets3
Failed to score7
Chico (home)Internacional de Bogota (away)
W 9
D 3
L 6
W 2
D 9
L 8
Played
18
19
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.80
Clean sheets
8
3
Failed to score
5
7

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
14.38%
0–0
10.42%
2–2
4.69%
3–3
0.75%
4–4
<0.1%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Chico 3 wins · 3 draws · Internacional de Bogota 4 wins · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 3 of 10

3
3
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
27 Apr 2026 Internacional de Bogota 4–0 Chico Primera A
12 Aug 2025 Chico 0–0 Internacional de Bogota Primera A
22 Feb 2025 Internacional de Bogota 0–1 Chico Primera A
30 Oct 2024 Chico 1–0 Internacional de Bogota Primera A
08 Apr 2024 Internacional de Bogota 4–0 Chico Primera A
10 Sep 2023 Internacional de Bogota 0–0 Chico Primera A
01 Aug 2023 Chico 0–2 Internacional de Bogota Primera A
29 Mar 2023 Chico 3–1 Internacional de Bogota Primera A
24 Mar 2023 Internacional de Bogota 2–2 Chico Primera A
28 Feb 2021 Internacional de Bogota 2–1 Chico Primera A

📈 Recent Form

Chico

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02/11 Deportivo Cali Away 0–2 L
28/10 Junior Home 1–1 D
24/10 Bucaramanga Home 1–0 W
21/10 Deportivo Pereira Away 0–2 L
17/10 Atletico Nacional Home 1–4 L
12/10 Cucuta Home 0–1 L
04/10 Deportes Tolima Away 0–0 D
26/09 Deportivo Pasto Home 3–0 W
19/09 Millonarios Away 0–3 L
16/09 Alianza Valledupar Home 1–2 L

Internacional de Bogota

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29/10 Independiente Medellin Home 3–1 W
26/10 Alianza Valledupar Away 0–1 L
21/10 Fortaleza FC Home 2–1 W
16/10 Llaneros Home 4–1 W
11/10 Junior Away 2–2 D
05/10 Once Caldas Home 1–1 D
27/09 Deportivo Pereira Away 0–0 D
21/09 Bucaramanga Away 0–2 L
17/09 Atletico Nacional Home 2–3 L
13/09 Llaneros Home 3–2 W

📊 Season Comparison: Primera A

Chico #18 · 17 pts ·  Internacional de Bogota #8 · 28 pts

Chico

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–2D–12L
W 5
D 2
L 12
Played19
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets9
Failed to score19
Yellow cards96
Red cards10
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.57
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.29
Corners for (avg)5.50
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1

Internacional de Bogota

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–7D–5L
W 7
D 7
L 5
Played19
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets7
Failed to score11
Yellow cards96
Red cards6
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.34
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.38
Corners for (avg)5.10
Penalties (scored/missed)5/1
ChicoInternacional de Bogota
W 5
D 2
L 12
W 7
D 7
L 5
Played
19
19
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
1.50
Clean sheets
9
7
Failed to score
19
11
Yellow cards
96
96
Red cards
10
6
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.57
1.34
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.29
1.38
Corners for (avg)
5.50
5.10
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/1
5/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Chico

6
0-15
5
8
16-30
3
10
31-45
7
7
46-60
5
4
61-75
5
20
76-90
6
scored conceded

Internacional de Bogota

8
0-15
7
3
16-30
10
12
31-45
8
6
46-60
11
15
61-75
8
11
76-90
8
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Primera A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws