Predictions → Colombia Primera A

Junior vs Cucuta

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 03:00 UTC+3 • Clausura - 18 • 🌦 28.5°C, 10 km/h, 0.2mm drizzle

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available61.4% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available83.5% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available57.4% · No 42.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available60.7% · Under 39.3% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available10% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.7 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available51.4% · Under 48.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Junior · Home

Junior have drawn three of their last five, including 1-1 at home to Deportivo Pereira and 0-0 away at Deportivo Cali, with a single win over Águilas Doradas. Their recent xG for of 1.69 sits below the model expected goals of 2.13 for this fixture.

Cucuta · Away

Cucuta won three of five but lost the two most recent, 0-2 at home to Águilas Doradas and 1-3 away at America de Cali. Their recent xG for of 0.67 is well below Junior's, and they failed to score in one of those five.

Junior edge the latest H2H

The latest head-to-head, on 24 Apr 2026, finished 1-1 with Cucuta hosting, while Junior won 2-1 at home in 2023. Junior's five-match record shows 5 goals for and 5 against, with 2 clean sheets, against Cucuta's 7 for and 5 against. Cucuta's recent xG for of 0.67 against Junior's 1.69 points to the home side creating more. The evidence supports Junior win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 22:48 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Junior 2.13 – 1.03 Cucuta · expected total 3.15

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Junior

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.69
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.89
Elo strength rating1602

Cucuta

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Best league winning streak this season4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.67
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.07
Elo strength rating1384
JuniorCucuta
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.30
1.70
Best league winning streak this season
5
4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.69
0.67
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.89
1.07
Elo strength rating
1602
1384

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Junior

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Cucuta

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Primera A

Junior

3rd best attack (1.50 goals/game, season)

Cucuta

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 20 Primera A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Junior at home · Cucuta away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Junior (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–7D–4L
W 10
D 7
L 4
Played21
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets7
Failed to score3

Cucuta (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–5D–11L
W 2
D 5
L 11
Played18
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets3
Failed to score6
Junior (home)Cucuta (away)
W 10
D 7
L 4
W 2
D 5
L 11
Played
21
18
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
2.10
Clean sheets
7
3
Failed to score
3
6

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.98%
2–0
9.73%
1–0
8.22%
3–1
7.07%
3–0
6.9%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Cucuta 2 wins · 2 draws · Junior 4 wins · avg 3.1 goals · BTTS in 6 of 8

2
2
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
25 Apr 2026 Cucuta 1–1 Junior Primera A
17 Aug 2023 Junior 2–1 Cucuta Copa Colombia
28 Jul 2023 Cucuta 4–3 Junior Copa Colombia
02 Nov 2020 Cucuta 1–4 Junior Primera A
25 Nov 2019 Junior 1–0 Cucuta Primera A
15 Nov 2019 Cucuta 1–3 Junior Primera A
30 Oct 2019 Junior 0–0 Cucuta Primera A
05 May 2019 Cucuta 2–1 Junior Primera A

📈 Recent Form

Junior

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Llaneros Away 2–3 L
28/10 Chico Away 1–1 D
24/10 Águilas Doradas Home 1–0 W
19/10 Deportivo Cali Away 0–0 D
15/10 Deportivo Pereira Home 1–1 D
11/10 Internacional de Bogota Home 2–2 D
05/10 Bucaramanga Away 1–3 L
01/10 Atletico Nacional Away 1–3 L
27/09 Independiente Medellin Home 2–0 W
20/09 Fortaleza FC Away 4–1 W

Cucuta

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
28/10 Águilas Doradas Home 0–2 L
25/10 America de Cali Away 1–3 L
21/10 Atletico Nacional Home 1–0 W
12/10 Chico Away 1–0 W
05/10 Deportivo Pereira Home 4–0 W
27/09 Llaneros Home 2–1 W
20/09 Deportivo Cali Away 0–3 L
14/09 Millonarios Home 1–2 L
06/09 Deportivo Pasto Home 2–2 D
01/09 Deportes Tolima Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Primera A

Junior #2 · 35 pts ·  Cucuta #19 · 16 pts

Junior

Wins–Draws–Losses11W–2D–6L
W 11
D 2
L 6
Played19
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets12
Failed to score7
Yellow cards121
Red cards6
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.69
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.89
Corners for (avg)6.40
Penalties (scored/missed)11/3

Cucuta

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–7D–9L
W 3
D 7
L 9
Played19
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets8
Failed to score8
Yellow cards93
Red cards11
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.67
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.07
Corners for (avg)3.10
Penalties (scored/missed)6/2
JuniorCucuta
W 11
D 2
L 6
W 3
D 7
L 9
Played
19
19
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.70
Clean sheets
12
8
Failed to score
7
8
Yellow cards
121
93
Red cards
6
11
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.69
0.67
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.89
1.07
Corners for (avg)
6.40
3.10
Penalties (scored/missed)
11/3
6/2

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Junior

7
0-15
9
7
16-30
8
11
31-45
13
6
46-60
7
9
61-75
8
12
76-90
15
scored conceded

Cucuta

11
0-15
6
6
16-30
7
9
31-45
11
14
46-60
2
4
61-75
7
16
76-90
6
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Primera A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws