Everton W vs Aston Villa W

Next match: Sun, 25 Oct 2026 • 14:00 UTC+3 • Round 7 • Goodison Park • 🌦 10.4°C, 37 km/h, 0.2mm drizzle

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Market	Tip	Odds	Confidence	Probability	Market implied	Edge
Match Result (1X2)	Home	1xBet2.09	82%	51%	48.9%	+2.1 pp
Double Chance	1X	William Hill1.33	75%	76.8%	71.3%	+5.5 pp
BTTS	Yes	Bet3651.67	81%	49.1%	56.8%	-7.7 pp
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	Pinnacle1.72	80%	47.7%	54.7%	-7 pp
Correct Score	2-1	Bet3659.00	64%	7.8%	5.3%	+2.5 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9 exp.)	Under 9.5	Bet3652.00	62%	53.2%	46.7%	+6.5 pp

⚽ Model expected goals: Everton W 1.83 – 1.04 Aston Villa W · expected total 2.87

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Everton W

Form (last 5)

LLondon City Lionesses W (A) 1–2 · 18/10/2026WBirmingham City W (H) 2–1 · 04/10/2026LLiverpool W (A) 0–2 · 27/09/2026WBirmingham City W (H) 2–0 · 23/09/2026WWest Ham W (A) 1–0 · 20/09/2026

Goals scored (season avg)0.80

Goals conceded (season avg)1.00

Win streak (best this season)2

xG for (recent avg)0.22

xG against (recent avg)0.45

Aston Villa W

Form (last 5)

WLiverpool W (H) 2–1 · 18/10/2026DCrystal Palace W (H) 1–1 · 04/10/2026WNewcastle United W (H) 3–1 · 30/09/2026LTottenham Hotspur W (A) 0–4 · 27/09/2026WNottingham Forest W (A) 2–0 · 23/09/2026

Goals scored (season avg)1.00

Goals conceded (season avg)2.00

Win streak (best this season)0

xG for (recent avg)0.17

xG against (recent avg)0.41

Everton WAston Villa W

Goals scored (season avg)

0.80

1.00

Goals conceded (season avg)

1.00

2.00

Win streak (best this season)

xG for (recent avg)

0.22

0.17

xG against (recent avg)

0.45

0.41

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Everton W

BTTS

2/6

Over 2.5

2/6

Scored

5/6

Clean sheets

3/6

Aston Villa W

Unbeaten 3

BTTS

4/6

Over 2.5

3/6

Scored

5/6

Clean sheets

1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — FA WSL

Everton W

2nd best defence (1.00 conceded/game) 2nd best clean sheets (2)

Aston Villa W

3rd best BTTS rate (67%)

Rank among 14 FA WSL teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Everton W at home · Aston Villa W away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Everton W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–0L

W 2

Played2

Goals scored (avg)1.50

Goals conceded (avg)0.50

Clean sheets1

Failed to score0

Aston Villa W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–1L

D 2

L 1

Played3

Goals scored (avg)0.70

Goals conceded (avg)2.00

Clean sheets0

Failed to score1

Everton W (home)Aston Villa W (away)

W 2

D 2

L 1

Played

Goals scored (avg)

1.50

0.70

Goals conceded (avg)

0.50

2.00

Clean sheets

Failed to score

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1

7.8%

2–0

7.5%

1–0

7.4%

3–1

4.8%

3–0

4.6%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Aston Villa W 2 wins · 2 draws · Everton W 5 wins · avg 2.8 goals · BTTS in 5 of 9

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
01 Feb 2026	Everton W	2–1	Aston Villa W	FA WSL
02 Nov 2025	Aston Villa W	3–3	Everton W	FA WSL
02 Mar 2025	Aston Villa W	0–2	Everton W	FA WSL
18 Jan 2025	Everton W	1–1	Aston Villa W	FA WSL
16 Mar 2024	Everton W	1–2	Aston Villa W	FA WSL
13 Jan 2024	Aston Villa W	0–3	Everton W	FA Women's Cup
26 Nov 2023	Aston Villa W	1–2	Everton W	FA WSL
05 Mar 2023	Everton W	0–2	Aston Villa W	FA WSL
22 Oct 2022	Aston Villa W	0–1	Everton W	FA WSL

📈 Recent Form

Everton W

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
18/10	London City Lionesses W	Away	1–2	L
04/10	Birmingham City W	Home	2–1	W
27/09	Liverpool W	Away	0–2	L
23/09	Birmingham City W	Home	2–0	W
20/09	West Ham W	Away	1–0	W

Aston Villa W

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
18/10	Liverpool W	Home	2–1	W
04/10	Crystal Palace W	Home	1–1	D
30/09	Newcastle United W	Home	3–1	W
27/09	Tottenham Hotspur W	Away	0–4	L
23/09	Nottingham Forest W	Away	2–0	W

📊 Season Comparison — FA WSL

Everton W #6 · 9 pts — Aston Villa W #10 · 6 pts

Everton W

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–0D–3L

W 3

L 3

Played6

Goals scored (avg)0.80

Goals conceded (avg)1.00

Clean sheets2

Failed to score2

Yellow cards5

Red cards0

xG for (avg)0.22

xG against (avg)0.45

Corners for (avg)4.30

Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Aston Villa W

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–3D–2L

W 1

D 3

L 2

Played6

Goals scored (avg)1.00

Goals conceded (avg)2.00

Clean sheets0

Failed to score1

Yellow cards6

Red cards0

xG for (avg)0.17

xG against (avg)0.41

Corners for (avg)4.20

Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Everton WAston Villa W

W 3

L 3

W 1

D 3

L 2

Played

Goals scored (avg)

0.80

1.00

Goals conceded (avg)

1.00

2.00

Clean sheets

Failed to score

Yellow cards

Red cards

xG for (avg)

0.22

0.17

xG against (avg)

0.45

0.41

Corners for (avg)

4.30

4.20

Penalties (scored/missed)

0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Everton W

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

scored conceded

Aston Villa W

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: FA WSL predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws