Predictions → England FA WSL

Birmingham City W vs Tottenham Hotspur W

Next match: Sun, 01 Nov 2026 • 14:00 UTC+3 • Round 8 • St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park • ☀️ 8.8°C, 6 km/h clear

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipOddsConfidenceProbabilityMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Away —79% 44.6% — —
Double Chance X2 —71% 71.5% — —
BTTS No —79% 44.9% — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 —78% 43.9% — —
Correct Score 0-1 —64% 8% — —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.8 exp.) Over 9.5 —64% 54.7% — —

⚽ Model expected goals: Birmingham City W 1.07 – 1.52 Tottenham Hotspur W · expected total 2.59

🧠 Match Preview

Birmingham City W host Tottenham Hotspur W at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park on Sunday with the visitors looking to consolidate a top-four position and the hosts desperate to climb away from 13th. The table tells the story of the early season: Tottenham sit 4th on 10 points from 6 games, while Birmingham have managed just 3 points from their 6 outings.

The model leans heavily on recent form and underlying numbers. Birmingham's last five read DLLDL, and their recent expected goals figure of 0.83 per game is modest. Tottenham arrive on LLWWW and generate 1.17 xG recently, with the match model projecting 1.5199 goals for the away side against 1.0743 for Birmingham. No injuries are listed for either squad, so team news offers no obvious swing. Head-to-head history is one-sided: Tottenham won 3-0 in October 2025 and have taken four of the last five meetings, the other a 1-1 draw back in 2019.

The headline tip is an away win at 44.6% model probability with confidence rated 79. Double chance X2 is the safer angle at 71.5%. For goals, Under 2.5 lands at 43.9% and BTTS No at 44.9% — both marginal calls rather than strong convictions. The correct-score model favours 0-1 at 8%, with 1-2 and 0-2 close behind. Corners look the most comfortable side market: Over 9.5 is priced at 54.7% with an expected 10.8.

The honest caveat: none of the odds are quoted in this snapshot, so value against the bookmaker cannot be verified — the away win at 44.6% is a lean, not a lock, and Birmingham's home ground could keep this tighter than the form lines suggest.

Updated 21 Oct 2026, 20:10 UTC+3 — refreshed when the underlying data changes.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Birmingham City W

Form (last 5)
DArsenal W (A) 1–1 · 17/10/2026LEverton W (A) 1–2 · 04/10/2026LLiverpool W (H) 3–4 · 30/09/2026DCrystal Palace W (H) 3–3 · 27/09/2026LEverton W (A) 0–2 · 23/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)2.20
Win streak (best this season)0
xG for (recent avg)0.34
xG against (recent avg)1.14

Tottenham Hotspur W

Form (last 5)
LChelsea W (A) 2–6 · 18/10/2026LLondon City Lionesses W (H) 1–6 · 04/10/2026WBrighton W (A) 1–0 · 30/09/2026WAston Villa W (H) 4–0 · 27/09/2026WCrystal Palace W (A) 7–0 · 20/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)3.00
Goals conceded (season avg)2.30
Win streak (best this season)2
xG for (recent avg)0.40
xG against (recent avg)0.78
Birmingham City WTottenham Hotspur W
DArsenal W (A) 1–1 · 17/10/2026LEverton W (A) 1–2 · 04/10/2026LLiverpool W (H) 3–4 · 30/09/2026DCrystal Palace W (H) 3–3 · 27/09/2026LEverton W (A) 0–2 · 23/09/2026
LChelsea W (A) 2–6 · 18/10/2026LLondon City Lionesses W (H) 1–6 · 04/10/2026WBrighton W (A) 1–0 · 30/09/2026WAston Villa W (H) 4–0 · 27/09/2026WCrystal Palace W (A) 7–0 · 20/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.30
3.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.20
2.30
Win streak (best this season)
0
2
xG for (recent avg)
0.34
0.40
xG against (recent avg)
1.14
0.78

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Birmingham City W

Winless 8
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Tottenham Hotspur W

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — FA WSL

Birmingham City W

3rd best BTTS rate (67%)

Tottenham Hotspur W

2nd best attack (3.00 goals/game) 2nd worst defence (2.30 conceded/game) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (67%) 2nd best clean sheets (2)

Rank among 14 FA WSL teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Birmingham City W at home · Tottenham Hotspur W away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Birmingham City W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–0L
D 2
Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Tottenham Hotspur W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–1L
W 1
D 1
L 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)3.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Birmingham City W (home)Tottenham Hotspur W (away)
D 2
W 1
D 1
L 1
Played
2
3
Goals scored (avg)
2.50
3.30
Goals conceded (avg)
2.50
2.30
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

0–1
8%
1–2
7.3%
0–2
6.8%
1–3
3.7%
0–3
3.5%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Birmingham City W 0 wins · 1 draw · Tottenham Hotspur W 4 wins · avg 1.8 goals · BTTS in 1 of 5

1
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
19 Oct 2025 Tottenham Hotspur W 3–0 Birmingham City W WSL Cup
13 Feb 2022 Birmingham City W 0–2 Tottenham Hotspur W FA WSL
04 Sep 2021 Tottenham Hotspur W 1–0 Birmingham City W FA WSL
09 May 2021 Birmingham City W 0–1 Tottenham Hotspur W FA WSL
04 Dec 2019 Birmingham City W 1–1 Tottenham Hotspur W FA WSL

📈 Recent Form

Birmingham City W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Arsenal W Away 1–1 D
04/10 Everton W Away 1–2 L
30/09 Liverpool W Home 3–4 L
27/09 Crystal Palace W Home 3–3 D
23/09 Everton W Away 0–2 L

Tottenham Hotspur W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18/10 Chelsea W Away 2–6 L
04/10 London City Lionesses W Home 1–6 L
30/09 Brighton W Away 1–0 W
27/09 Aston Villa W Home 4–0 W
20/09 Crystal Palace W Away 7–0 W

📊 Season Comparison — FA WSL

Birmingham City W #13 · 3 pts —  Tottenham Hotspur W #4 · 10 pts

Birmingham City W

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–3D–3L
D 3
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.20
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Yellow cards4
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.34
xG against (avg)1.14
Corners for (avg)4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Tottenham Hotspur W

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–2L
W 3
D 1
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards9
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.40
xG against (avg)0.78
Corners for (avg)7.80
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Birmingham City WTottenham Hotspur W
D 3
L 3
W 3
D 1
L 2
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
3.00
Goals conceded (avg)
2.20
2.30
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
1
0
Yellow cards
4
9
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
0.34
0.40
xG against (avg)
1.14
0.78
Corners for (avg)
4.40
7.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Birmingham City W

2
0-15
3
16-30
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
4
61-75
4
76-90
2
scored conceded

Tottenham Hotspur W

1
0-15
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
4
4
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: FA WSL predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws