Predictions → England FA WSL

Liverpool W vs London City Lionesses W

Next match: Sun, 25 Oct 2026 • 14:00 UTC+3 • Round 7 • St Helens Stadium • 🌦 10.1°C, 32 km/h, 0.2mm drizzle

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipOddsConfidenceProbabilityMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Away Betfair1.9081% 49.4% 51.5% -2.1 pp
Double Chance X2 Bet3651.2871% 71.8% 76.2% -4.4 pp
BTTS No William Hill2.1580% 46.6% 45.6% +1 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Bet3652.0081% 48.9% 48.2% +0.7 pp
Correct Score 0-1 William Hill8.0066% 9.4% 5.8% +3.6 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9 exp.) Under 9.5 Bet3651.7362% 53.1% 56.2% -3.1 pp

⚽ Model expected goals: Liverpool W 0.98 – 1.39 London City Lionesses W · expected total 2.37

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Liverpool W

Form (last 5)
LAston Villa W (A) 1–2 · 18/10/2026LManchester United W (A) 0–1 · 03/10/2026WBirmingham City W (A) 4–3 · 30/09/2026WEverton W (H) 2–0 · 27/09/2026WSunderland W (H) 4–2 · 23/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.41
xG against (recent avg)0.17

London City Lionesses W

Form (last 5)
WEverton W (H) 2–1 · 18/10/2026WTottenham Hotspur W (A) 6–1 · 04/10/2026WIpswich Town W (A) 1–0 · 30/09/2026WBrighton W (H) 2–0 · 26/09/2026WLeicester City FC W (A) 2–0 · 23/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.54
xG against (recent avg)0.27
Liverpool WLondon City Lionesses W
LAston Villa W (A) 1–2 · 18/10/2026LManchester United W (A) 0–1 · 03/10/2026WBirmingham City W (A) 4–3 · 30/09/2026WEverton W (H) 2–0 · 27/09/2026WSunderland W (H) 4–2 · 23/09/2026
WEverton W (H) 2–1 · 18/10/2026WTottenham Hotspur W (A) 6–1 · 04/10/2026WIpswich Town W (A) 1–0 · 30/09/2026WBrighton W (H) 2–0 · 26/09/2026WLeicester City FC W (A) 2–0 · 23/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.70
2.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.30
1.00
Win streak (best this season)
1
1
xG for (recent avg)
0.41
0.54
xG against (recent avg)
0.17
0.27

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Liverpool W

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

London City Lionesses W

Won 6 in a row Unbeaten 6
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — FA WSL

Liverpool W

3rd best BTTS rate (67%) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (67%) 2nd best clean sheets (2)

London City Lionesses W

2nd best defence (1.00 conceded/game)

Rank among 14 FA WSL teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Liverpool W at home · London City Lionesses W away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Liverpool W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–0L
W 1
D 1
Played2
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

London City Lionesses W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–1L
W 2
L 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)3.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Liverpool W (home)London City Lionesses W (away)
W 1
D 1
W 2
L 1
Played
2
3
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
3.70
Goals conceded (avg)
0.50
1.30
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

0–1
9.4%
0–2
7.2%
1–2
7.1%
0–3
3.4%
1–3
3.3%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Liverpool W 2 wins · 3 draws · London City Lionesses W 2 wins · avg 1.6 goals · BTTS in 2 of 7

2
3
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
11 Jan 2026 Liverpool W 0–0 London City Lionesses W FA WSL
05 Oct 2025 London City Lionesses W 1–0 Liverpool W FA WSL
11 Feb 2024 London City Lionesses W 0–2 Liverpool W FA Women's Cup
06 Mar 2022 London City Lionesses W 1–1 Liverpool W Women's Championship
29 Aug 2021 Liverpool W 0–1 London City Lionesses W Women's Championship
02 May 2021 Liverpool W 2–2 London City Lionesses W Women's Championship
13 Dec 2020 London City Lionesses W 0–1 Liverpool W Women's Championship

📈 Recent Form

Liverpool W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18/10 Aston Villa W Away 1–2 L
03/10 Manchester United W Away 0–1 L
30/09 Birmingham City W Away 4–3 W
27/09 Everton W Home 2–0 W
23/09 Sunderland W Home 4–2 W

London City Lionesses W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18/10 Everton W Home 2–1 W
04/10 Tottenham Hotspur W Away 6–1 W
30/09 Ipswich Town W Away 1–0 W
26/09 Brighton W Home 2–0 W
23/09 Leicester City FC W Away 2–0 W

📊 Season Comparison — FA WSL

Liverpool W #7 · 7 pts —  London City Lionesses W #3 · 15 pts

Liverpool W

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–3L
W 2
D 1
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Yellow cards7
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.41
xG against (avg)0.17
Corners for (avg)5.30
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

London City Lionesses W

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–0D–1L
W 5
L 1
Played6
Goals scored (avg)2.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards5
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.54
xG against (avg)0.27
Corners for (avg)4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Liverpool WLondon City Lionesses W
W 2
D 1
L 3
W 5
L 1
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
2.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.00
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
1
0
Yellow cards
7
5
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
0.41
0.54
xG against (avg)
0.17
0.27
Corners for (avg)
5.30
4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Liverpool W

2
0-15
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

London City Lionesses W

1
0-15
2
1
16-30
4
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
1
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: FA WSL predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws