AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • The Cherry Red Records Stadium • ☁️ 7.6°C, 13 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 44.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 76.1% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 56.5% · Yes 43.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 63.2% · Over 36.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 13.5% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.5 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 63.5% · Under 36.5% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
AFC Wimbledon · Home
AFC Wimbledon have lost four of their last five, but the standout result is the latest head-to-head: a 4-1 home win over Blackpool on 11 Mar 2026. Their recent xG for of 1.04 sits below the model expected goals of 1.29, suggesting the forecast leans on that H2H precedent rather than current form.
Blackpool · Away
Blackpool's recent away results include a 1-1 draw at Sheffield Wednesday and a 0-2 loss at Leyton Orient, and they failed to score in one of their last five. Their recent xG for of 0.74 is the lower of the two sides, and the model expected goals of 0.87 points to a limited attacking output here.
H2H 4-1 Shapes Home Case
The most telling angle is the latest head-to-head, where AFC Wimbledon beat Blackpool 4-1 at home on 11 Mar 2026. Blackpool's recent away record also includes a 0-2 defeat at Leyton Orient and a 1-1 draw at Sheffield Wednesday, while their recent xG for of 0.74 is below Wimbledon's 1.04. With the model expected goals at 1.29 for Wimbledon and 0.87 for Blackpool, a narrow home win fits the published 1-0 correct score and the Under 2.5 lean. The evidence supports AFC Wimbledon win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: AFC Wimbledon 1.29 – 0.87 Blackpool · expected total 2.16
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
AFC Wimbledon
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
AFC Wimbledon
Blackpool
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: League One
AFC Wimbledon
Blackpool
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 24 League One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
AFC Wimbledon at home · Blackpool away, the split that matters for this fixture.
AFC Wimbledon (home)
Blackpool (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
AFC Wimbledon 4 wins · 3 draws · Blackpool 3 wins · avg 1.7 goals · BTTS in 2 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | AFC Wimbledon | 4–1 | Blackpool | League One |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Blackpool | 0–2 | AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| 06 Mar 2021 | Blackpool | 1–1 | AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| 27 Oct 2020 | AFC Wimbledon | 1–0 | Blackpool | League One |
| 22 Feb 2020 | AFC Wimbledon | 0–0 | Blackpool | League One |
| 16 Nov 2019 | Blackpool | 2–0 | AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| 29 Dec 2018 | AFC Wimbledon | 0–0 | Blackpool | League One |
| 20 Oct 2018 | Blackpool | 2–0 | AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| 20 Jan 2018 | AFC Wimbledon | 2–0 | Blackpool | League One |
| 02 Sep 2017 | Blackpool | 1–0 | AFC Wimbledon | League One |
📈 Recent Form
AFC Wimbledon
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Stockport County | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Arsenal U21 | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Wycombe | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 20/10 | Mansfield Town | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Sheffield Wednesday | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 10/10 | Plymouth | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 26/09 | Cambridge United | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 17/09 | Milton Keynes Dons | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 12/09 | Doncaster | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 07/09 | Bromley | Away | 2–0 | W |
Blackpool
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Sheffield Wednesday | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 27/10 | Aston Villa U21 | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 24/10 | Mansfield Town | Home | 1–4 | L |
| 20/10 | Milton Keynes Dons | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Leyton Orient | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Cambridge United | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 22/09 | Wigan | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 19/09 | Plymouth | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 12/09 | Bromley | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 05/09 | Reading | Away | 1–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: League One
AFC Wimbledon #18 · 13 pts · Blackpool #19 · 12 pts
AFC Wimbledon
Blackpool
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
AFC Wimbledon
Blackpool
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: League One predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws