Stevenage vs Mansfield Town
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Lamex Stadium • ☁️ 7.6°C, 18 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 30% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 65.6% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 51% · No 49% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 55.9% · Over 44.1% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 14.3% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.3 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 56% · Under 44% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Stevenage · Home
Stevenage's recent record is mixed: 2 wins in five, with two clean sheets but also two matches in which they failed to score, including a 0-1 home loss to Milton Keynes Dons. Their historical weighted xG over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics is 1.77, while the model expected goals for this fixture is 1.23.
Mansfield Town · Away
Mansfield Town have scored 10 goals across their last five, including away wins of 4-1 at Blackpool and 3-0 at AFC Wimbledon. Their historical weighted xG over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics is 2.40, though the model expected goals for this fixture is 1.21.
Three Straight 1-1 Meetings
The latest head-to-head finished 1-1 on 24 Jan 2026, and the two prior meetings also ended 1-1, giving three consecutive draws in this matchup. Stevenage's 0-1 home loss to Milton Keynes Dons shows they can be held at home, while Mansfield's 0-2 home defeat to Notts County shows their scoring can stall. The model's 1-1 correct score at 14.3% aligns with that history, and the Under 2.5 pick at 55.9% fits a fixture repeatedly settled by a single goal each. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Stevenage 1.23 – 1.21 Mansfield Town · expected total 2.44
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Stevenage
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Stevenage
Mansfield Town
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Stevenage at home · Mansfield Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Stevenage (home)
Mansfield Town (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Mansfield Town 5 wins · 4 draws · Stevenage 1 win · avg 1.5 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Stevenage | 1–1 | Mansfield Town | League One |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Mansfield Town | 1–1 | Stevenage | League One |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Stevenage | 1–1 | Mansfield Town | League One |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Stevenage | 0–1 | Mansfield Town | FA Cup |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Mansfield Town | 0–1 | Stevenage | League One |
| 22 Apr 2023 | Mansfield Town | 1–0 | Stevenage | League Two |
| 10 Dec 2022 | Stevenage | 0–0 | Mansfield Town | League Two |
| 26 Apr 2022 | Mansfield Town | 2–0 | Stevenage | League Two |
| 13 Nov 2021 | Stevenage | 1–2 | Mansfield Town | League Two |
| 17 Apr 2021 | Stevenage | 0–1 | Mansfield Town | League Two |
📈 Recent Form
Stevenage
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Leicester | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 24/10 | Milton Keynes Dons | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 20/10 | Plymouth | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Bradford | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Wigan | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 06/10 | Leicester | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 22/09 | Walsall | Away | 6–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Leyton Orient | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 10/09 | Luton | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 05/09 | Barnsley | Away | 5–1 | W |
Mansfield Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Notts County | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Blackpool | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 20/10 | AFC Wimbledon | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 15/10 | Oxford United | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | Bromley | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 06/10 | Port Vale | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Burton Albion | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Huddersfield | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 05/09 | Bradford | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 02/09 | Reading | Away | 0–5 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: League One
Stevenage #16 · 16 pts · Mansfield Town #12 · 18 pts
Stevenage
Mansfield Town
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Stevenage
Mansfield Town
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: League One predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws