Peterborough vs Oxford United
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Weston Homes Stadium • ☁️ 8.2°C, 14 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 46.1% | — |
| Double Chance | X2 | Current price not available | 74.3% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 47.5% · Yes 52.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 52.3% · Over 47.7% | — |
| Correct Score | 0-1 | Current price not available | 10.2% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.5 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 63.1% · Under 36.9% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Peterborough · Home
Peterborough have taken only two points from their last five matches, with a 0-2 home defeat to Luton the most recent result. They failed to score in two of those five games and conceded 11 goals across the run.
Oxford United · Away
Oxford United are unbeaten in their last five, winning two and drawing three, including a 1-0 home win over Stockport County. Their recent record shows just three goals conceded across those five matches.
Oxford's Edge in Recent H2H
The latest head-to-head, on 13 Aug 2024, ended 2-0 to Oxford United, and the two meetings before that also went Oxford's way or finished level. Peterborough's current run of 0 wins in five contrasts with Oxford's unbeaten sequence, and Oxford's recent xG for of 1.21 sits against a model expected goals figure of 1.51 here. With the correct-score pick at 0-1 and Under 2.5 favoured at 52.3%, a narrow Oxford win fits the evidence. The evidence supports Oxford United win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Peterborough 1.07 – 1.51 Oxford United · expected total 2.59
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Peterborough
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Peterborough
Oxford United
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: League One
Peterborough
Oxford United
Rank among 24 League One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Peterborough at home · Oxford United away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Peterborough (home)
Oxford United (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Oxford United 3 wins · 4 draws · Peterborough 2 wins · avg 2.2 goals · BTTS in 3 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2024 | Oxford United | 2–0 | Peterborough | League Cup |
| 08 May 2024 | Peterborough | 1–1 | Oxford United | League One |
| 04 May 2024 | Oxford United | 1–0 | Peterborough | League One |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Oxford United | 5–0 | Peterborough | League One |
| 09 Dec 2023 | Peterborough | 3–0 | Oxford United | League One |
| 01 Apr 2023 | Peterborough | 0–0 | Oxford United | League One |
| 22 Oct 2022 | Oxford United | 1–2 | Peterborough | League One |
| 28 Jul 2021 | Oxford United | 2–2 | Peterborough | Friendlies Clubs |
| 02 Mar 2021 | Oxford United | 0–0 | Peterborough | League One |
📈 Recent Form
Peterborough
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Luton | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Bradford | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Bromley | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 20/10 | Huddersfield | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 17/10 | Burton Albion | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 10/10 | Leicester | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 06/10 | Ipswich Town U21 | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Stockport County | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 22/09 | Colchester | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Doncaster | Home | 0–2 | L |
Oxford United
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Barnsley | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 27/10 | Stockport County | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Bradford | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 20/10 | Wigan | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 15/10 | Mansfield Town | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | Notts County | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Cambridge United | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Burton Albion | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 05/09 | Leicester | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 01/09 | Huddersfield | Away | 1–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: League One
Peterborough #22 · 10 pts · Oxford United #3 · 23 pts
Peterborough
Oxford United
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Peterborough
Oxford United
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: League One predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws