Stockport County vs Reading
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Edgeley Park • ☁️ 7.7°C, 12 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 52.1% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 77.6% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 69.5% · No 30.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 70.8% · Under 29.2% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.1% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.7 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 64.6% · Under 35.4% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Stockport County · Home
Stockport County have won three of their last five, including home victories over AFC Wimbledon (2-1) and Bromley (1-0), with two clean sheets in that run. Their recent xG of 1.82 across up to five recorded matches supports a home side creating enough to win.
Reading · Away
Reading have failed to score in three of their last five, including the 0-0 at Plymouth (0-0) and the 0-2 home loss to Chelsea U21 (0-2). Their recent xG of 2.32 sits above a modest three-goal return, so the output has lagged the chances.
Stockport's Home Edge
The latest head-to-head went Reading's way 1-0 (1-0), but the prior two meetings produced a 1-1 draw (1-1) and a 1-3 Stockport away win (1-3), showing this matchup has swung both ways. Stockport's home form is the steadier base: two home wins in the last five, while Reading have failed to score in three of five. The model's 2.18 expected goals for Stockport against 1.5 for Reading frames a home side with the larger attacking forecast. The evidence supports Stockport County win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Stockport County 2.18 – 1.50 Reading · expected total 3.67
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Stockport County
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Stockport County
Reading
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: League One
Stockport County
Reading
Rank among 24 League One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Stockport County at home · Reading away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Stockport County (home)
Reading (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Reading 1 win · 1 draw · Stockport County 2 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 3 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan 2026 | Reading | 1–0 | Stockport County | League One |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Stockport County | 1–1 | Reading | League One |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Reading | 1–3 | Stockport County | League One |
| 29 Oct 2024 | Stockport County | 4–1 | Reading | League One |
📈 Recent Form
Stockport County
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | AFC Wimbledon | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Oxford United | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 24/10 | Notts County | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 20/10 | Doncaster | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Bromley | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Barnsley | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 06/10 | Shrewsbury | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Peterborough | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Sheffield Wednesday | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 12/09 | Leicester | Home | 3–4 | L |
Reading
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Plymouth | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 24/10 | Barnsley | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 21/10 | Leyton Orient | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Wigan | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 13/10 | Chelsea U21 | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Milton Keynes Dons | Away | 5–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Bradford | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 26/09 | Wycombe | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 19/09 | Notts County | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 15/09 | Brentford | Home | 1–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: League One
Stockport County #2 · 26 pts · Reading #6 · 22 pts
Stockport County
Reading
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Stockport County
Reading
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: League One predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws