Hemel Hempstead Town vs Torquay
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • National League South - 12 • Focus Community Arena • ☁️ 9.5°C, 0 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 38.6% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 75.1% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 67.1% · No 32.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 65.1% · Under 34.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Current price not available | 8.4% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Hemel Hempstead Town · Home
Hemel Hempstead Town have taken only two points from their last five matches, with a 0-5 defeat at Billericay Town the heaviest of three losses. They have failed to score in three of those five games, managing four goals in total.
Torquay · Away
Torquay have won two of their last five, including a 5-1 home win over Slough Town and a 3-0 victory at Walton & Hersham. Their most recent meeting with Hemel Hempstead Town ended 1-2 in Torquay's favour, following a 2-1 home win for Hemel in August 2025.
Torquay edge recent H2H
The latest head-to-head is the clearest guide: Torquay won 1-2 at Hemel Hempstead Town on 18 Apr 2026, and the two prior meetings also produced away-friendly scorelines of 2-1 and 1-4. Hemel's recent record of two draws and three losses, with four goals scored and twelve conceded, points to a home side that has struggled to keep games tight. Torquay's two wins in five, including a 5-1 success, give them the more convincing recent edge. The evidence supports Torquay win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 16:45 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Hemel Hempstead Town 1.65 – 1.70 Torquay · expected total 3.36
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Hemel Hempstead Town
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Hemel Hempstead Town
Torquay
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Hemel Hempstead Town at home · Torquay away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Hemel Hempstead Town (home)
Torquay (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Hemel Hempstead Town 3 wins · 0 draws · Torquay 5 wins · avg 3.6 goals · BTTS in 6 of 8
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | Torquay | 1–2 | Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 2–1 | Torquay | National League - South |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 1–4 | Torquay | National League - South |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Torquay | 1–0 | Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Torquay | 3–2 | Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 3–2 | Torquay | National League - South |
| 12 Sep 2020 | Torquay | 3–2 | Hemel Hempstead Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| 24 Jan 2015 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 0–2 | Torquay | FA Trophy |
📈 Recent Form
Hemel Hempstead Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Billericay Town | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 27/10 | Dorking Wanderers | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 24/10 | AFC Totton | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Tonbridge Angels | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 10/10 | Dagenham & Redbridge | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 26/09 | Slough Town | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 22/09 | Wingate & Finchley | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Wingate & Finchley | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Tonbridge Angels | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 08/09 | Ebbsfleet United | Away | 0–0 | D |
Torquay
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Walton & Hersham | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 27/10 | AFC Totton | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 24/10 | Maidstone Utd | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Oxford City | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 10/10 | Slough Town | Home | 5–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Tonbridge Angels | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Billericay Town | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 19/09 | AFC Stoneham | Home | 6–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Dorking Wanderers | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 08/09 | Maidenhead | Away | 4–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: National League South
Hemel Hempstead Town #20 · 15 pts · Torquay #13 · 20 pts
Hemel Hempstead Town
Torquay
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Hemel Hempstead Town
Torquay
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: National League South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws