Southend vs Aldershot Town
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 17 • Roots Hall • ☁️ 8.8°C, 21 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 54.6% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 77.5% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 64.6% · No 35.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 65.7% · Under 34.3% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.6% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Southend · Home
Southend have scored in all five recent matches, totalling 10 goals, though they won only once and kept no clean sheets. Their model expected goals of 2.09 for this fixture is the highest figure in the data.
Aldershot Town · Away
Aldershot Town scored just 5 goals across their last five, failing to score twice, and both clean sheets came in matches they won. Their model expected goals of 1.3 is well below Southend's.
Southend's H2H edge holds
The latest head-to-head, on 14 Apr 2026, finished 0-2 with Southend winning away at Aldershot Town. Southend also won the two prior meetings 3-0 and 2-1, so all three supplied H2H results went Southend's way. Southend's 10 goals in five recent matches against Aldershot's 5 supports a home edge, and the 2-1 correct-score pick fits a match where both sides have been scoring. The evidence supports Southend win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Southend 2.09 – 1.30 Aldershot Town · expected total 3.39
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Southend
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Southend
Aldershot Town
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: National League
Southend
Aldershot Town
Rank among 24 National League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Southend at home · Aldershot Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Southend (home)
Aldershot Town (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Aldershot Town 3 wins · 3 draws · Southend 4 wins · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr 2026 | Aldershot Town | 0–2 | Southend | National League |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Southend | 3–0 | Aldershot Town | National League |
| 18 Feb 2025 | Southend | 2–1 | Aldershot Town | National League |
| 23 Oct 2024 | Aldershot Town | 0–0 | Southend | National League |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Southend | 4–1 | Aldershot Town | National League |
| 26 Sep 2023 | Aldershot Town | 1–1 | Southend | National League |
| 18 Mar 2023 | Southend | 1–2 | Aldershot Town | National League |
| 26 Nov 2022 | Aldershot Town | 2–0 | Southend | National League |
| 25 Jan 2022 | Aldershot Town | 1–1 | Southend | National League |
| 14 Sep 2021 | Southend | 2–3 | Aldershot Town | National League |
📈 Recent Form
Southend
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Wealdstone | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 27/10 | Worthing | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 24/10 | FC Halifax Town | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 17/10 | Berkhamsted | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Boston United | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 03/10 | AFC Fylde | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 30/09 | Eastleigh | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 26/09 | Barrow | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 19/09 | Gateshead | Away | 6–1 | W |
| 15/09 | Tamworth | Home | 3–1 | W |
Aldershot Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Gateshead | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 28/10 | Sutton Utd | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Wealdstone | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 20/10 | Tadley Calleva | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Tadley Calleva | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 13/10 | Norwich City U21 | Home | 5–3 | W |
| 10/10 | Altrincham | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 03/10 | Carlisle | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 29/09 | AFC Hornchurch | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 26/09 | Tamworth | Home | 5–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: National League
Southend #3 · 29 pts · Aldershot Town #14 · 21 pts
Southend
Aldershot Town
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Southend
Aldershot Town
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: National League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws