Predictions → England WSL Cup

Everton W vs Durham W

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Wed, 11 Nov 2026 • 22:00 UTC+3 • Group Stage • Goodison Park • ☀️ 6.2°C, 4 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available56.2% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available83.4% —
BTTS No Current price not available56.3% · Yes 43.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available58.1% · Over 41.9% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available14% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Everton W 56.2% · Draw 27.2% · Durham W 16.6%. Selected outcome: Everton W win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Everton W 1.60, Durham W 0.76, expected total 2.36.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Everton W: D-W-L-W-L in their last five matches.
Durham W: L-L-L-L-L in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Everton W 0–1 Durham W, 17 Dec 2022.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Everton W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)0.30
Best league winning streak this season4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.66
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.32
Elo strength rating1385

Durham W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)4.30
Best league winning streak this season0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
Elo strength rating1259
Everton WDurham W
Goals scored (season avg)
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.30
4.30
Best league winning streak this season
4
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.66
—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.32
—
Elo strength rating
1385
1259

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Everton W

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Durham W

Lost 10 in a row Winless 10
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: WSL Cup

Everton W

Best defence (0.30 conceded/game, season) Best clean sheets (2, season)

Durham W

Worst defence (4.30 conceded/game, season) Best Over 2.5 rate (100%, last 6)

Rank among 23 WSL Cup teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Everton W at home · Durham W away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Everton W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–0L
W 2
Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0

Durham W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–1L
L 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)3.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Everton W (home)Durham W (away)
W 2
L 1
Played
2
1
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
3.00
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
13.95%
2–0
12.08%
2–1
9.2%
3–0
6.44%
3–1
4.91%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Durham W 1 win · 0 draws · Everton W 2 wins · avg 1.7 goals · BTTS in 1 of 3

1
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
17 Dec 2022 Everton W 0–1 Durham W WSL Cup
05 Dec 2021 Everton W 1–0 Durham W WSL Cup
18 Apr 2021 Everton W 2–1 Durham W FA Women's Cup

📈 Recent Form

Everton W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Manchester United W Home 0–0 D
28/10 Sheffield United W Away 2–1 W
25/10 Aston Villa W Home 2–3 L
21/10 Newcastle United W Home 2–0 W
18/10 London City Lionesses W Away 1–2 L
04/10 Birmingham City W Home 2–1 W
27/09 Liverpool W Away 0–2 L
23/09 Birmingham City W Home 2–0 W
20/09 West Ham W Away 1–0 W
13/09 Charlton Athletic W Home 1–0 W

Durham W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Newcastle United W Home 1–5 L
25/10 Watford W Away 2–4 L
21/10 Birmingham City W Home 0–5 L
18/10 Burnley W Away 2–3 L
04/10 Newcastle United W Home 0–3 L
30/09 Manchester United W Home 1–5 L
27/09 Sheffield United W Away 1–4 L
20/09 Nottingham Forest W Home 1–2 L
13/09 Leicester City FC W Away 2–4 L
06/09 Southampton W Home 1–3 L

📊 Season Comparison: WSL Cup

Everton W

Played3
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.66
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.32
Corners for (avg)4.30
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Durham W

Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)4.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
Corners for (avg)—
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Everton WDurham W
Played
3
3
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.30
4.30
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
0
1
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.66
—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.32
—
Corners for (avg)
4.30
—
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Everton W

0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
76-90
2
scored conceded

Durham W

1
0-15
1
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
6
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: WSL Cup predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws