Dunkerque vs Guingamp
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 • 22:00 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Stade Marcel Tribut • ☁️ 5.2°C, 2 km/h overcast
Snapshotted at publish: Under 2.5 at 2.30 (47.4%, Model EV +9.0%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Dafabet3.65 | 27.2% | -0.7% |
| Double Chance | X2 | Betano1.50 | 64.2% | -3.7% |
| BTTS | Yes | William Hill1.53 | 48.3% · No 51.7% | -26.1% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Betano2.30 | 47.4% · Over 52.6% | +9% |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Betano7.40 | 14.6% | +8% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.6 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 57% · Over 43% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Dunkerque · Home
Dunkerque have failed to score in three of their last five matches, including the latest head-to-head against Guingamp, which finished 0-0. Their recent weighted xG of 0.68 is well below the model expectation of 1.19, so a low-scoring home display is plausible.
Guingamp · Away
Guingamp scored eight goals across their last five matches, with clean sheets in two of them, and their recent weighted xG of 2.16 is the stronger attacking figure in this matchup. Yet the model gives them 1.13 expected goals here, suggesting a tighter contest than their recent results imply.
Low-scoring H2H points to draw
The latest meeting between these sides ended 0-0, and Dunkerque have failed to score in three of their last five matches. Guingamp's recent weighted xG of 2.16 contrasts with a model expectation of 1.13, while Dunkerque's 0.68 recent weighted xG sits below their model figure of 1.19. The 1-1 correct score at 14.6% fits a match where both sides can score but neither is projected to dominate. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 01 Nov 2026 16:46 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Dunkerque 1.19 – 1.13 Guingamp · expected total 2.32
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Dunkerque
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Dunkerque
Guingamp
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Ligue 2
Dunkerque
Guingamp
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 18 Ligue 2 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Dunkerque at home · Guingamp away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Dunkerque (home)
Guingamp (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Dunkerque 3 wins · 3 draws · Guingamp 4 wins · avg 1.9 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb 2026 | Dunkerque | 0–0 | Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| 23 Sep 2025 | Guingamp | 2–1 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| 14 May 2025 | Dunkerque | 1–0 | Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| 07 Apr 2025 | Dunkerque | 3–1 | Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| 04 Jan 2025 | Guingamp | 1–1 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Dunkerque | 0–1 | Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| 12 Aug 2023 | Guingamp | 0–1 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| 07 May 2022 | Dunkerque | 1–3 | Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| 21 Dec 2021 | Guingamp | 2–1 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| 05 Feb 2021 | Guingamp | 0–0 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
📈 Recent Form
Dunkerque
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Rodez | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 23/10 | Metz | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Nantes | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 09/10 | Annecy | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 02/10 | RAAL La Louvière | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 18/09 | PAU | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Saint Etienne | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 04/09 | Clermont Foot | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 28/08 | Nancy | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 21/08 | Montpellier | Home | 0–1 | L |
Guingamp
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Saint Etienne | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 23/10 | Clermont Foot | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 16/10 | PAU | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 09/10 | Nancy | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 02/10 | Le Mans | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | RED Star FC 93 | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 12/09 | Annecy | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 05/09 | Reims | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 29/08 | Nantes | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 21/08 | Sochaux | Away | 0–1 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Ligue 2
Dunkerque #12 · 12 pts · Guingamp #9 · 14 pts
Dunkerque
Guingamp
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Dunkerque
Guingamp
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Ligue 2 predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws