Predictions → France Ligue 2

Reims vs Sochaux

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Mon, 02 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Stade Auguste-Delaune • ☁️ 9°C, 9 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home 1.62 → 1.76 ▲9% Pinnacle1.7658.5% +3%
Double Chance 1X Betano1.2381.8% +0.6%
BTTS Yes William Hill1.7356.9% · No 43.1% -1.6%
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Pinnacle1.8355.5% · Under 44.5% +1.6%
Correct Score 2-1 Betano8.7510% -12.5%
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9 exp.) Under 9.5 Pinnacle1.8253.6% · Over 46.4% -2.4%

🧠 Match Preview

Reims · Home

Reims have scored in three of their last five and put four past Dijon at home (4-2), though the 0-0 at Nantes and 0-3 loss at Anderlecht show the inconsistency. Their recent xG for stands at 1.21 across up to five matches with recorded statistics, while the model expected goals for this fixture is 2.12.

Sochaux · Away

Sochaux have failed to keep a clean sheet in five matches, conceding nine goals, including three at home to Annecy (1-3) and three at Metz (2-3). They did score in every one of those games, with seven goals total, so they carry a scoring threat even in defeat.

Reims' H2H dominance

The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Reims beat Sochaux 3-0 (3-0) in December 2022, and the two prior meetings also went Reims' way, 3-0 (3-0) and 4-2 away (2-4). Sochaux's leaky recent record of nine goals conceded in five fits that pattern, and their habit of scoring once offers a route to the 2-1 correct score. Reims' home win over Dijon shows they can convert at this venue. The evidence supports Reims win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Reims 2.12 – 1.01 Sochaux · expected total 3.13

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Reims

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.21
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.44
Elo strength rating1612

Sochaux

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
Elo strength rating1343
ReimsSochaux
Goals scored (season avg)
2.00
0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.20
1.20
Best league winning streak this season
3
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.21
—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.44
—
Elo strength rating
1612
1343

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Reims

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Sochaux

Lost 2 in a row Winless 3
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Ligue 2

Reims

2nd best attack (2.00 goals/game, season)

Sochaux

2nd worst attack (0.80 goals/game, season) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 18 Ligue 2 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Reims at home · Sochaux away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Reims (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–0L
W 2
D 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Sochaux (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–4D–1L
D 4
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Reims (home)Sochaux (away)
W 2
D 3
D 4
L 1
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
2.60
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
1.00
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
0
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.99%
2–0
9.85%
1–0
8.36%
3–1
7.05%
3–0
6.96%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Reims 4 wins · 1 draw · Sochaux 3 wins · avg 2.4 goals · BTTS in 2 of 8

4
1
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
08 Dec 2022 Reims 3–0 Sochaux Friendlies Clubs
09 Feb 2018 Reims 3–0 Sochaux Ligue 2
16 Sep 2017 Sochaux 2–4 Reims Ligue 2
11 Feb 2017 Reims 0–1 Sochaux Ligue 2
16 Sep 2016 Sochaux 1–1 Reims Ligue 2
20 Apr 2014 Reims 0–1 Sochaux Ligue 1
04 Dec 2013 Sochaux 0–2 Reims Ligue 1
19 Jan 2013 Sochaux 1–0 Reims Ligue 1

📈 Recent Form

Reims

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26/10 Boulogne Away 1–1 D
16/10 Dijon Home 4–2 W
10/10 Nantes Away 0–0 D
02/10 Anderlecht Away 0–3 L
18/09 Montpellier Home 1–1 D
11/09 Nancy Away 2–1 W
05/09 Guingamp Home 2–2 D
29/08 RED Star FC 93 Away 4–1 W
24/08 Annecy Home 3–1 W
14/08 Dunkerque Home 3–3 D

Sochaux

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
23/10 Annecy Home 1–3 L
17/10 Metz Away 2–3 L
09/10 Boulogne Home 1–1 D
02/10 Neuchatel Xamax FC Home 2–1 W
18/09 Laval Away 1–1 D
12/09 Nantes Home 1–0 W
04/09 PAU Away 1–1 D
28/08 Clermont Foot Away 0–0 D
21/08 Guingamp Home 1–0 W
14/08 RED Star FC 93 Away 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison: Ligue 2

Reims #5 · 18 pts ·  Sochaux #13 · 11 pts

Reims

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–6D–0L
W 4
D 6
Played10
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards18
Red cards2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.21
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.44
Corners for (avg)3.70
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Sochaux

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–5D–3L
W 2
D 5
L 3
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets4
Failed to score3
Yellow cards12
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
Corners for (avg)4.60
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1
ReimsSochaux
W 4
D 6
W 2
D 5
L 3
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.20
Clean sheets
2
4
Failed to score
2
3
Yellow cards
18
12
Red cards
2
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.21
—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.44
—
Corners for (avg)
3.70
4.60
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Reims

4
0-15
1
16-30
3
3
31-45
5
1
46-60
6
1
61-75
2
4
76-90
2
scored conceded

Sochaux

2
0-15
2
5
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Ligue 2 predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws

Referee: Remi Landry