Predictions → Germany 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 • 11:00 UTC+3 • Round 9 • Avnet-Arena

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 84% 58.3% 1.67 1xBet 57.9% +0.4 pp
Double Chance 1X 72% 72.7% 1.17 1xBet 78.3% -5.6 pp
BTTS Yes 82% 50.9% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83% 52.8% 1.33 1xBet 69.3% -16.5 pp
Correct Score 2-1 63% 7.6% 8.00 1xBet 5.3% +2.3 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.8 exp.) Over 9.5 64% 54.7% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: 1. FC Magdeburg 1.87 – 1.24 Karlsruher SC · expected total 3.11

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

1. FC Magdeburg

Form (last 5)
LDynamo Dresden (A) 0–2 · 18/10/2026WHannover 96 (H) 3–0 · 10/10/2026DSpVgg Greuther Fürth (A) 1–1 · 18/09/2026W1. FC Kaiserslautern (H) 3–0 · 12/09/2026LHertha BSC (A) 1–2 · 06/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Win streak (best this season)2
xG for (recent avg)1.07
xG against (recent avg)1.11
Elo strength rating1454

Karlsruher SC

Form (last 5)
WSV Darmstadt 98 (H) 4–0 · 18/10/2026LFC St. Pauli (A) 0–2 · 11/10/2026WSV Wehen (A) 2–1 · 02/10/2026L1. FC Nürnberg (H) 0–1 · 19/09/2026LEnergie Cottbus (H) 0–3 · 13/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.80
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)1.19
xG against (recent avg)1.19
Elo strength rating1419
1. FC MagdeburgKarlsruher SC
Goals scored (season avg)
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
1.80
Win streak (best this season)
2
1
xG for (recent avg)
1.07
1.19
xG against (recent avg)
1.11
1.19
Elo strength rating
1454
1419

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

1. FC Magdeburg

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Karlsruher SC

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Magdeburg

2nd best clean sheets (4)

Karlsruher SC

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 18 2. Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

1. FC Magdeburg at home · Karlsruher SC away — the split that matters for this fixture.

1. FC Magdeburg (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–0D–1L
W 3
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0

Karlsruher SC (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–1L
D 2
L 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
1. FC Magdeburg (home)Karlsruher SC (away)
W 3
L 1
D 2
L 1
Played
4
3
Goals scored (avg)
2.30
0.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.30
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
0
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1
7.6%
2–0
6.1%
1–0
5.7%
3–1
4.7%
3–0
3.8%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

1. FC Magdeburg 2 wins · 3 draws · Karlsruher SC 5 wins · avg 3.2 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10

2
3
5
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
01 Mar 2026 1. FC Magdeburg 1–3 Karlsruher SC 2. Bundesliga
27 Sep 2025 Karlsruher SC 1–0 1. FC Magdeburg 2. Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 Karlsruher SC 3–1 1. FC Magdeburg 2. Bundesliga
22 Sep 2024 1. FC Magdeburg 2–2 Karlsruher SC 2. Bundesliga
17 Mar 2024 Karlsruher SC 7–0 FC Magdeburg 2. Bundesliga
07 Oct 2023 FC Magdeburg 1–1 Karlsruher SC 2. Bundesliga
05 Feb 2023 FC Magdeburg 1–1 Karlsruher SC 2. Bundesliga
24 Jul 2022 Karlsruher SC 2–3 FC Magdeburg 2. Bundesliga
07 Apr 2018 FC Magdeburg 2–0 Karlsruher SC 3. Liga
29 Oct 2017 Karlsruher SC 1–0 FC Magdeburg 3. Liga

📈 Recent Form

1. FC Magdeburg

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18/10 Dynamo Dresden Away 0–2 L
10/10 Hannover 96 Home 3–0 W
18/09 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Away 1–1 D
12/09 1. FC Kaiserslautern Home 3–0 W
06/09 Hertha BSC Away 1–2 L

Karlsruher SC

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18/10 SV Darmstadt 98 Home 4–0 W
11/10 FC St. Pauli Away 0–2 L
02/10 SV Wehen Away 2–1 W
19/09 1. FC Nürnberg Home 0–1 L
13/09 Energie Cottbus Home 0–3 L

📊 Season Comparison — 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Magdeburg #6 · 13 pts —  Karlsruher SC #13 · 8 pts

1. FC Magdeburg

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–3L
W 4
D 1
L 3
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets4
Failed to score1
Yellow cards16
Red cards2
xG for (avg)1.07
xG against (avg)1.11
Corners for (avg)6.10
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Karlsruher SC

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–4L
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Yellow cards14
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.19
xG against (avg)1.19
Corners for (avg)5.80
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
1. FC MagdeburgKarlsruher SC
W 4
D 1
L 3
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.80
Clean sheets
4
2
Failed to score
1
4
Yellow cards
16
14
Red cards
2
0
xG for (avg)
1.07
1.19
xG against (avg)
1.11
1.19
Corners for (avg)
6.10
5.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

1. FC Magdeburg

3
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Karlsruher SC

1
0-15
4
3
16-30
1
4
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: 2. Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws