Predictions → Germany Oberliga - Hamburg

Süderelbe vs ETSV Hamburg

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 • 21:30 UTC+3 • Hamburg - 16 • ☀️ 2.5°C, 8 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Away Current price not available47.5% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available77.6% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available72.8% · No 27.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available73.6% · Under 26.4% —
Correct Score 1-2 Current price not available8.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Süderelbe 30.1% · Draw 22.4% · ETSV Hamburg 47.5%. Selected outcome: ETSV Hamburg win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Süderelbe 1.69, ETSV Hamburg 2.15, expected total 3.84.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Süderelbe: L in their last five matches.
ETSV Hamburg: W in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Süderelbe 2–2 ETSV Hamburg, 06 Mar 2026.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Süderelbe

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1333

ETSV Hamburg

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.50
Goals conceded (season avg)2.50
Best league winning streak this season6
Elo strength rating1338
SüderelbeETSV Hamburg
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
2.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
2.50
Best league winning streak this season
3
6
Elo strength rating
1333
1338

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Süderelbe

BTTS
3/3
Over 2.5
3/3
Scored a goal
3/3
No goals conceded
0/3

ETSV Hamburg

BTTS
4/4
Over 2.5
4/4
Scored a goal
4/4
No goals conceded
0/4

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Oberliga - Hamburg

Süderelbe

2nd best defence (1.50 conceded/game, season) Best clean sheets (3, season)

ETSV Hamburg

Best BTTS rate (100%, last 6) Best Over 2.5 rate (100%, last 6)

Rank among 18 Oberliga - Hamburg teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Süderelbe at home · ETSV Hamburg away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Süderelbe (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–4L
W 2
D 1
L 4
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

ETSV Hamburg (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–1L
W 3
D 2
L 1
Played6
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Süderelbe (home)ETSV Hamburg (away)
W 2
D 1
L 4
W 3
D 2
L 1
Played
7
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
2.50
Goals conceded (avg)
2.10
1.50
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–2
8.46%
1–3
6.06%
2–3
5.13%
0–2
5%
0–1
3.86%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

ETSV Hamburg 3 wins · 2 draws · Süderelbe 1 win · avg 3.3 goals · BTTS in 3 of 6

3
2
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
06 Mar 2026 Süderelbe 2–2 ETSV Hamburg Oberliga - Hamburg
21 Sep 2025 ETSV Hamburg 4–0 Süderelbe Oberliga - Hamburg
25 Mar 2025 Süderelbe 1–1 ETSV Hamburg Oberliga - Hamburg
22 Sep 2024 ETSV Hamburg 4–1 Süderelbe Oberliga - Hamburg
10 May 2024 Süderelbe 3–0 ETSV Hamburg Oberliga - Hamburg
03 Nov 2023 ETSV Hamburg 2–0 Süderelbe Oberliga - Hamburg

📈 Recent Form

Süderelbe

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30/10 Teutonia Ottensen Home 3–4 L
24/10 Tus Dassendorf Away 2–1 W
16/10 Sasel Home 1–2 L

ETSV Hamburg

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30/10 Victoria Hamburg Away 3–2 W
23/10 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 Home 4–5 L
17/10 HT16 Away 2–2 D
13/10 Norderstedt II Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Oberliga - Hamburg

Süderelbe

Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

ETSV Hamburg

Played13
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
SüderelbeETSV Hamburg
Played
14
13
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
2.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
2.50
Clean sheets
3
0
Failed to score
2
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Süderelbe

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

ETSV Hamburg

0-15
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Oberliga - Hamburg predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws