Predictions → Germany Oberliga - Hamburg

HEBC vs Paloma

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 12:45 UTC+3 • Hamburg - 16 • ☁️ 6.9°C, 10 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Away Current price not available47.4% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available76.2% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available67.8% · No 32.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available67.3% · Under 32.7% —
Correct Score 1-2 Current price not available9.1% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: HEBC 28.8% · Draw 23.8% · Paloma 47.4%. Selected outcome: Paloma win.

Goals

Model expected goals: HEBC 1.51, Paloma 1.97, expected total 3.47.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

HEBC: L-W-L-W-W in their last five matches.
Paloma: W-D-W-L-W in their last five matches.
Last meeting: HEBC 1–2 Paloma, 05 Mar 2026.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

HEBC

Form (last 5)
WLWLW
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1368

Paloma

Form (last 5)
WWDWL
Goals scored (season avg)2.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.80
Best league winning streak this season5
Elo strength rating1396
HEBCPaloma
Goals scored (season avg)
1.40
2.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.70
1.80
Best league winning streak this season
2
5
Elo strength rating
1368
1396

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

HEBC

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Paloma

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 4
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Oberliga - Hamburg

HEBC

Best clean sheets (3, season)

Paloma

Best attack (2.80 goals/game, season)

Rank among 18 Oberliga - Hamburg teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

HEBC at home · Paloma away, the split that matters for this fixture.

HEBC (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–6L
W 1
L 6
Played7
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3

Paloma (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–0D–0L
W 7
Played7
Goals scored (avg)3.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
HEBC (home)Paloma (away)
W 1
L 6
W 7
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
0.90
3.40
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
1.40
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
3
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–2
9.08%
0–2
6.03%
1–3
5.95%
0–1
5.2%
2–3
4.49%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

HEBC 4 wins · 2 draws · Paloma 4 wins · avg 2.6 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10

4
2
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
05 Mar 2026 HEBC 1–2 Paloma Oberliga - Hamburg
07 Sep 2025 Paloma 1–0 HEBC Oberliga - Hamburg
06 Apr 2025 Paloma 0–1 HEBC Oberliga - Hamburg
20 Oct 2024 HEBC 3–1 Paloma Oberliga - Hamburg
28 Mar 2024 HEBC 2–0 Paloma Oberliga - Hamburg
20 Aug 2023 Paloma 1–4 HEBC Oberliga - Hamburg
04 Dec 2022 HEBC 1–1 Paloma Oberliga - Hamburg
14 Aug 2022 Paloma 1–1 HEBC Oberliga - Hamburg
14 May 2022 Paloma 3–0 HEBC Oberliga - Hamburg
27 Mar 2022 HEBC 1–2 Paloma Oberliga - Hamburg

📈 Recent Form

HEBC

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Nikola Tesla Away 2–1 W
25/10 Sasel Home 2–3 L
16/10 Norderstedt II Away 2–1 W
11/10 Süderelbe Home 1–3 L
02/10 Harksheide Away 3–0 W
27/09 Pinneberg Home 1–0 W
19/09 Altona 93 Away 0–2 L
13/09 Victoria Hamburg Home 2–3 L
06/09 Buchholz Away 2–3 L
01/09 Borussia Dortmund Home 0–5 L

Paloma

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Norderstedt II Home 5–2 W
23/10 Harksheide Away 2–0 W
17/10 Altona 93 Home 2–2 D
11/10 Buchholz Away 4–2 W
04/10 ETSV Hamburg Home 1–4 L
27/09 Concordia Away 3–2 W
20/09 Teutonia Ottensen Home 3–1 W
12/09 Tus Dassendorf Away 2–1 W
06/09 Sasel Home 3–2 W
28/08 Süderelbe Away 5–2 W

📊 Season Comparison: Oberliga - Hamburg

HEBC

Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets3
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Paloma

Played13
Goals scored (avg)2.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
HEBCPaloma
Played
13
13
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
2.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
1.80
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
4
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

HEBC

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Paloma

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Oberliga - Hamburg predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws