Predictions → Italy Campionato Primavera 1

Genoa U20 vs Lecce U20

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 13:00 UTC+3 • Round 10 • 🌫 19.5°C, 4 km/h fog

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available50.6% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available77.4% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available70% · No 30% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available70.9% · Under 29.1% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9% —

🧠 Match Preview

Genoa U20 · Home

Genoa U20 are unbeaten across their last five with 2 wins and 3 draws, scoring 10 and conceding 5. They drew 1-1 at home to Hellas Verona U20 but also beat Reggiana U19 3-0 at home.

Lecce U20 · Away

Lecce U20 won 4 of their last five, scoring 13 and conceding 5, with 3 clean sheets. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 away to Juventus U20.

Genoa's H2H Edge Over Lecce

The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Lecce U20 hosted Genoa U20 on 11 Apr 2026 and lost 0-2, and the previous meeting in Genoa finished 1-1. Genoa have therefore taken 4 points from the last 2 meetings without defeat. Lecce's strong recent record of 4 wins in 5 is real, but 3 of those wins came at home, while their away form includes the 2-3 loss at Juventus U20. Genoa's unbeaten five-match run, with 10 goals scored and no failure to score, supports a realistic home result. The evidence supports Genoa U20 win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Genoa U20 2.14 – 1.53 Lecce U20 · expected total 3.68

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Genoa U20

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1346

Lecce U20

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season5
Elo strength rating1369
Genoa U20Lecce U20
Goals scored (season avg)
1.80
1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
1.30
Best league winning streak this season
3
5
Elo strength rating
1346
1369

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Genoa U20

Unbeaten 6
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Lecce U20

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Campionato Primavera 1

Genoa U20

2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Lecce U20

Best clean sheets (3, season)

Rank among 20 Campionato Primavera 1 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Genoa U20 at home · Lecce U20 away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Genoa U20 (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–1L
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

Lecce U20 (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–1L
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Genoa U20 (home)Lecce U20 (away)
W 1
D 2
L 1
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
2.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
2.00
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
8.98%
3–1
6.42%
2–0
5.85%
3–2
4.92%
1–0
4.62%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Genoa U20 3 wins · 1 draw · Lecce U20 0 wins · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 2 of 4

3
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
11 Apr 2026 Lecce U20 0–2 Genoa U20 Campionato Primavera - 1
26 Oct 2025 Genoa U20 1–1 Lecce U20 Campionato Primavera - 1
06 Apr 2025 Lecce U20 0–2 Genoa U20 Campionato Primavera - 1
14 Dec 2024 Genoa U20 2–1 Lecce U20 Campionato Primavera - 1

📈 Recent Form

Genoa U20

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Hellas Verona U20 Home 1–1 D
27/10 Reggiana U19 Home 3–0 W
24/10 Roma U20 Away 2–2 D
18/10 Sassuolo U20 Home 1–1 D
11/10 Juventus U20 Away 3–1 W
20/09 Atalanta U20 Home 3–1 W
11/09 Parma U20 Away 1–2 L
05/09 Fiorentina U20 Home 3–3 D
31/08 Monza U20 Away 1–0 W
23/08 Internazionale U20 Home 0–1 L

Lecce U20

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Bologna U20 Home 3–0 W
28/10 Pisa U19 Home 5–2 W
24/10 Juventus U20 Away 2–3 L
17/10 Cesena U20 Home 1–0 W
11/10 Hellas Verona U20 Away 2–0 W
19/09 Fiorentina U20 Home 1–1 D
12/09 Monza U20 Away 2–2 D
04/09 Roma U20 Home 1–1 D
30/08 Torino U20 Away 3–3 D
22/08 Lazio U20 Home 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Campionato Primavera 1

Genoa U20 #9 · 13 pts ·  Lecce U20 #7 · 13 pts

Genoa U20

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–4D–2L
W 3
D 4
L 2
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Lecce U20

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–4D–2L
W 3
D 4
L 2
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards5
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Genoa U20Lecce U20
W 3
D 4
L 2
W 3
D 4
L 2
Played
9
9
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.30
Clean sheets
1
3
Failed to score
1
0
Yellow cards
0
5
Red cards
0
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Genoa U20

3
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
4
1
46-60
61-75
1
3
76-90
1
scored conceded

Lecce U20

2
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
2
61-75
1
3
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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