Italy Campionato Primavera 1 Predictions and Betting Tips

Round 9 • 1 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

Regular Season, Round 9

Today - Monday, November 02

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
13:00 WLWDW WWLDD 46.8% Home N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

PredictLix Campionato Primavera 1 Facts and Insights

League facts from all completed matches · Updated: November 2, 2026, 05:15 UTC

Results and goal volume

Metric Current2026/27 · 89 matches Previous2025/26 · 386 matches Change
Home wins 36.0% 40.2% -4.2 pp
Draws 32.6% 30.3% +2.3 pp
Away wins 31.5% 29.5% +2.0 pp
Total goals per match 3.22 2.75 +0.47
Home goals per match 1.69 1.50 +0.19
Away goals per match 1.54 1.25 +0.29
First-half goals per match 1.67 1.22 +0.45
Over 1.5 goals 84.3% 75.9% +8.4 pp
Over 2.5 goals 59.6% 51.6% +8.0 pp
Over 3.5 goals 42.7% 28.5% +14.2 pp

Scoring and match patterns

Metric Current2026/27 · 89 matches Previous2025/26 · 386 matches Change
Over 4.5 goals 20.2% 14.5% +5.7 pp
First-half Over 1.5 goals 48.3% 37.3% +11.0 pp
First-half both teams scored 33.3% 22.0% +11.3 pp
Both teams scored 67.4% 58.5% +8.9 pp
BTTS and Over 2.5 55.1% 45.1% +10.0 pp
Goalless draws (0–0) 3.4% 7.5% -4.1 pp
Home clean sheets 13.5% 26.7% -13.2 pp
Away clean sheets 22.5% 22.3% +0.2 pp
One-goal winning margins 32.6% 39.1% -6.5 pp
Second-half Over 1.5 goals 49.4% 42.2% +7.2 pp

pp = percentage points. Final scores are listed with the home team first. First-half sample: 2026/27: 87 matches with half-time scores.

Most common final scores

Twelve scorelines in descending current-season frequency, continuing from the first table to the second.

Final score Current season2026/27 Previous season2025/26 Change
2–2 13.5%12 of 89 6.5%25 of 386 +7.0 pp
1–1 12.4%11 of 89 13.5%52 of 386 -1.1 pp
2–1 9.0%8 of 89 9.3%36 of 386 -0.3 pp
0–1 9.0%8 of 89 7.3%28 of 386 +1.7 pp
0–2 7.9%7 of 89 5.4%21 of 386 +2.4 pp
1–2 5.6%5 of 89 8.5%33 of 386 -2.9 pp
Final score Current season2026/27 Previous season2025/26 Change
2–0 4.5%4 of 89 5.4%21 of 386 -0.9 pp
1–3 4.5%4 of 89 2.3%9 of 386 +2.2 pp
3–2 4.5%4 of 89 2.3%9 of 386 +2.2 pp
1–0 3.4%3 of 89 9.3%36 of 386 -6.0 pp
0–0 3.4%3 of 89 7.5%29 of 386 -4.1 pp
3–1 3.4%3 of 89 4.4%17 of 386 -1.0 pp

Five key insights from the season data

  • Home wins fell to 36.0% this season from 40.2% last season, while draws rose to 32.6% from 30.3%. One possible explanation is that more frequent early goals are producing game states where the trailing side pushes back rather than the leader extending its edge, so some would-be home wins could be settling as draws.
  • Both teams scored in 67.4% of matches this season versus 58.5% last season, and first-half BTTS rose to 33.3% from 22.0%. This pattern could reflect matches opening up earlier, with both sides finding the net before half-time and reducing the share of one-sided or clean-sheet outcomes.
  • Total goals per match climbed to 3.22 this season from 2.75 last season, with first-half goals up to 1.67 from 1.22. One possible explanation is that matches are being stretched earlier by transition play, which could also explain why the over 3.5 share rose to 42.7% from 28.5%.
  • Home clean sheets dropped sharply to 13.5% this season from 26.7% last season, while away clean sheets were essentially unchanged at 22.5% versus 22.3%. This asymmetry may point to home sides committing more players forward in search of goals, leaving them more exposed at the back rather than away attacks simply improving.
  • First-half Over 1.5 goals occurred in 48.3% of matches this season versus 37.3% last season, a larger early-scoring shift than the full-match over 2.5 change. One possible explanation is less cautious opening approaches, with teams pressing higher from kick-off and creating more first-half chances; a regression towards last season's rate is only a forward-looking possibility for remaining matches.

AI-selected and written from the verified figures above · Published: November 1, 2026, 17:16 UTC

Current Standings

Campionato Primavera 1 · 2026/27

Updated: Nov 2, 2026, 00:00 UTC
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1
Parma U20 Leader
9 5 3 1 20 10 +10 18
W L W D D
2
Internazionale U20
9 5 3 1 21 12 +9 18
L W D D W
3
Roma U20
9 4 4 1 15 10 +5 16
W D L D W
4
Lazio U20
9 4 3 2 18 14 +4 15
W D D L D
5
Empoli U20
8 4 3 1 13 11 +2 15
L W D W W
6
Bologna U20
9 5 0 4 21 22 -1 15
L W L W W
7
Lecce U20
9 3 4 2 16 12 +4 13
W L W W D
8
Fiorentina U20
9 3 4 2 14 10 +4 13
W W W D D
9
Genoa U20
9 3 4 2 15 12 +3 13
D D D W W
10
Milan U20
9 4 1 4 15 12 +3 13
W L W L L
11
Como U20
9 3 3 3 13 12 +1 12
W L W D L
12
Cagliari U20
8 3 2 3 12 17 -5 11
W L D D L
13
Torino U20
9 2 4 3 17 18 -1 10
D D W L D
14
Cesena U20
9 2 4 3 9 11 -2 10
L D L W D
15
Juventus U20
9 2 4 3 10 13 -3 10
D W W L D
16
Hellas Verona U20
9 2 3 4 9 11 -2 9
D D L L D
17
Sassuolo U20
9 2 3 4 16 20 -4 9
L D D W L
18
Atalanta U20
9 2 1 6 13 19 -6 7
L D L W L
19
Monza U20
9 1 3 5 12 20 -8 6
L D L D L
20
Albinoleffe U20
9 1 2 6 8 21 -13 5
L D L L D

League-only form: five most recent matches in this competition, newest first. Prediction tables show form across all competitions.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

3 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
33.3% 1/3
⚽ Both Teams to Score
66.7% 2/3
📈 Over / Under 2.5
33.3% 1/3
🔢 Correct Score
0.0% 0/3
🛡️ Double Chance
66.7% 2/3
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
33.3% 1/3

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 33.3% 1/3
⚽ Both Teams to Score 66.7% 2/3
📈 Over / Under 2.5 33.3% 1/3
🛡️ Double Chance 66.7% 2/3
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 3/3. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 3/3. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 3/3. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 3/3. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 3/3. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 53.2% 0.0% 2 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 63.8% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 68.4% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 52.2% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 69.0% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 48.4% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 9.5% 0.0% 3 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 78.3% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 83.5% 100.0% 1 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 8

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
18/10 12:00 LWD W — No data N/A — 3 – 0 FT
18/10 12:00 DDDWL L — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
18/10 14:00 LWDLD DWWLD — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
18/10 16:00 LWLWW WWWDD — No data N/A — 0 – 2 FT
18/10 16:00 WLWDD DWDDW — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
19/10 12:00 LDLWL WWLWL — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
19/10 14:00 WWLWW LDDDW — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
19/10 14:00 WDL WWLDD — No data N/A — 3 – 0 FT
19/10 16:00 LDLWD WWDDL — No data N/A — 3 – 1 FT
20/10 17:30 DDDLL W — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
23/10 16:00 LDLWL WWDDL — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
23/10 18:00 LDDDW DDDWL — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
24/10 12:00 WDL DWDDW — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
24/10 12:00 DWWLD WWLWW — No data N/A — 3 – 2 FT
24/10 14:00 WWWDD WWLWL — No data N/A — 4 – 2 FT
24/10 16:00 LWLWW WLWDW — No data N/A — 3 – 1 FT
24/10 16:00 LDLWD LWDLD — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
25/10 13:00 WWLDD WWLWD — No data N/A — 3 – 2 FT
25/10 15:00 DDDLL LWDLL — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
25/10 17:00 LWD WLWDD — No data N/A — 2 – 1 FT