Italy Serie D - Girone B Predictions and Betting Tips

Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Italy League Tips
Serie A Serie B Serie C - Girone A Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 2 Coppa Italia Primavera Coppa Italia Serie C Coppa Italia Serie D Serie A Women Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone C Serie D - Girone A Serie D - Girone C Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone E Serie D - Girone F Serie D - Girone G Serie D - Girone H Serie D - Girone I

Group B, Round 11

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
16:30 LLLLL
Brusaporto Brusaporto vs Piacenza Piacenza
WWDWD 47.6% Away N/A — —
16:30 WDDWL
Scanzorosciate Scanzorosciate vs Pavonese Pavonese
WDDWL 43.4% Home N/A — —
16:30 LLWLW
Caldiero Terme Caldiero Terme vs Villa Valle Villa Valle
WWDWW 26% Draw N/A — —
16:30 LWLDD
Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola vs Club Milano Club Milano
LDLWL 34.2% Draw N/A — —
16:30 DDWLL
Real Calepina Real Calepina vs Chievo Chievo
WWLDL 43.3% Home N/A — —
16:30 WDLWW
Leon Leon vs Virtus Verona Virtus Verona
LLWDL 53.9% Home N/A — —
16:30 LDLLW
Pro Palazzolo Pro Palazzolo vs Rovato Vertovese Rovato Vertovese
WLDWL 38% Draw N/A — —
16:30 WDDWL
Milan II Milan II vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
DLLLW 49% Home N/A — —
16:30 LWWWL
Nibbiano & Valtidone Nibbiano & Valtidone vs Tritium Tritium
LWLLL 71.1% Home N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone B

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

PredictLix Serie D - Girone B Facts and Insights

League facts from all completed matches · Updated: November 2, 2026, 03:15 UTC

Results and goal volume

Metric Current2026/27 · 89 matches Previous2025/26 · 310 matches Change
Home wins 41.6% 35.5% +6.1 pp
Draws 27.0% 30.0% -3.0 pp
Away wins 31.5% 34.5% -3.0 pp
Total goals per match 2.55 2.51 +0.04
Home goals per match 1.44 1.28 +0.16
Away goals per match 1.11 1.22 -0.11
First-half goals per match 1.01 1.14 -0.13
Over 1.5 goals 73.0% 70.6% +2.4 pp
Over 2.5 goals 44.9% 47.4% -2.5 pp
Over 3.5 goals 23.6% 24.5% -0.9 pp

Scoring and match patterns

Metric Current2026/27 · 89 matches Previous2025/26 · 310 matches Change
Over 4.5 goals 11.2% 9.4% +1.8 pp
First-half Over 1.5 goals 22.7% 33.2% -10.5 pp
First-half both teams scored 17.0% 20.0% -3.0 pp
Both teams scored 53.9% 51.9% +2.0 pp
BTTS and Over 2.5 37.1% 38.4% -1.3 pp
Goalless draws (0–0) 5.6% 8.4% -2.8 pp
Home clean sheets 29.2% 27.4% +1.8 pp
Away clean sheets 22.5% 29.0% -6.5 pp
One-goal winning margins 44.9% 40.0% +4.9 pp
Second-half Over 1.5 goals 40.9% 40.6% +0.3 pp

pp = percentage points. Final scores are listed with the home team first. First-half sample: 2026/27: 88 matches with half-time scores.

Most common final scores

Twelve scorelines in descending current-season frequency, continuing from the first table to the second.

Final score Current season2026/27 Previous season2025/26 Change
1–1 16.9%15 of 89 13.5%42 of 310 +3.3 pp
0–1 12.4%11 of 89 10.3%32 of 310 +2.0 pp
2–0 10.1%9 of 89 3.9%12 of 310 +6.2 pp
1–0 9.0%8 of 89 10.6%33 of 310 -1.7 pp
1–2 9.0%8 of 89 8.7%27 of 310 +0.3 pp
2–1 7.9%7 of 89 7.7%24 of 310 +0.1 pp
Final score Current season2026/27 Previous season2025/26 Change
0–0 5.6%5 of 89 8.4%26 of 310 -2.8 pp
2–2 4.5%4 of 89 7.4%23 of 310 -2.9 pp
3–1 3.4%3 of 89 3.5%11 of 310 -0.2 pp
0–3 2.2%2 of 89 3.2%10 of 310 -1.0 pp
3–0 2.2%2 of 89 3.2%10 of 310 -1.0 pp
1–3 2.2%2 of 89 2.6%8 of 310 -0.3 pp

Five key insights from the season data

  • Home wins are 41.6% this season versus 35.5% last season, a +6.1 percentage point rise. One possible explanation is that matches are opening more cautiously, with first-half goals down to 1.01 from 1.14, so hosts may be preserving a platform to win later rather than being outscored early.
  • Both teams scored in 53.9% of matches this season versus 51.9% last season, a +2.0 percentage point increase. One possible explanation is that fewer matches are being settled by a single early breakthrough, as goalless draws fell to 5.6% from 8.4%, which could leave more fixtures open for both sides to score.
  • First-half goals per match are 1.01 this season versus 1.14 last season, a -0.13 drop. This could reflect more cautious opening approaches, with first-half Over 1.5 goals falling to 22.7% from 33.2%, suggesting teams are delaying risk-taking until after the interval.
  • Away clean sheets are 22.5% this season versus 29.0% last season, a -6.5 percentage point decline. One possible explanation is a shift in game-state effects, as home goals per match rose to 1.44 from 1.28, which may leave visiting sides less able to protect a clean sheet once behind.
  • One-goal winning margins are 44.9% this season versus 40.0% last season, a +4.9 percentage point increase. This could reflect finishing variance in tighter contests, with total goals per match nearly unchanged at 2.55 versus 2.51, so matches may be decided by single moments rather than sustained scoring runs.

AI-selected and written from the verified figures above · Published: November 1, 2026, 17:16 UTC

Current Standings

Serie D - Girone B · 2026/27

Updated: Nov 2, 2026, 00:00 UTC
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1
Nibbiano & Valtidone Leader
 10 8 0 2 15 6 +9 24
L W W W L
2
Chievo
10 7 1 2 22 10 +12 22
W W L D W
3
Piacenza
9 5 3 1 17 8 +9 18
W D W D W
4
Leon
10 5 3 2 15 12 +3 18
W L W W W
5
Villa Valle
10 4 5 1 15 8 +7 17
W D W W D
6
Milan II
9 5 2 2 16 14 +2 17
W D D W L
7
Caldiero Terme
10 4 3 3 16 15 +1 15
L W L W W
8
Pavonese
10 4 3 3 11 12 -1 15
W D D W L
9
Real Calepina
10 3 4 3 15 15 0 13
D D W L W
10
Scanzorosciate
10 3 4 3 10 10 0 13
W D D W L
11
Virtus Verona
10 3 3 4 10 12 -2 12
L L W D L
12
Pro Palazzolo
10 3 2 5 8 14 -6 11
L D L L W
13
Rovato Vertovese
10 2 4 4 15 17 -2 10
W L D W L
14
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
10 2 4 4 11 13 -2 10
D L L L W
15
Brusaporto
10 3 0 7 9 17 -8 9
L L L L L
16
Club Milano
10 2 2 6 8 13 -5 8
L D L W L
17
Fiorenzuola
10 1 3 6 5 12 -7 6
L W L D D
18
Tritium
10 1 2 7 9 19 -10 5
L W L L L

League-only form: five most recent matches in this competition, newest first. Prediction tables show form across all competitions.

The current season is still in progress; the previous season is complete. Possible explanations are hypotheses based on score patterns, not verified causes. Regression towards last season’s level is a scenario, not a prediction.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

8 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
62.5% 5/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score
87.5% 7/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5
50.0% 4/8
🔢 Correct Score
25.0% 2/8
🛡️ Double Chance
62.5% 5/8
🤝 Draw Predictions
25.0% 1/4
📌 1X2 · draw picks
25.0% 1/4
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
100.0% 4/4

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 62.5% 5/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score 87.5% 7/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5 50.0% 4/8
🛡️ Double Chance 62.5% 5/8
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 4/4. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 38.0% 62.5% 8 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 51.8% 85.7% 7 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 62.9% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 55.0% 42.9% 7 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 61.2% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 12.7% 25.0% 8 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 68.4% 25.0% 4 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.6% 100.0% 4 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 29.7% 25.0% 4 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group B, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
01/11 16:30 WWLDL
Chievo Chievo vs Real Calepina Real Calepina
DDWLL — No data N/A — 3 – 3 FT
02/11 16:30 LDWWW
Castellanzese Castellanzese vs Varesina Varesina
WDDDD — No data N/A — 2 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 WDDWL
Scanzorosciate Scanzorosciate vs Vogherese Vogherese
----- — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 DLLLW
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Folgore Caratese Folgore Caratese
LDLLL — No data N/A — 1 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 LLWLW
Caldiero Terme Caldiero Terme vs Breno Breno
----- — No data N/A — 2 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 WLLWL
USD Casatese USD Casatese vs Sondrio Sondrio
----- — No data N/A — 4 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 WDLWW
Leon Monza e Brianza Leon Monza e Brianza vs Brusaporto Brusaporto
LLLLL — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 WDDWL
Milan II Milan II vs Oltrepò Oltrepò
LDDLL — No data N/A — 2 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 WWLDL
Pavia Pavia vs Villa Valle Villa Valle
WWDWW — No data N/A — 4 – 0 FT
31/10 16:30 WWLDL
Chievo Chievo vs Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola
LWLDD — No data N/A — 2 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 DLLLW
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Real Calepina Real Calepina
DDWLL 30.4% Draw ✅ N/A — 1 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 LDLWL
Club Milano Club Milano vs Scanzorosciate Scanzorosciate
WDDWL 30.8% Draw ❌ @2.951xBet -9.1% 1 – 3 FT
01/11 16:30 WLDWL
Rovato Vertovese Rovato Vertovese vs Caldiero Terme Caldiero Terme
LLWLW 29.1% Draw ❌ @3.051xBet -11.2% 3 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 LWLLL
Tritium Tritium vs Leon Leon
WDLWW 41.6% Away ✅ N/A — 0 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 WWDWW
Villa Valle Villa Valle vs Brusaporto Brusaporto
LLLLL 46.3% Home ✅ @2.311xBet +7% 5 – 2 FT
01/11 16:30 LLWDL
Virtus Verona Virtus Verona vs Milan II Milan II
WDDWL 28.6% Draw ❌ @3.201xBet -8.5% 2 – 3 FT
01/11 16:30 WDDWL
Pavonese Pavonese vs Pro Palazzolo Pro Palazzolo
LDLLW 48.6% Home ✅ N/A — 2 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WWDWD
Piacenza Piacenza vs Nibbiano & Valtidone Nibbiano & Valtidone
LWWWL 48.2% Home ✅ N/A — 3 – 2 FT