Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone B

Leon vs Virtus Verona

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group B - 11

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available53.9% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available80.2% —
BTTS No Current price not available48.5% · Yes 51.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available50.4% · Over 49.6% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available10.8% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Leon 53.9% · Draw 26.3% · Virtus Verona 19.8%. Selected outcome: Leon win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Leon 1.71, Virtus Verona 0.95, expected total 2.66.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Leon: L-W-W-W-W in their last five matches.
Virtus Verona: L-W-D-L-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Leon

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1348

Virtus Verona

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1337
LeonVirtus Verona
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.30
1.00
Best league winning streak this season
4
1
Elo strength rating
1348
1337

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Leon

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Virtus Verona

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Leon at home · Virtus Verona away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Leon (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–2L
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1

Virtus Verona (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–2L
W 2
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Leon (home)Virtus Verona (away)
W 2
D 1
L 2
W 2
L 2
Played
5
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
0.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.00
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
10.81%
2–0
10.21%
2–1
9.74%
3–0
5.82%
3–1
5.55%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Leon

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Tritium Away 1–0 W
28/10 Pro Patria Home 1–1 D
25/10 Chievo Home 0–4 L
18/10 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Away 2–1 W
11/10 Pavonese Home 3–0 W
07/10 Real Calepina Away 2–0 W
04/10 Club Milano Away 2–1 W
27/09 Villa Valle Home 1–2 L
20/09 Rovato Vertovese Away 2–2 D
16/09 Piacenza Home 1–1 D

Virtus Verona

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Milan II Home 2–3 L
25/10 Nibbiano & Valtidone Away 0–1 L
18/10 Tritium Home 2–0 W
11/10 Chievo Home 1–1 D
04/10 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Away 0–3 L
27/09 Pavonese Home 0–1 L
20/09 Club Milano Away 1–0 W
16/09 Rovato Vertovese Home 1–1 D
13/09 Piacenza Away 1–0 W
06/09 Villa Valle Home 2–2 D

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone B

Leon #4 · 18 pts ·  Virtus Verona #11 · 12 pts

Leon

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–2L
W 5
D 3
L 2
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Virtus Verona

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–4L
W 3
D 3
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
LeonVirtus Verona
W 5
D 3
L 2
W 3
D 3
L 4
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.00
Clean sheets
2
3
Failed to score
1
3
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Leon

3
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
1
76-90
4
scored conceded

Virtus Verona

1
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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