Pro Palazzolo
Under 2.5 in 8/10
Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Pro Palazzolo's last 10 matches
Italy Serie D - Girone B Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions
Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
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Serie A
Serie B
Serie C - Girone A
Campionato Primavera 1
Campionato Primavera 2
Coppa Italia Primavera
Coppa Italia Serie C
Coppa Italia Serie D
Serie A Women
Serie C - Girone B
Serie C - Girone C
Serie D - Girone A
Serie D - Girone C
Serie D - Girone D
Serie D - Girone E
Serie D - Girone F
Serie D - Girone G
Serie D - Girone H
Serie D - Girone I
Group B, Round 11
Sunday, November 08
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Goals O/U | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | LLLLL | WWDWD | 66.9% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | WDDWL | WDDWL | 58.8% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LLWLW | WWDWW | 40.1% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LWLDD | LDLWL | 69.4% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | DDWLL | WWLDL | 74.4% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | WDLWW | LLWDL | 50.4% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LDLLW | WLDWL | 78.5% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | WDDWL | DLLLW | 66.8% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LWWWL | LWLLL | 42.1% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone B for Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Pro Palazzolo
Under 2.5 in 8/10
Pavonese
Under 2.5 in 7/10
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Pavonese's last 10 matches
Club Milano
Under 2.5 in 7/10
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Club Milano's last 10 matches
Chievo
Over 2.5 in 7/10
Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Chievo's last 10 matches
Virtus Verona
Under 2.5 in 7/10
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Virtus Verona's last 10 matches
Milan II
Over 2.5 in 7/10
Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Milan II's last 10 matches
Nibbiano & Valtidone
Under 2.5 in 7/10
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Nibbiano & Valtidone's last 10 matches
Piacenza
2+ scored in 6/10
Piacenza scored 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 matches
📡
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
🎯
Match Result (1X2)
62.5%
5/8
⚽
Both Teams to Score
87.5%
7/8
📈
Over / Under 2.5
50.0%
4/8
🔢
Correct Score
25.0%
2/8
🛡️
Double Chance
62.5%
5/8
🤝
Draw Predictions
25.0%
1/4
📌
1X2 · draw picks
25.0%
1/4
📌
1X2 · home/away picks
100.0%
4/4
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
🎯
Match Result (1X2)
62.5%
5/8
⚽
Both Teams to Score
87.5%
7/8
📈
Over / Under 2.5
50.0%
4/8
🛡️
Double Chance
62.5%
5/8
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Draw Predictions: 4/4. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 38.0% | 62.5% | 8 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 51.8% | 85.7% | 7 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 62.9% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 55.0% | 42.9% | 7 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 61.2% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 12.7% | 25.0% | 8 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 68.4% | 25.0% | 4 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 74.6% | 100.0% | 4 (small sample) |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 29.7% | 25.0% | 4 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Group B, Round 10
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Goals O/U | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 16:30 | WWLDL | DDWLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 3 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | LDWWW | WDDDD | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | WDDWL | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | DLLLW | LDLLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | LLWLW | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | WLLWL | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 4 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | WDLWW | LLLLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 1 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | WDDWL | LDDLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | WWLDL | WWDWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 4 – 0 FT | |
| 31/10 16:30 | WWLDL | LWLDD | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | DLLLW | DDWLL | 58.1% | Under 2.5 ✅ | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | LDLWL | WDDWL | 58.4% | Under 2.5 ❌ | @1.601xBet | -6.6% | 1 – 3 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WLDWL | LLWLW | 52.4% | Under 2.5 ❌ | @1.691xBet | -11.4% | 3 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | LWLLL | WDLWW | 54% | Under 2.5 ✅ | N/A | — | 0 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WWDWW | LLLLL | 57.3% | Under 2.5 ❌ | @1.601xBet | -8.3% | 5 – 2 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | LLWDL | WDDWL | 50.2% | Under 2.5 ❌ | @1.901xBet | -4.6% | 2 – 3 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WDDWL | LDLLW | 54.6% | Under 2.5 ✅ | N/A | — | 2 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WWDWD | LWWWL | 61.2% | Over 2.5 ✅ | N/A | — | 3 – 2 FT |
