Real Calepina vs Chievo
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group B - 11 • 🌧 9.9°C, 2 km/h, 0.3mm rain
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 43.3% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 77.4% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 74% · No 26% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 74.4% · Under 25.6% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 8% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Real Calepina · Home
Real Calepina have drawn two of their last five, including 1-1 results against Virtus Ciserano Bergamo and Pavonese, and failed to score in two of those five. They did win the latest head-to-head 1-0 on 15 March 2026.
Chievo · Away
Chievo have scored in all five recent matches, totalling nine goals, and won 4-0 away at Leon. They also drew 3-3 at home against Real Calepina on 1 November 2025.
Calepina's Narrow H2H Edge
The latest meeting, a 1-0 Real Calepina home win on 15 March 2026, is the most telling result here. The earlier head-to-head was a 3-3 draw, so both meetings produced a home side that avoided defeat. Real Calepina's model expected goals of 2.07 sit above Chievo's 1.83, supporting a narrow home edge rather than a clear gap. The evidence supports Real Calepina win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Real Calepina 2.07 – 1.83 Chievo · expected total 3.89
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Real Calepina
Chievo
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone B
Real Calepina
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Chievo
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Real Calepina at home · Chievo away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Real Calepina (home)
Chievo (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Chievo 0 wins · 1 draw · Real Calepina 1 win · avg 3.5 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | Real Calepina | 1–0 | Chievo | Serie D - Girone B |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Chievo | 3–3 | Real Calepina | Serie D - Girone B |
📈 Recent Form
Real Calepina
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 25/10 | Pavonese | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Club Milano | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/10 | Villa Valle | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 07/10 | Leon | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 04/10 | Rovato Vertovese | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Brusaporto | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 20/09 | Piacenza | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 16/09 | Caldiero Terme | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Scanzorosciate | Away | 0–0 | D |
Chievo
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Fiorenzuola | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 25/10 | Leon | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Milan II | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Virtus Verona | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 07/10 | Brusaporto | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 03/10 | Tritium | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Nibbiano & Valtidone | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 21/09 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 16/09 | Club Milano | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Rovato Vertovese | Away | 4–3 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone B
Real Calepina #9 · 13 pts · Chievo #2 · 22 pts
Real Calepina
Chievo
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Real Calepina
Chievo
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws