Italy Serie D - Girone F Predictions and Betting Tips

Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
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Serie A Serie B Serie C - Girone A Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 2 Coppa Italia Primavera Coppa Italia Serie C Coppa Italia Serie D Serie A Women Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone C Serie D - Girone A Serie D - Girone B Serie D - Girone C Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone E Serie D - Girone G Serie D - Girone H Serie D - Girone I

Group F, Round 11

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
16:30 WWLLL
Sporting Trestina Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio Foligno Calcio
WLLWW 26.9% Draw N/A — —
16:30 LWWLW
Real Giulianova Real Giulianova vs Recanatese Recanatese
LWLLL 54.9% Home N/A — —
16:30 DLWLW
Termoli Calcio Termoli Calcio vs Ancona Ancona
WDWLW 44.4% Away N/A — —
16:30 LLWLL
Vigor Senigallia Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga Pietralunga
DLWWL 42.1% Home N/A — —
16:30 LDWWL
Atletico Ascoli Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo Teramo
WLWWW 27.3% Draw N/A — —
16:30 DLWLW
Fossombrone Fossombrone vs Santegidiese Santegidiese
LLLLD 46.7% Home N/A — —
16:30 DLWWW
L'Aquila L'Aquila vs Montecchio Gallo Montecchio Gallo
WDWLL 54.7% Home N/A — —
16:30 LLLLL
Angelana Angelana vs Notaresco Notaresco
DDWWW 46.6% Away N/A — —
16:30 LDLWL
Lanciano FC Lanciano FC vs Maceratese Maceratese
WDLLW 47.4% Home N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone F

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

PredictLix Serie D - Girone F Facts and Insights

League facts from all completed matches · Updated: November 2, 2026, 05:15 UTC

Results and goal volume

Metric Current2026/27 · 89 matches Previous2025/26 · 310 matches Change
Home wins 41.6% 41.3% +0.3 pp
Draws 20.2% 29.0% -8.8 pp
Away wins 38.2% 29.7% +8.5 pp
Total goals per match 2.56 2.53 +0.03
Home goals per match 1.31 1.39 -0.08
Away goals per match 1.25 1.14 +0.11
First-half goals per match 1.15 1.19 -0.04
Over 1.5 goals 65.2% 73.2% -8.0 pp
Over 2.5 goals 44.9% 50.0% -5.1 pp
Over 3.5 goals 25.8% 26.8% -1.0 pp

Scoring and match patterns

Metric Current2026/27 · 89 matches Previous2025/26 · 310 matches Change
Over 4.5 goals 16.9% 9.7% +7.2 pp
First-half Over 1.5 goals 31.5% 34.8% -3.3 pp
First-half both teams scored 13.5% 18.7% -5.2 pp
Both teams scored 44.9% 52.9% -8.0 pp
BTTS and Over 2.5 38.2% 40.0% -1.8 pp
Goalless draws (0–0) 11.2% 10.3% +0.9 pp
Home clean sheets 33.7% 32.6% +1.1 pp
Away clean sheets 32.6% 24.8% +7.8 pp
One-goal winning margins 43.8% 36.5% +7.3 pp
Second-half Over 1.5 goals 39.3% 40.5% -1.2 pp

pp = percentage points. Final scores are listed with the home team first.

Most common final scores

Twelve scorelines in descending current-season frequency, continuing from the first table to the second.

Final score Current season2026/27 Previous season2025/26 Change
1–0 12.4%11 of 89 9.0%28 of 310 +3.3 pp
0–0 11.2%10 of 89 10.3%32 of 310 +0.9 pp
0–1 11.2%10 of 89 7.4%23 of 310 +3.8 pp
1–2 7.9%7 of 89 7.7%24 of 310 +0.1 pp
2–0 7.9%7 of 89 6.8%21 of 310 +1.1 pp
1–1 6.7%6 of 89 12.9%40 of 310 -6.2 pp
Final score Current season2026/27 Previous season2025/26 Change
2–1 6.7%6 of 89 9.0%28 of 310 -2.3 pp
0–2 5.6%5 of 89 3.5%11 of 310 +2.1 pp
3–1 3.4%3 of 89 5.5%17 of 310 -2.1 pp
2–3 3.4%3 of 89 1.3%4 of 310 +2.1 pp
2–2 2.2%2 of 89 5.2%16 of 310 -2.9 pp
3–0 2.2%2 of 89 3.9%12 of 310 -1.6 pp

Five key insights from the season data

  • Away wins rose to 38.2% this season from 29.7% last season, while draws fell to 20.2% from 29.0%. One possible explanation is that matches are being settled rather than shared, perhaps because more games open up after an early goal instead of settling into cautious stalemates.
  • Both teams scored in 44.9% of matches this season versus 52.9% last season. One possible explanation is that one side is more often kept scoreless, which could reflect more lopsided game states rather than evenly contested end-to-end matches.
  • Over 4.5 goals occurred in 16.9% of matches this season against 9.7% last season, even as Over 2.5 fell to 44.9% from 50.0%. This pattern could reflect a heavier tail of high-scoring blowouts alongside more low-scoring games, rather than a uniform rise in scoring.
  • First-half both teams scored in 13.5% of matches this season versus 18.7% last season. One possible explanation is more cautious opening approaches, with teams delaying risk until after the break rather than trading early goals.
  • One-goal winning margins made up 43.8% of matches this season versus 36.5% last season. One possible explanation is tighter game management late on, where leads are protected rather than extended; this could also regress toward last season's share in remaining matches.

AI-selected and written from the verified figures above · Published: November 1, 2026, 17:16 UTC

Current Standings

Serie D - Girone F · 2026/27

Updated: Nov 2, 2026, 00:00 UTC
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1
Teramo Leader
 10 8 1 1 26 13 +13 25
W W W W W
2
L'Aquila
10 7 3 0 20 7 +13 24
D W W W W
3
Ancona
10 6 2 2 18 8 +10 20
W W L W W
4
Foligno Calcio
10 6 1 3 14 11 +3 19
W L L W W
5
Notaresco
10 4 4 2 13 9 +4 16
D D W W W
6
Vigor Senigallia
10 5 1 4 18 20 -2 16
L L W L L
7
Montecchio Gallo
10 4 3 3 13 10 +3 15
W D W L L
8
Atletico Ascoli
10 4 2 4 13 11 +2 14
L D W W L
9
Fossombrone
10 4 2 4 12 17 -5 14
D L W L W
10
Real Giulianova
10 4 1 5 12 14 -2 13
L W W L W
11
Termoli Calcio
10 3 3 4 6 7 -1 12
D D L W W
12
Lanciano FC
10 3 2 5 14 17 -3 11
L D L W L
13
Maceratese
10 3 2 5 13 17 -4 11
W D L L W
14
Sporting Trestina
10 3 1 6 7 14 -7 10
W W L L L
15
Recanatese
10 2 3 5 12 15 -3 9
L W L L L
16
Santegidiese
10 2 3 5 8 13 -5 9
D L L L L
17
Pietralunga
10 2 3 5 5 10 -5 9
D L W W L
18
Angelana
10 1 1 8 5 16 -11 4
L L L L L

League-only form: five most recent matches in this competition, newest first. Prediction tables show form across all competitions.

The current season is still in progress; the previous season is complete. Possible explanations are hypotheses based on score patterns, not verified causes. Regression towards last season’s level is a scenario, not a prediction.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

8 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
50.0% 4/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score
37.5% 3/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5
25.0% 2/8
🔢 Correct Score
0.0% 0/8
🛡️ Double Chance
75.0% 6/8
🤝 Draw Predictions
33.3% 1/3
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
60.0% 3/5
📌 1X2 · draw picks
33.3% 1/3

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 50.0% 4/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score 37.5% 3/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5 25.0% 2/8
🛡️ Double Chance 75.0% 6/8
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 3/3. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 39.2% 42.9% 7 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 61.9% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 63.3% 40.0% 5 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 54.6% 33.3% 3 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 72.5% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 51.7% 33.3% 6 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 68.1% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 12.2% 0.0% 8 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 75.0% 33.3% 3 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 81.9% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 66.9% 100.0% 3 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 28.1% 33.3% 3 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group F, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
02/11 16:30 WDWLW
Ancona Ancona vs Real Giulianova Real Giulianova
LWWLW — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 -----
Sammaurese Sammaurese vs Fossombrone Fossombrone
DLWLW — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 LWLLL
Recanatese Recanatese vs Castelfidardo Calcio Castelfidardo Calcio
----- — No data N/A — 3 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 DDWWW
Notaresco Notaresco vs Sora Sora
----- — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 LLLDD
Ostia Mare Ostia Mare vs Teramo Teramo
WLWWW — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 DLWLW
Termoli Calcio Termoli Calcio vs Maceratese Maceratese
WDLLW — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 -----
Victor San Marino Victor San Marino vs Chieti Chieti
----- — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 LDWWL
Atletico Ascoli Atletico Ascoli vs Unipomezia Unipomezia
WDLDL — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 DLWWW
L'Aquila L'Aquila vs Vigor Senigallia Vigor Senigallia
LLWLL — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WDWLW
Ancona Ancona vs Atletico Ascoli Atletico Ascoli
LDWWL 56.6% Home ✅ @1.691xBet -4.3% 1 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WLLWW
Foligno Calcio Foligno Calcio vs Vigor Senigallia Vigor Senigallia
LLWLL 26.2% Draw ❌ N/A — 3 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 WDWLL
Montecchio Gallo Montecchio Gallo vs Real Giulianova Real Giulianova
LWWLW 27.5% Draw ❌ N/A — 3 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 DDWWW
Notaresco Notaresco vs L'Aquila L'Aquila
DLWWW 42.7% Away ❌ @2.061xBet -12% 0 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 DLWWL
Pietralunga Pietralunga vs Fossombrone Fossombrone
DLWLW 30.6% Draw ✅ N/A — 0 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 LWLLL
Recanatese Recanatese vs Sporting Trestina Sporting Trestina
WWLLL 48.9% Home ❌ @1.951xBet -4.6% 0 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 WLWWW
Teramo Teramo vs Lanciano FC Lanciano FC
LDLWL 61.9% Home ✅ N/A — 2 – 0 FT
01/11 17:00 WDLLW
Maceratese Maceratese vs Angelana Angelana
LLLLL 42.1% Home ✅ N/A — 3 – 0 FT