Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group F - 11 • ☁️ 15.7°C, 5 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 26.9% | — |
| Double Chance | X2 | Current price not available | 64.3% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 60.4% · No 39.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 43.8% · Over 56.2% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 12.6% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Sporting Trestina · Home
Sporting Trestina have won their last two matches, including a 1-0 victory at Recanatese, but they failed to score in three of their last five. Their model expected goals of 1.41 suggest a modest attacking output at home.
Foligno Calcio · Away
Foligno Calcio have scored in four of their last five, with 8 goals in that span, and won the latest head-to-head 3-1. Their model expected goals of 1.52 is the higher of the two sides.
Tight H2H Points to Draw
The latest head-to-head, on 25 Jan 2026, finished 3-1 to Foligno Calcio, while the earlier meeting in Trestina ended 0-1. Trestina have failed to score in three of their last five, and Foligno have failed to score once in the same span. With model expected goals of 1.41 for Trestina and 1.52 for Foligno, a 1-1 scoreline is the contract's correct-score pick at 12.6%. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 01 Nov 2026 22:47 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Sporting Trestina 1.45 – 1.49 Foligno Calcio · expected total 2.94
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Sporting Trestina
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Sporting Trestina
Foligno Calcio
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone F
Sporting Trestina
Foligno Calcio
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone F teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Sporting Trestina at home · Foligno Calcio away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Sporting Trestina (home)
Foligno Calcio (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Foligno Calcio 4 wins · 1 draw · Sporting Trestina 2 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 5 of 7
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Foligno Calcio | 3–1 | Sporting Trestina | Serie D - Girone E |
| 24 Sep 2025 | Sporting Trestina | 0–1 | Foligno Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| 08 May 2022 | Sporting Trestina | 2–0 | Foligno Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| 22 Dec 2021 | Foligno Calcio | 1–3 | Sporting Trestina | Serie D - Girone E |
| 03 Nov 2021 | Sporting Trestina | 1–2 | Foligno Calcio | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| 26 Jan 2020 | Sporting Trestina | 2–2 | Foligno Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| 22 Sep 2019 | Foligno Calcio | 2–1 | Sporting Trestina | Serie D - Girone E |
📈 Recent Form
Sporting Trestina
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Recanatese | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Santegidiese | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Pietralunga | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Teramo | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 04/10 | Ancona | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 27/09 | Termoli Calcio | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Atletico Ascoli | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 16/09 | Fossombrone | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Lanciano FC | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 06/09 | Vigor Senigallia | Home | 2–5 | L |
Foligno Calcio
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Vigor Senigallia | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 25/10 | L'Aquila | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 18/10 | Real Giulianova | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 11/10 | Maceratese | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Angelana | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Montecchio Gallo | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 20/09 | Notaresco | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Recanatese | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 12/09 | Pietralunga | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 06/09 | Lanciano FC | Home | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone F
Sporting Trestina #14 · 10 pts · Foligno Calcio #4 · 19 pts
Sporting Trestina
Foligno Calcio
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Sporting Trestina
Foligno Calcio
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone F predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws