Italy Serie D - Girone F Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions

Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Italy League Tips
Serie A Serie B Serie C - Girone A Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 2 Coppa Italia Primavera Coppa Italia Serie C Coppa Italia Serie D Serie A Women Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone C Serie D - Girone A Serie D - Girone B Serie D - Girone C Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone E Serie D - Girone G Serie D - Girone H Serie D - Girone I

Group F, Round 11

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
16:30 WWLLL
Sporting Trestina Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio Foligno Calcio
WLLWW 43.8% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LWWLW
Real Giulianova Real Giulianova vs Recanatese Recanatese
LWLLL 56.7% Over 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 DLWLW
Termoli Calcio Termoli Calcio vs Ancona Ancona
WDWLW 57% Over 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LLWLL
Vigor Senigallia Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga Pietralunga
DLWWL 61.9% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LDWWL
Atletico Ascoli Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo Teramo
WLWWW 45.6% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 DLWLW
Fossombrone Fossombrone vs Santegidiese Santegidiese
LLLLD 55.6% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 DLWWW
L'Aquila L'Aquila vs Montecchio Gallo Montecchio Gallo
WDWLL 53.9% Over 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LLLLL
Angelana Angelana vs Notaresco Notaresco
DDWWW 63.9% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LDLWL
Lanciano FC Lanciano FC vs Maceratese Maceratese
WDLLW 50.3% Under 2.5 N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone F for Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

8 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
50.0% 4/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score
37.5% 3/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5
25.0% 2/8
🔢 Correct Score
0.0% 0/8
🛡️ Double Chance
75.0% 6/8
🤝 Draw Predictions
33.3% 1/3
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
60.0% 3/5
📌 1X2 · draw picks
33.3% 1/3

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 50.0% 4/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score 37.5% 3/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5 25.0% 2/8
🛡️ Double Chance 75.0% 6/8
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 3/3. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 39.2% 42.9% 7 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 61.9% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 63.3% 40.0% 5 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 54.6% 33.3% 3 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 72.5% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 51.7% 33.3% 6 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 68.1% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 12.2% 0.0% 8 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 75.0% 33.3% 3 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 81.9% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 66.9% 100.0% 3 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 28.1% 33.3% 3 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group F, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
02/11 16:30 WDWLW
Ancona Ancona vs Real Giulianova Real Giulianova
LWWLW — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 -----
Sammaurese Sammaurese vs Fossombrone Fossombrone
DLWLW — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 LWLLL
Recanatese Recanatese vs Castelfidardo Calcio Castelfidardo Calcio
----- — No data N/A — 3 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 DDWWW
Notaresco Notaresco vs Sora Sora
----- — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 LLLDD
Ostia Mare Ostia Mare vs Teramo Teramo
WLWWW — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 DLWLW
Termoli Calcio Termoli Calcio vs Maceratese Maceratese
WDLLW — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 -----
Victor San Marino Victor San Marino vs Chieti Chieti
----- — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 LDWWL
Atletico Ascoli Atletico Ascoli vs Unipomezia Unipomezia
WDLDL — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 DLWWW
L'Aquila L'Aquila vs Vigor Senigallia Vigor Senigallia
LLWLL — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WDWLW
Ancona Ancona vs Atletico Ascoli Atletico Ascoli
LDWWL 55.9% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.741xBet -2.7% 1 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WLLWW
Foligno Calcio Foligno Calcio vs Vigor Senigallia Vigor Senigallia
LLWLL 41% Under 2.5 ❌ N/A — 3 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 WDWLL
Montecchio Gallo Montecchio Gallo vs Real Giulianova Real Giulianova
LWWLW 46.4% Under 2.5 ❌ N/A — 3 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 DDWWW
Notaresco Notaresco vs L'Aquila L'Aquila
DLWWW 51.6% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.971xBet +1.7% 0 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 DLWWL
Pietralunga Pietralunga vs Fossombrone Fossombrone
DLWLW 58.3% Under 2.5 ✅ N/A — 0 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 LWLLL
Recanatese Recanatese vs Sporting Trestina Sporting Trestina
WWLLL 56.7% Under 2.5 ✅ @1.681xBet -4.7% 0 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 WLWWW
Teramo Teramo vs Lanciano FC Lanciano FC
LDLWL 68.1% Over 2.5 ❌ N/A — 2 – 0 FT
01/11 17:00 WDLLW
Maceratese Maceratese vs Angelana Angelana
LLLLL 72.5% Under 2.5 ❌ N/A — 3 – 0 FT