Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone F

Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group F - 11 • 🌧 16.3°C, 3 km/h rain

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available42.1% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available73.3% —
BTTS No Current price not available54.7% · Yes 45.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available61.9% · Over 38.1% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available12.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Vigor Senigallia 42.1% · Draw 31.2% · Pietralunga 26.7%. Selected outcome: Vigor Senigallia win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Vigor Senigallia 1.26, Pietralunga 0.95, expected total 2.21.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Vigor Senigallia: L-W-L-L-D in their last five matches.
Pietralunga: L-W-W-L-D in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Vigor Senigallia

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.90
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1491

Pietralunga

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1366
Vigor SenigalliaPietralunga
Goals scored (season avg)
1.90
0.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.90
1.10
Best league winning streak this season
4
2
Elo strength rating
1491
1366

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Vigor Senigallia

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Pietralunga

BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone F

Vigor Senigallia

3rd best attack (1.90 goals/game, season) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (67%, last 6)

Pietralunga

2nd worst attack (0.60 goals/game, season) 2nd worst BTTS rate (17%, last 6) 2nd worst Over 2.5 rate (17%, last 6)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone F teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Vigor Senigallia at home · Pietralunga away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Vigor Senigallia (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2

Pietralunga (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–2L
W 1
D 2
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Vigor Senigallia (home)Pietralunga (away)
W 1
D 1
L 2
W 1
D 2
L 2
Played
4
5
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
0.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
0.80
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
2
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
12.47%
2–0
8.69%
2–1
8.28%
3–0
3.65%
3–1
3.48%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Vigor Senigallia

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Foligno Calcio Away 1–3 L
25/10 Ancona Home 0–5 L
18/10 Santegidiese Away 2–0 W
11/10 Atletico Ascoli Home 1–2 L
04/10 Teramo Away 4–6 L
27/09 Fossombrone Home 0–0 D
20/09 Termoli Calcio Away 2–1 W
16/09 Lanciano FC Away 2–1 W
13/09 Real Giulianova Home 1–0 W
06/09 Sporting Trestina Away 5–2 W

Pietralunga

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Fossombrone Home 0–0 D
25/10 Real Giulianova Away 0–1 L
17/10 Sporting Trestina Home 2–0 W
11/10 Angelana Away 1–0 W
04/10 L'Aquila Home 0–3 L
26/09 Notaresco Away 1–1 D
20/09 Maceratese Home 0–2 L
16/09 Montecchio Gallo Away 1–2 L
12/09 Foligno Calcio Home 0–1 L
06/09 Recanatese Away 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone F

Vigor Senigallia #6 · 16 pts ·  Pietralunga #17 · 9 pts

Vigor Senigallia

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–4L
W 5
D 1
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Pietralunga

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–5L
W 2
D 3
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets3
Failed to score5
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Vigor SenigalliaPietralunga
W 5
D 1
L 4
W 2
D 3
L 5
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.90
0.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.90
1.10
Clean sheets
3
3
Failed to score
2
5
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Vigor Senigallia

2
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
5
31-45
5
4
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
2
76-90
4
scored conceded

Pietralunga

1
0-15
16-30
2
4
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
3
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone F predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws