Notaresco
Drew 4 of 10
Notaresco have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches
Italy Serie D - Girone F Draw Football Predictions
Round 11 • 2 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
🔍 More Italy League Tips
Serie A
Serie B
Serie C - Girone A
Campionato Primavera 1
Campionato Primavera 2
Coppa Italia Primavera
Coppa Italia Serie C
Coppa Italia Serie D
Serie A Women
Serie C - Girone B
Serie C - Girone C
Serie D - Girone A
Serie D - Girone B
Serie D - Girone C
Serie D - Girone D
Serie D - Girone E
Serie D - Girone G
Serie D - Girone H
Serie D - Girone I
Group F, Round 11
Sunday, November 08
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Draw | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | WWLLL | WLLWW | 26.9% | Draw | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LDWWL | WLWWW | 27.3% | Draw | N/A | — | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone F for Draws
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Notaresco
Drew 4 of 10
📡
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
🎯
Match Result (1X2)
50.0%
4/8
⚽
Both Teams to Score
37.5%
3/8
📈
Over / Under 2.5
25.0%
2/8
🔢
Correct Score
0.0%
0/8
🛡️
Double Chance
75.0%
6/8
🤝
Draw Predictions
33.3%
1/3
📌
1X2 · home/away picks
60.0%
3/5
📌
1X2 · draw picks
33.3%
1/3
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
🎯
Match Result (1X2)
50.0%
4/8
⚽
Both Teams to Score
37.5%
3/8
📈
Over / Under 2.5
25.0%
2/8
🛡️
Double Chance
75.0%
6/8
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Draw Predictions: 3/3. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 39.2% | 42.9% | 7 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 61.9% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 63.3% | 40.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 54.6% | 33.3% | 3 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% | 72.5% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 51.7% | 33.3% | 6 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 68.1% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 12.2% | 0.0% | 8 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 75.0% | 33.3% | 3 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 81.9% | 100.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 66.9% | 100.0% | 3 (small sample) |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 28.1% | 33.3% | 3 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
