Italy Serie D - Girone E Predictions and Betting Tips

Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Italy League Tips
Serie A Serie B Serie C - Girone A Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 2 Coppa Italia Primavera Coppa Italia Serie C Coppa Italia Serie D Serie A Women Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone C Serie D - Girone A Serie D - Girone B Serie D - Girone C Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone F Serie D - Girone G Serie D - Girone H Serie D - Girone I

Group E, Round 11

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
16:30 LDLDW
Lucchese Lucchese vs San Donato Tavarnelle San Donato Tavarnelle
WLWLD 55.9% Home N/A — —
16:30 WDWLW
Robur Siena Robur Siena vs Grassina Grassina
DLWDL 66.7% Home N/A — —
16:30 LDDWL
Seravezza Seravezza vs Prato Prato
WLDDW 47.4% Home N/A — —
16:30 LDDDD
Mezzolara Mezzolara vs Gavorrano Gavorrano
WDDDD 29.4% Draw N/A — —
16:30 LWWLL
Montevarchi Calcio Montevarchi Calcio vs Sasso Marconi Zola Sasso Marconi Zola
WLLWD 51.8% Home N/A — —
16:30 LWLDW
Scandicci Scandicci vs Flaminia Flaminia
WDDLL 55.2% Home N/A — —
16:30 LLLLL
Progresso Progresso vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
LDLDL 38.8% Draw N/A — —
16:30 LWLDW
Tau Altopascio Tau Altopascio vs Terranuova Traiana Terranuova Traiana
WDWDL 50.1% Home N/A — —
16:30 DLDWW
Rondinella Rondinella vs Ternana Ternana
WWWWW 28.8% Draw N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone E

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

PredictLix Serie D - Girone E Facts and Insights

League facts from all completed matches · Updated: November 2, 2026, 03:15 UTC

Results and goal volume

Metric Current2026/27 · 90 matches Previous2025/26 · 311 matches Change
Home wins 51.1% 41.8% +9.3 pp
Draws 30.0% 30.2% -0.2 pp
Away wins 18.9% 28.0% -9.1 pp
Total goals per match 2.67 2.28 +0.39
Home goals per match 1.63 1.27 +0.36
Away goals per match 1.03 1.01 +0.02
First-half goals per match 1.09 1.00 +0.09
Over 1.5 goals 77.8% 66.2% +11.6 pp
Over 2.5 goals 48.9% 35.7% +13.2 pp
Over 3.5 goals 24.4% 19.6% +4.8 pp

Scoring and match patterns

Metric Current2026/27 · 90 matches Previous2025/26 · 311 matches Change
Over 4.5 goals 14.4% 10.0% +4.4 pp
First-half Over 1.5 goals 28.9% 26.7% +2.2 pp
First-half both teams scored 13.3% 16.7% -3.4 pp
Both teams scored 54.4% 45.7% +8.7 pp
BTTS and Over 2.5 34.4% 29.9% +4.5 pp
Goalless draws (0–0) 5.6% 9.6% -4.0 pp
Home clean sheets 33.3% 35.0% -1.7 pp
Away clean sheets 17.8% 28.9% -11.1 pp
One-goal winning margins 38.9% 41.2% -2.3 pp
Second-half Over 1.5 goals 52.2% 34.3% +17.9 pp

pp = percentage points. Final scores are listed with the home team first.

Most common final scores

Twelve scorelines in descending current-season frequency, continuing from the first table to the second.

Final score Current season2026/27 Previous season2025/26 Change
1–1 20.0%18 of 90 15.8%49 of 311 +4.2 pp
2–1 14.4%13 of 90 7.4%23 of 311 +7.0 pp
1–0 10.0%9 of 90 13.5%42 of 311 -3.5 pp
0–1 6.7%6 of 90 10.6%33 of 311 -3.9 pp
2–0 6.7%6 of 90 8.0%25 of 311 -1.4 pp
3–0 6.7%6 of 90 2.3%7 of 311 +4.4 pp
Final score Current season2026/27 Previous season2025/26 Change
0–0 5.6%5 of 90 9.6%30 of 311 -4.1 pp
3–2 5.6%5 of 90 2.9%9 of 311 +2.7 pp
2–2 3.3%3 of 90 3.9%12 of 311 -0.5 pp
1–3 3.3%3 of 90 0.3%1 of 311 +3.0 pp
0–2 2.2%2 of 90 6.8%21 of 311 -4.5 pp
0–3 2.2%2 of 90 1.3%4 of 311 +0.9 pp

Five key insights from the season data

  • Home wins rose to 51.1% this season from 41.8% last season, while away wins fell to 18.9% from 28.0%. One possible explanation is that matches are opening more decisively for the home side, with early goals letting home teams control game state rather than being pulled into level contests.
  • Both teams scored in 54.4% of matches this season versus 45.7% last season, and goalless draws dropped to 5.6% from 9.6%. This pattern could reflect more open, end-to-end contests where both sides create and convert chances, rather than cautious opening approaches suppressing scoring.
  • Over 2.5 goals occurred in 48.9% of matches this season compared with 35.7% last season, with total goals per match at 2.67 versus 2.28. One possible explanation is that matches are opening up after an early goal, producing game states that encourage further scoring rather than settling into controlled low-scoring phases.
  • Second-half Over 1.5 goals jumped to 52.2% this season from 34.3% last season, a much larger change than the first-half figure. This could point to second-half game-state effects, where teams trailing or chasing results push forward later and matches open up after the interval.
  • Away clean sheets fell to 17.8% this season from 28.9% last season, alongside a rise in both teams scoring. One possible explanation is that away sides are being drawn into more transition-heavy matches and conceding as they commit players forward, rather than sitting compact and protecting their goal.

AI-selected and written from the verified figures above · Published: November 1, 2026, 17:16 UTC

Current Standings

Serie D - Girone E · 2026/27

Updated: Nov 2, 2026, 00:00 UTC
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1
Prato Leader
 10 6 4 0 17 6 +11 22
W D D W D
2
Gavorrano
10 5 5 0 15 8 +7 20
W D D D D
3
Robur Siena
10 6 1 3 20 10 +10 19
W W L W W
4
Ternana
10 5 3 2 17 8 +9 18
W W W D W
5
Terranuova Traiana
10 4 4 2 17 13 +4 16
W D W D D
6
Flaminia
10 4 4 2 13 12 +1 16
W D D L D
7
Tau Altopascio
10 5 1 4 13 17 -4 16
L W L D W
8
Seravezza
10 4 3 3 16 9 +7 15
L D D W L
9
Scandicci
10 4 3 3 17 13 +4 15
L W L D W
10
Lucchese
10 4 3 3 21 19 +2 15
L D L D W
11
San Donato Tavarnelle
10 4 2 4 11 12 -1 14
W L W L D
12
Montevarchi Calcio
10 4 1 5 13 13 0 13
L W W L L
13
Sasso Marconi Zola
10 3 2 5 15 15 0 11
W L W D L
14
Rondinella
10 2 4 4 7 12 -5 10
D L D W W
15
Mezzolara
10 1 7 2 8 14 -6 10
L D D D D
16
Grassina
10 1 4 5 9 16 -7 7
D L W D L
17
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
10 0 3 7 7 21 -14 3
L D L D L
18
Progresso
10 1 0 9 4 22 -18 3
L L L L L

League-only form: five most recent matches in this competition, newest first. Prediction tables show form across all competitions.

The current season is still in progress; the previous season is complete. Possible explanations are hypotheses based on score patterns, not verified causes. Regression towards last season’s level is a scenario, not a prediction.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

9 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
77.8% 7/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score
55.6% 5/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5
77.8% 7/9
🔢 Correct Score
11.1% 1/9
🛡️ Double Chance
100.0% 9/9
🤝 Draw Predictions
0.0% 0/1
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
87.5% 7/8
📌 1X2 · draw picks
0.0% 0/1

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 77.8% 7/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score 55.6% 5/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5 77.8% 7/9
🛡️ Double Chance 100.0% 9/9
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 44.4% 75.0% 8 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 61.4% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 53.9% 83.3% 6 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 64.1% 0.0% 3 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 63.8% 100.0% 3 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 51.1% 66.7% 6 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 10.7% 11.1% 9 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.9% 100.0% 7 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 83.1% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 64.7% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 26.4% 0.0% 1 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group E, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
02/11 16:30 WDWLW
Robur Siena Robur Siena vs Prato Prato
WLDDW — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 WDDDD
Gavorrano Gavorrano vs Foligno Calcio Foligno Calcio
WLLWW — No data N/A — 0 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 -----
Cannara Cannara vs Camaiore Camaiore
----- — No data N/A — 2 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 LWLDW
Scandicci Scandicci vs Grosseto Grosseto
DWDWL — No data N/A — 1 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 -----
Sansepolcro Sansepolcro vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
LDLDL — No data N/A — 1 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 -----
Poggibonsi Poggibonsi vs Seravezza Seravezza
LDDWL — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 -----
Orvietana Calcio Orvietana Calcio vs Sporting Trestina Sporting Trestina
WWLLL — No data N/A — 1 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 LWLDW
Tau Altopascio Tau Altopascio vs Montevarchi Calcio Montevarchi Calcio
LWWLL — No data N/A — 3 – 0 FT
02/11 16:30 WDWDL
Terranuova Traiana Terranuova Traiana vs San Donato Tavarnelle San Donato Tavarnelle
WLWLD — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WDDLL
Flaminia Flaminia vs Tau Altopascio Tau Altopascio
LWLDW 43.9% Home ✅ N/A — 2 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WDDDD
Gavorrano Gavorrano vs Scandicci Scandicci
LWLDW 52.4% Home ✅ @1.801xBet -5.7% 3 – 2 FT
01/11 16:30 LDLDL
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Robur Siena Robur Siena
WDWLW 48.1% Away ✅ N/A — 0 – 4 FT
01/11 16:30 DLWDL
Grassina Grassina vs Rondinella Rondinella
DLDWW 41.4% Home ❌ N/A — 1 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 WLDDW
Prato Prato vs Mezzolara Mezzolara
LDDDD 61.4% Home ✅ @1.50Betano -7.9% 4 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WLWLD
San Donato Tavarnelle San Donato Tavarnelle vs Montevarchi Calcio Montevarchi Calcio
LWWLL 42% Home ✅ @2.201xBet -7.6% 1 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WLLWD
Sasso Marconi Zola Sasso Marconi Zola vs Progresso Progresso
LLLLL 50% Home ✅ N/A — 4 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WWWWW
Ternana Ternana vs Seravezza Seravezza
LDDWL 50.8% Home ✅ @1.911xBet -3% 3 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WDWDL
Terranuova Traiana Terranuova Traiana vs Lucchese Lucchese
LDLDW 26.4% Draw ❌ @3.351xBet -11.6% 3 – 2 FT