Gavorrano are unbeaten in their last 10 matches
Italy Serie D - Girone E Double Chance Football Predictions
Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
Serie A
Serie B
Serie C - Girone A
Campionato Primavera 1
Campionato Primavera 2
Coppa Italia Primavera
Coppa Italia Serie C
Coppa Italia Serie D
Serie A Women
Serie C - Girone B
Serie C - Girone C
Serie D - Girone A
Serie D - Girone B
Serie D - Girone C
Serie D - Girone D
Serie D - Girone F
Serie D - Girone G
Serie D - Girone H
Serie D - Girone I
Group E, Round 11
Sunday, November 08
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Double Chance | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | LDLDW | WLWLD | 84.7% | 1X | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | WDWLW | DLWDL | 88.5% | 1X | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LDDWL | WLDDW | 75% | 12 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LDDDD | WDDDD | 66.5% | X2 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LWWLL | WLLWD | 78.3% | 1X | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LWLDW | WDDLL | 80.3% | 1X | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LLLLL | LDLDL | 70.6% | X2 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LWLDW | WDWDL | 76.2% | 12 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | DLDWW | WWWWW | 67.7% | X2 | N/A | — | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone E for Double Chance
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have failed to win in their last 10 matches
Ternana are unbeaten in their last 9 matches
In their 10 most recent matches, Grassina have achieved just 1 win
Prato are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
Terranuova Traiana are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
Lucchese are unbeaten at home in 5 of their last 5 home games
Montevarchi Calcio have won just 1 of their last 6 away matches
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 44.4% | 75.0% | 8 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 61.4% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 53.9% | 83.3% | 6 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 64.1% | 0.0% | 3 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 63.8% | 100.0% | 3 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 51.1% | 66.7% | 6 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 74.9% | 100.0% | 7 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 83.1% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 64.7% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 26.4% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Group E, Round 10
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Double Chance | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 16:30 | WDWLW | WLDDW | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | WDDDD | WLLWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | ----- | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | LWLDW | DWDWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | ----- | LDLDL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | ----- | LDDWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | ----- | WWLLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | LWLDW | LWWLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 0 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | WDWDL | WLWLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WDDLL | LWLDW | 75% | 1X ✅ | N/A | — | 2 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WDDDD | LWLDW | 78.4% | 1X ✅ | @1.20Betano | -5.9% | 3 – 2 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | LDLDL | WDWLW | 75.1% | 12 ✅ | N/A | — | 0 – 4 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | DLWDL | DLDWW | 71.4% | 1X ✅ | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WLDDW | LDDDD | 83.1% | 1X ✅ | @1.13Betano | -6.1% | 4 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WLWLD | LWWLL | 71.4% | 12 ✅ | @1.30Betano | -7.2% | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WLLWD | LLLLL | 76.6% | 12 ✅ | N/A | — | 4 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WWWWW | LDDWL | 76.6% | 1X ✅ | @1.24Betano | -5% | 3 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WDWDL | LDLDW | 64.7% | 1X ✅ | @1.561xBet | +0.9% | 3 – 2 FT |