Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone E

Rondinella vs Ternana

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group E - 11

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available28.8% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available67.7% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available54.1% · No 45.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available51.8% · Over 48.2% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available13.8% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Rondinella 32.3% · Draw 28.8% · Ternana 38.9%. Selected outcome: Draw.

Goals

Model expected goals: Rondinella 1.23, Ternana 1.37, expected total 2.61.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Rondinella: L-D-W-W-L in their last five matches.
Ternana: W-W-W-W-D in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Rondinella

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1356

Ternana

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)0.90
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1430
RondinellaTernana
Goals scored (season avg)
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.20
0.90
Best league winning streak this season
2
3
Elo strength rating
1356
1430

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Rondinella

Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Ternana

Won 5 in a row Unbeaten 9
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone E

Rondinella

2nd worst attack (0.70 goals/game, season) 2nd best clean sheets (4, season)

Ternana

3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone E teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Rondinella at home · Ternana away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Rondinella (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–1L
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2

Ternana (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–2L
W 1
D 2
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Rondinella (home)Ternana (away)
W 1
D 2
L 1
W 1
D 2
L 2
Played
4
5
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.00
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
2
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
13.76%
0–0
8.65%
2–2
5.29%
3–3
0.99%
4–4
0.11%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Rondinella

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Grassina Away 1–1 D
25/10 Robur Siena Away 0–1 L
18/10 Seravezza Home 0–0 D
11/10 Montevarchi Calcio Away 1–0 W
04/10 Progresso Home 2–1 W
27/09 Tau Altopascio Away 2–3 L
20/09 Lucchese Home 0–0 D
16/09 Scandicci Away 0–3 L
13/09 Prato Home 1–3 L
06/09 Mezzolara Away 0–0 D

Ternana

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Seravezza Home 3–0 W
28/10 Prato Away 2–1 W
25/10 Progresso Away 1–0 W
21/10 Recanatese Home 5–1 W
18/10 Robur Siena Home 2–1 W
11/10 Lucchese Away 2–2 D
04/10 Montevarchi Calcio Home 4–1 W
27/09 Scandicci Away 0–0 D
20/09 Tau Altopascio Home 3–0 W
16/09 Mezzolara Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone E

Rondinella #14 · 10 pts ·  Ternana #4 · 18 pts

Rondinella

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–4D–4L
W 2
D 4
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets4
Failed to score5
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Ternana

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–2L
W 5
D 3
L 2
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
RondinellaTernana
W 2
D 4
L 4
W 5
D 3
L 2
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
0.90
Clean sheets
4
3
Failed to score
5
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Rondinella

2
0-15
3
16-30
3
31-45
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
1
76-90
2
scored conceded

Ternana

0-15
3
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
61-75
2
2
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone E predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws