Robur Siena
Over 2.5 in 8/10
Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Robur Siena's last 10 matches
Italy Serie D - Girone E Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions
Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
🔍 More Italy League Tips
Serie A
Serie B
Serie C - Girone A
Campionato Primavera 1
Campionato Primavera 2
Coppa Italia Primavera
Coppa Italia Serie C
Coppa Italia Serie D
Serie A Women
Serie C - Girone B
Serie C - Girone C
Serie D - Girone A
Serie D - Girone B
Serie D - Girone C
Serie D - Girone D
Serie D - Girone F
Serie D - Girone G
Serie D - Girone H
Serie D - Girone I
Group E, Round 11
Sunday, November 08
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Goals O/U | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | LDLDW | WLWLD | 64.2% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | WDWLW | DLWDL | 48.6% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LDDWL | WLDDW | 61.2% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LDDDD | WDDDD | 54% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LWWLL | WLLWD | 49.3% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LWLDW | WDDLL | 53.7% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LLLLL | LDLDL | 80% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LWLDW | WDWDL | 65.3% | Over 2.5 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | DLDWW | WWWWW | 51.8% | Under 2.5 | N/A | — | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone E for Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Robur Siena
Over 2.5 in 8/10
Gavorrano
Under 2.5 in 8/10
Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Gavorrano's last 10 matches
Ternana
Over 2.5 in 8/10
Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Ternana's last 10 matches
Progresso
Scored 0 in 7/10
Progresso have failed to score in 7 of their last 10 matches
Lucchese
Over 2.5 in 7/10
Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Lucchese's last 10 matches
Sasso Marconi Zola
2+ conceded in 6/10
Sasso Marconi Zola have conceded 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 matches
Scandicci
2+ scored in 6/10
Scandicci scored 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 matches
Seravezza
Over 2.5 in 6/10
Over 2.5 goals in 6 of Seravezza's last 10 matches
📡
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
🎯
Match Result (1X2)
77.8%
7/9
⚽
Both Teams to Score
55.6%
5/9
📈
Over / Under 2.5
77.8%
7/9
🔢
Correct Score
11.1%
1/9
🛡️
Double Chance
100.0%
9/9
🤝
Draw Predictions
0.0%
0/1
📌
1X2 · home/away picks
87.5%
7/8
📌
1X2 · draw picks
0.0%
0/1
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
🎯
Match Result (1X2)
77.8%
7/9
⚽
Both Teams to Score
55.6%
5/9
📈
Over / Under 2.5
77.8%
7/9
🛡️
Double Chance
100.0%
9/9
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 44.4% | 75.0% | 8 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 61.4% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 53.9% | 83.3% | 6 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 64.1% | 0.0% | 3 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 63.8% | 100.0% | 3 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 51.1% | 66.7% | 6 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 74.9% | 100.0% | 7 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 83.1% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 64.7% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 26.4% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Group E, Round 10
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Goals O/U | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 16:30 | WDWLW | WLDDW | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | WDDDD | WLLWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | ----- | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | LWLDW | DWDWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | ----- | LDLDL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | ----- | LDDWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | ----- | WWLLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | LWLDW | LWWLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 0 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | WDWDL | WLWLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WDDLL | LWLDW | 62.5% | Under 2.5 ✅ | N/A | — | 2 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WDDDD | LWLDW | 48.4% | Over 2.5 ✅ | @2.041xBet | -1.3% | 3 – 2 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | LDLDL | WDWLW | 61.6% | Over 2.5 ✅ | N/A | — | 0 – 4 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | DLWDL | DLDWW | 57.1% | Under 2.5 ✅ | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WLDDW | LDDDD | 50.5% | Under 2.5 ❌ | @1.901xBet | -4.1% | 4 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WLWLD | LWWLL | 51.8% | Under 2.5 ✅ | @1.831xBet | -5.2% | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WLLWD | LLLLL | 67.2% | Over 2.5 ✅ | N/A | — | 4 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WWWWW | LDDWL | 53% | Over 2.5 ✅ | @1.881xBet | -0.4% | 3 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WDWDL | LDLDW | 45.7% | Under 2.5 ❌ | @1.971xBet | -10% | 3 – 2 FT |
