Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone E

Robur Siena vs Grassina

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group E - 11 • ☁️ 14.8°C, 6 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available66.7% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available88.5% —
BTTS No Current price not available54.5% · Yes 45.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available48.6% · Over 51.4% —
Correct Score 2-0 Current price not available13.2% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Robur Siena 66.7% · Draw 21.8% · Grassina 11.5%. Selected outcome: Robur Siena win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Robur Siena 2.02, Grassina 0.72, expected total 2.74.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Robur Siena: W-L-W-W-W in their last five matches.
Grassina: L-W-D-L-D in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Robur Siena

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season5
Elo strength rating1638

Grassina

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1353
Robur SienaGrassina
Goals scored (season avg)
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.10
1.70
Best league winning streak this season
5
1
Elo strength rating
1638
1353

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Robur Siena

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
4/6

Grassina

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone E

Robur Siena

2nd best attack (1.80 goals/game, season) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (67%, last 6) 2nd best clean sheets (4, season)

Grassina

2nd worst Over 2.5 rate (17%, last 6)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone E teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Robur Siena at home · Grassina away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Robur Siena (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–0D–0L
W 4
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.30
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0

Grassina (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–3D–2L
D 3
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Robur Siena (home)Grassina (away)
W 4
D 3
L 2
Played
4
5
Goals scored (avg)
2.30
0.40
Goals conceded (avg)
0.30
1.00
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
0
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–0
13.2%
1–0
12.13%
2–1
9.54%
3–0
8.88%
3–1
6.42%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Robur Siena

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano Away 4–0 W
28/10 Ancona Home 2–2 D
25/10 Rondinella Home 1–0 W
18/10 Ternana Away 1–2 L
11/10 Progresso Away 1–0 W
07/10 Flaminia Away 3–0 W
04/10 Seravezza Home 2–1 W
27/09 Lucchese Away 2–3 L
20/09 Montevarchi Calcio Home 3–0 W
16/09 Tau Altopascio Away 2–3 L

Grassina

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Rondinella Home 1–1 D
25/10 Montevarchi Calcio Away 0–1 L
18/10 Progresso Home 1–0 W
11/10 Tau Altopascio Away 1–1 D
04/10 Lucchese Home 3–6 L
27/09 Mezzolara Away 0–0 D
20/09 Scandicci Home 2–3 L
16/09 Prato Away 1–1 D
13/09 Flaminia Home 0–1 L
06/09 Gavorrano Away 0–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone E

Robur Siena #3 · 19 pts ·  Grassina #16 · 7 pts

Robur Siena

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–1D–3L
W 6
D 1
L 3
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets4
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Grassina

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–4D–5L
W 1
D 4
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Robur SienaGrassina
W 6
D 1
L 3
W 1
D 4
L 5
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.70
Clean sheets
4
2
Failed to score
0
4
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Robur Siena

2
0-15
1
4
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
46-60
5
2
61-75
4
1
76-90
4
scored conceded

Grassina

1
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
2
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone E predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws