Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Grassina's last 10 matches
Italy Serie D - Girone E Correct Score Football Predictions
Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
Serie A
Serie B
Serie C - Girone A
Campionato Primavera 1
Campionato Primavera 2
Coppa Italia Primavera
Coppa Italia Serie C
Coppa Italia Serie D
Serie A Women
Serie C - Girone B
Serie C - Girone C
Serie D - Girone A
Serie D - Girone B
Serie D - Girone C
Serie D - Girone D
Serie D - Girone F
Serie D - Girone G
Serie D - Girone H
Serie D - Girone I
Group E, Round 11
Sunday, November 08
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Score | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | LDLDW | WLWLD | 16.4% | 1-0 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | WDWLW | DLWDL | 13.2% | 2-0 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LDDWL | WLDDW | 9.4% | 2-1 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LDDDD | WDDDD | 14.1% | 1-1 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LWWLL | WLLWD | 10.1% | 1-0 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LWLDW | WDDLL | 9.9% | 2-1 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LLLLL | LDLDL | 22.9% | 0-0 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | LWLDW | WDWDL | 9.4% | 2-1 | N/A | — | — | |
| 16:30 | DLDWW | WWWWW | 13.8% | 1-1 | N/A | — | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone E for Correct Score
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Gavorrano's last 10 matches
Progresso have failed to score in 7 of their last 10 matches
Ternana scored 2+ goals in 7 of their last 10 matches
Lucchese have conceded 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 matches
Sasso Marconi Zola have conceded 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 matches
Scandicci scored 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 matches
Under 2.5 goals in 6 of Prato's last 10 matches
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 44.4% | 75.0% | 8 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 61.4% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 53.9% | 83.3% | 6 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 64.1% | 0.0% | 3 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 63.8% | 100.0% | 3 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 51.1% | 66.7% | 6 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 74.9% | 100.0% | 7 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 83.1% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 64.7% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 26.4% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Group E, Round 10
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Score | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 16:30 | WDWLW | WLDDW | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | WDDDD | WLLWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | ----- | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | LWLDW | DWDWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | ----- | LDLDL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | ----- | LDDWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | ----- | WWLLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | LWLDW | LWWLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 0 FT | |
| 02/11 16:30 | WDWDL | WLWLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WDDLL | LWLDW | 13.1% | 1-0 ❌ | N/A | — | 2 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WDDDD | LWLDW | 9.8% | 2-1 ❌ | N/A | — | 3 – 2 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | LDLDL | WDWLW | 9.5% | 1-2 ❌ | N/A | — | 0 – 4 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | DLWDL | DLDWW | 10.8% | 1-0 ❌ | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WLDDW | LDDDD | 12.3% | 1-0 ❌ | N/A | — | 4 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WLWLD | LWWLL | 10% | 1-0 ✅ | N/A | — | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WLLWD | LLLLL | 9.3% | 2-1 ❌ | N/A | — | 4 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WWWWW | LDDWL | 9.8% | 2-1 ❌ | N/A | — | 3 – 0 FT | |
| 01/11 16:30 | WDWDL | LDLDW | 11.9% | 1-1 ❌ | N/A | — | 3 – 2 FT |