Italy Serie D - Girone H Predictions and Betting Tips

Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Italy League Tips
Serie A Serie B Serie C - Girone A Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 2 Coppa Italia Primavera Coppa Italia Serie C Coppa Italia Serie D Serie A Women Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone C Serie D - Girone A Serie D - Girone B Serie D - Girone C Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone E Serie D - Girone F Serie D - Girone G Serie D - Girone I

Group H, Round 11

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
16:30 LDWLL
Melfi Melfi vs Brindisi Brindisi
WWWWW 44.2% Away N/A — —
16:30 LLLWL
Bisceglie Bisceglie vs Gladiator Gladiator
WWDDD 47.7% Home N/A — —
16:30 LLLDL
Nardò Nardò vs Turris Turris
LDDWW 51.9% Away N/A — —
16:30 LWDDL
Francavilla Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla
WWWLW 42.1% Away N/A — —
16:30 LLLLW
Nocerina Nocerina vs Real Forio 2014 Real Forio 2014
DLLLL 55.4% Home N/A — —
16:30 DWDDL
Real Normanna Real Normanna vs Manfredonia Manfredonia
WLWLW 45.3% Home N/A — —
16:30 LDWLW
USD Palmese USD Palmese vs Martina Franca Martina Franca
WDWWW 39.7% Away N/A — —
16:30 WDLWD
Ischia Ischia vs Gravina Gravina
WDDDL 40.4% Home N/A — —
16:30 LDLLD
Ebolitana Ebolitana vs Fidelis Andria Fidelis Andria
WLWWW 28.7% Draw N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone H

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

PredictLix Serie D - Girone H Facts and Insights

League facts from all completed matches · Updated: November 2, 2026, 05:15 UTC

Results and goal volume

Metric Current2026/27 · 90 matches Previous2025/26 · 311 matches Change
Home wins 54.4% 45.0% +9.4 pp
Draws 21.1% 27.7% -6.6 pp
Away wins 24.4% 27.3% -2.9 pp
Total goals per match 2.76 2.27 +0.49
Home goals per match 1.67 1.29 +0.38
Away goals per match 1.09 0.98 +0.11
First-half goals per match 1.37 1.05 +0.32
Over 1.5 goals 82.2% 62.1% +20.1 pp
Over 2.5 goals 55.6% 39.2% +16.4 pp
Over 3.5 goals 23.3% 21.2% +2.1 pp

Scoring and match patterns

Metric Current2026/27 · 90 matches Previous2025/26 · 311 matches Change
Over 4.5 goals 10.0% 10.9% -0.9 pp
First-half Over 1.5 goals 43.3% 26.7% +16.6 pp
First-half both teams scored 33.3% 16.1% +17.2 pp
Both teams scored 58.9% 42.4% +16.5 pp
BTTS and Over 2.5 47.8% 31.2% +16.6 pp
Goalless draws (0–0) 3.3% 12.2% -8.9 pp
Home clean sheets 30.0% 40.5% -10.5 pp
Away clean sheets 14.4% 29.3% -14.9 pp
One-goal winning margins 44.4% 45.0% -0.6 pp
Second-half Over 1.5 goals 38.9% 33.3% +5.6 pp

pp = percentage points. Final scores are listed with the home team first.

Most common final scores

Twelve scorelines in descending current-season frequency, continuing from the first table to the second.

Final score Current season2026/27 Previous season2025/26 Change
2–1 14.4%13 of 90 7.7%24 of 311 +6.7 pp
2–0 12.2%11 of 90 7.1%22 of 311 +5.1 pp
1–1 11.1%10 of 90 11.3%35 of 311 -0.1 pp
1–2 10.0%9 of 90 6.1%19 of 311 +3.9 pp
1–0 7.8%7 of 90 15.8%49 of 311 -8.0 pp
0–1 6.7%6 of 90 10.0%31 of 311 -3.3 pp
Final score Current season2026/27 Previous season2025/26 Change
3–0 6.7%6 of 90 3.5%11 of 311 +3.1 pp
2–2 5.6%5 of 90 3.5%11 of 311 +2.0 pp
3–1 5.6%5 of 90 1.9%6 of 311 +3.6 pp
0–0 3.3%3 of 90 12.2%38 of 311 -8.9 pp
0–2 3.3%3 of 90 4.5%14 of 311 -1.2 pp
3–2 3.3%3 of 90 3.9%12 of 311 -0.5 pp

Five key insights from the season data

  • Home wins rose to 54.4% this season from 45.0% last season, while draws fell to 21.1% from 27.7%. One possible explanation is that matches are being settled more often because early goals open the game up, which could reduce the cautious stalemates that produced draws last season.
  • Both teams scored in 58.9% of matches this season versus 42.4% last season. One possible explanation is that more open game states, reflected in the higher first-half scoring, may give both sides chances to score rather than one team protecting a lead.
  • Total goals per match climbed to 2.76 this season from 2.27 last season, with first-half goals up to 1.37 from 1.05. This pattern could reflect matches opening up earlier after an early goal, which may pull both teams into more end-to-end passages.
  • Over 1.5 goals occurred in 82.2% of matches this season versus 62.1% last season. One possible explanation is that early goals are arriving more often, so fewer matches stay at 0–0 or 1–0 deep into the second half.
  • Goalless draws dropped to 3.3% this season from 12.2% last season. One possible explanation is that the higher first-half scoring reduces the chance of a match reaching the interval without a goal, which could make a 0–0 finish less likely.

AI-selected and written from the verified figures above · Published: November 1, 2026, 19:16 UTC

Current Standings

Serie D - Girone H · 2026/27

Updated: Nov 2, 2026, 00:00 UTC
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1
Virtus Francavilla Leader
 10 8 0 2 19 11 +8 24
W W L W L
2
Martina Franca
10 7 1 2 20 9 +11 22
W D W W W
3
Brindisi
10 7 0 3 15 8 +7 21
W W W W W
4
Turris
10 5 4 1 16 9 +7 19
L D W W D
5
Gravina
10 4 5 1 18 12 +6 17
W D D D W
6
Manfredonia
10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17
W L W L W
7
Fidelis Andria
10 5 1 4 14 13 +1 16
W W W W W
8
Bisceglie
10 5 0 5 15 14 +1 15
L L L W L
9
Gladiator
10 4 3 3 17 17 0 15
W W D D D
10
Real Normanna
10 3 4 3 15 16 -1 13
D D D L L
11
Nocerina
10 4 1 5 14 15 -1 13
L L L L W
12
USD Palmese
10 3 2 5 16 19 -3 11
L D W L W
13
Ischia
10 2 3 5 13 16 -3 9
W D L W D
14
Ebolitana
10 2 3 5 8 16 -8 9
L D L L D
15
Real Forio 2014
10 2 2 6 13 17 -4 8
D L L L L
16
Francavilla
10 2 2 6 7 12 -5 8
L W D D L
17
Melfi
10 2 2 6 5 14 -9 8
L D W L L
18
Nardò
10 1 3 6 8 19 -11 4
L L L D L

League-only form: five most recent matches in this competition, newest first. Prediction tables show form across all competitions.

The current season is still in progress; the previous season is complete. Possible explanations are hypotheses based on score patterns, not verified causes. Regression towards last season’s level is a scenario, not a prediction.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

9 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
77.8% 7/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score
77.8% 7/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5
66.7% 6/9
🔢 Correct Score
33.3% 3/9
🛡️ Double Chance
88.9% 8/9
🤝 Draw Predictions
100.0% 1/1
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
75.0% 6/8
📌 1X2 · draw picks
100.0% 1/1

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 77.8% 7/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score 77.8% 7/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5 66.7% 6/9
🛡️ Double Chance 88.9% 8/9
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 50.4% 77.8% 9 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 62.6% 66.7% 3 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 53.6% 80.0% 5 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 70.2% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 51.4% 71.4% 7 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 71.3% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 12.5% 33.3% 9 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 83.4% 100.0% 5 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 75.0% 66.7% 3 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 64.1% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 27.7% 100.0% 1 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group H, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
01/11 16:30 WDWDL
Afragolese Afragolese vs Ferrandina Ferrandina
----- — No data N/A — 3 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 WDDDL
Gravina Gravina vs Sarnese Sarnese
WLWWW — No data N/A — 5 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 -----
Nola 1925 Nola 1925 vs Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla
WWWLW — No data N/A — 3 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 DWDDL
Real Normanna Real Normanna vs Pompei Pompei
----- — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
02/11 17:00 -----
Città di Fasano Città di Fasano vs Francavilla Francavilla
LWDDL — No data N/A — 3 – 2 FT
02/11 17:30 LLLDL
Nardò Nardò vs Real Acerrana Real Acerrana
----- — No data N/A — 4 – 0 FT
02/11 17:30 -----
Heraclea Heraclea vs Fidelis Andria Fidelis Andria
WLWWW — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
02/11 18:00 WDWWW
Martina Franca Martina Franca vs Barletta Barletta
DLWDL — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
02/11 21:00 DLLWL
Paganese Paganese vs Manfredonia Manfredonia
WLWLW — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WWWWW
Brindisi Brindisi vs Ebolitana Ebolitana
LDLLD 59.7% Home ✅ @1.691xBet +0.9% 2 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WDDDL
Gravina Gravina vs Nocerina Nocerina
LLLLW 41.3% Home ✅ @2.551xBet +5.3% 2 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 WLWLW
Manfredonia Manfredonia vs Melfi Melfi
LDWLL 59.6% Home ✅ N/A — 3 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 LDWLW
USD Palmese USD Palmese vs Ischia Ischia
WDLWD 48% Home ❌ @2.041xBet -2.1% 1 – 2 FT
01/11 16:30 DLLLL
Real Forio 2014 Real Forio 2014 vs Real Normanna Real Normanna
DWDDL 27.7% Draw ✅ N/A — 1 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 LDDWW
Turris Turris vs Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla
WWWLW 50% Home ❌ N/A — 1 – 2 FT
01/11 17:00 WLWWW
Fidelis Andria Fidelis Andria vs Francavilla Francavilla
LWDDL 56.7% Home ✅ @1.591xBet -9.8% 2 – 0 FT
01/11 17:00 WWDDD
Gladiator Gladiator vs Nardò Nardò
LLLDL 52.2% Home ✅ N/A — 2 – 1 FT
01/11 18:30 WDWWW
Martina Franca Martina Franca vs Bisceglie Bisceglie
LLLWL 58.3% Home ✅ N/A — 3 – 1 FT