USD Palmese vs Martina Franca
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group H - 11 • ☁️ 17.4°C, 5 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 39.7% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 78.5% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 78.5% · No 21.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 79.9% · Under 20.1% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Current price not available | 6.9% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
USD Palmese · Home
USD Palmese have scored in all five recent matches, including 4-2 against Nardò and 2-2 at Melfi, but they also conceded in four of those five. Their home results split sharply: a 1-2 loss to Ischia and a 2-0 win over Ebolitana.
Martina Franca · Away
Martina Franca are unbeaten in five, with four wins, three clean sheets and only two goals conceded. That run includes a 1-1 draw at Ischia and a 2-0 win at Ebolitana.
H2H draws, tight away edge
The latest head-to-head meetings were 2-2 and 3-3, plus an earlier 0-0, so this pairing has repeatedly finished level. Martina Franca's current defensive record of two goals conceded in five matches is the strongest counterweight to that pattern. Palmese's 11 goals in five show they can contribute to an open game, while the model's expected goals of 2.13 and 2.16 point to both sides scoring. The evidence supports Martina Franca win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 22:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: USD Palmese 2.13 – 2.16 Martina Franca · expected total 4.29
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
USD Palmese
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
USD Palmese
Martina Franca
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone H
USD Palmese
Martina Franca
Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone H teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
USD Palmese at home · Martina Franca away, the split that matters for this fixture.
USD Palmese (home)
Martina Franca (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Martina Franca 1 win · 3 draws · USD Palmese 0 wins · avg 4.3 goals · BTTS in 3 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb 2025 | Martina Franca | 2–2 | USD Palmese | Serie D - Girone H |
| 13 Oct 2024 | USD Palmese | 3–3 | Martina Franca | Serie D - Girone H |
| 18 Feb 2024 | Martina Franca | 0–0 | USD Palmese | Serie D - Girone H |
| 15 Oct 2023 | USD Palmese | 3–4 | Martina Franca | Serie D - Girone H |
📈 Recent Form
USD Palmese
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Ischia | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Melfi | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 18/10 | Ebolitana | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 11/10 | Bisceglie | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 04/10 | Nardò | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 01/10 | Juve Stabia | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 27/09 | Nocerina | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 20/09 | Real Normanna | Home | 3–4 | L |
| 16/09 | Francavilla | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 13/09 | Turris | Home | 0–0 | D |
Martina Franca
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Bisceglie | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 25/10 | Ischia | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Nocerina | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 11/10 | Ebolitana | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Francavilla | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 27/09 | Nardò | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Virtus Francavilla | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 16/09 | Real Normanna | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 13/09 | Real Forio 2014 | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 06/09 | Turris | Away | 3–4 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone H
USD Palmese #12 · 11 pts · Martina Franca #2 · 22 pts
USD Palmese
Martina Franca
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
USD Palmese
Martina Franca
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie D - Girone H predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws