Italy Serie D - Girone H Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions

Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Italy League Tips
Serie A Serie B Serie C - Girone A Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 2 Coppa Italia Primavera Coppa Italia Serie C Coppa Italia Serie D Serie A Women Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone C Serie D - Girone A Serie D - Girone B Serie D - Girone C Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone E Serie D - Girone F Serie D - Girone G Serie D - Girone I

Group H, Round 11

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
16:30 LDWLL
Melfi Melfi vs Brindisi Brindisi
WWWWW 51.5% Over 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LLLWL
Bisceglie Bisceglie vs Gladiator Gladiator
WWDDD 57.5% Over 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LLLDL
Nardò Nardò vs Turris Turris
LDDWW 60% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LWDDL
Francavilla Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla
WWWLW 66.2% Over 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LLLLW
Nocerina Nocerina vs Real Forio 2014 Real Forio 2014
DLLLL 57.9% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 DWDDL
Real Normanna Real Normanna vs Manfredonia Manfredonia
WLWLW 77.4% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LDWLW
USD Palmese USD Palmese vs Martina Franca Martina Franca
WDWWW 79.9% Over 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 WDLWD
Ischia Ischia vs Gravina Gravina
WDDDL 55.5% Under 2.5 N/A — —
16:30 LDLLD
Ebolitana Ebolitana vs Fidelis Andria Fidelis Andria
WLWWW 51.2% Under 2.5 N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone H for Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

9 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
77.8% 7/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score
77.8% 7/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5
66.7% 6/9
🔢 Correct Score
33.3% 3/9
🛡️ Double Chance
88.9% 8/9
🤝 Draw Predictions
100.0% 1/1
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
75.0% 6/8
📌 1X2 · draw picks
100.0% 1/1

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 77.8% 7/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score 77.8% 7/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5 66.7% 6/9
🛡️ Double Chance 88.9% 8/9
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 50.4% 77.8% 9 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 62.6% 66.7% 3 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 53.6% 80.0% 5 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 70.2% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 51.4% 71.4% 7 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 71.3% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 12.5% 33.3% 9 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 83.4% 100.0% 5 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 75.0% 66.7% 3 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 64.1% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 27.7% 100.0% 1 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group H, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
01/11 16:30 WDWDL
Afragolese Afragolese vs Ferrandina Ferrandina
----- — No data N/A — 3 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 WDDDL
Gravina Gravina vs Sarnese Sarnese
WLWWW — No data N/A — 5 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 -----
Nola 1925 Nola 1925 vs Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla
WWWLW — No data N/A — 3 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 DWDDL
Real Normanna Real Normanna vs Pompei Pompei
----- — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
02/11 17:00 -----
Città di Fasano Città di Fasano vs Francavilla Francavilla
LWDDL — No data N/A — 3 – 2 FT
02/11 17:30 LLLDL
Nardò Nardò vs Real Acerrana Real Acerrana
----- — No data N/A — 4 – 0 FT
02/11 17:30 -----
Heraclea Heraclea vs Fidelis Andria Fidelis Andria
WLWWW — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
02/11 18:00 WDWWW
Martina Franca Martina Franca vs Barletta Barletta
DLWDL — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
02/11 21:00 DLLWL
Paganese Paganese vs Manfredonia Manfredonia
WLWLW — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WWWWW
Brindisi Brindisi vs Ebolitana Ebolitana
LDLLD 47.4% Under 2.5 ✅ @1.871xBet -11.4% 2 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WDDDL
Gravina Gravina vs Nocerina Nocerina
LLLLW 47.2% Over 2.5 ✅ @2.221xBet +4.8% 2 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 WLWLW
Manfredonia Manfredonia vs Melfi Melfi
LDWLL 53.7% Under 2.5 ❌ N/A — 3 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 LDWLW
USD Palmese USD Palmese vs Ischia Ischia
WDLWD 51% Under 2.5 ❌ @1.851xBet -5.6% 1 – 2 FT
01/11 16:30 DLLLL
Real Forio 2014 Real Forio 2014 vs Real Normanna Real Normanna
DWDDL 47.2% Under 2.5 ✅ N/A — 1 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 LDDWW
Turris Turris vs Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla
WWWLW 71% Over 2.5 ✅ N/A — 1 – 2 FT
01/11 17:00 WLWWW
Fidelis Andria Fidelis Andria vs Francavilla Francavilla
LWDDL 56.6% Under 2.5 ✅ @1.761xBet -0.4% 2 – 0 FT
01/11 17:00 WWDDD
Gladiator Gladiator vs Nardò Nardò
LLLDL 71.6% Under 2.5 ❌ N/A — 2 – 1 FT
01/11 18:30 WDWWW
Martina Franca Martina Franca vs Bisceglie Bisceglie
LLLWL 57% Over 2.5 ✅ N/A — 3 – 1 FT