Predictions → Italy Serie D - Girone H

Nocerina vs Real Forio 2014

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Group H - 11 • ☁️ 17.5°C, 6 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available55.4% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available82.8% —
BTTS No Current price not available55.7% · Yes 44.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available57.9% · Over 42.1% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available13.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Nocerina 55.4% · Draw 27.4% · Real Forio 2014 17.2%. Selected outcome: Nocerina win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Nocerina 1.59, Real Forio 2014 0.78, expected total 2.37.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Nocerina: L-L-L-W-W in their last five matches.
Real Forio 2014: L-L-L-L-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Nocerina

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1322

Real Forio 2014

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.80
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1327
NocerinaReal Forio 2014
Goals scored (season avg)
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
1.80
Best league winning streak this season
2
1
Elo strength rating
1322
1327

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Nocerina

Lost 4 in a row Winless 4
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Real Forio 2014

Winless 7
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie D - Girone H

Nocerina

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Real Forio 2014

2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (67%, last 6) 2nd worst clean sheets (0, season)

Rank among 18 Serie D - Girone H teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Nocerina at home · Real Forio 2014 away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Nocerina (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–0D–2L
W 3
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Real Forio 2014 (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–4L
D 1
L 4
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
Nocerina (home)Real Forio 2014 (away)
W 3
L 2
D 1
L 4
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
2.00
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
13.73%
2–0
11.82%
2–1
9.23%
3–0
6.26%
3–1
4.88%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Nocerina

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Gravina Away 1–2 L
25/10 Gladiator Home 1–2 L
18/10 Martina Franca Away 0–2 L
11/10 Brindisi Home 0–1 L
04/10 Melfi Away 1–0 W
27/09 USD Palmese Home 3–0 W
20/09 Bisceglie Away 1–3 L
16/09 Ischia Home 3–2 W
12/09 Manfredonia Away 2–2 D
06/09 Ebolitana Home 2–1 W

Real Forio 2014

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Real Normanna Home 1–1 D
25/10 Francavilla Away 1–2 L
18/10 Turris Home 1–2 L
11/10 Virtus Francavilla Away 0–2 L
04/10 Fidelis Andria Away 1–2 L
27/09 Manfredonia Home 1–2 L
20/09 Gravina Away 2–2 D
16/09 Gladiator Home 2–1 W
13/09 Martina Franca Away 0–2 L
06/09 Brindisi Home 4–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: Serie D - Girone H

Nocerina #11 · 13 pts ·  Real Forio 2014 #15 · 8 pts

Nocerina

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–5L
W 4
D 1
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Real Forio 2014

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–6L
W 2
D 2
L 6
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
NocerinaReal Forio 2014
W 4
D 1
L 5
W 2
D 2
L 6
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.80
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
2
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Nocerina

3
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
4
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
61-75
2
2
76-90
5
scored conceded

Real Forio 2014

3
0-15
1
4
16-30
1
2
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
1
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie D - Girone H predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws