Italy Serie D - Girone H Draw Football Predictions

Round 11 • 1 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

Group H, Round 11

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
16:30 LDLLD WLWWW 28.7% Draw N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

How to Read the Prediction Table

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Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

9 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
77.8% 7/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score
77.8% 7/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5
66.7% 6/9
🔢 Correct Score
33.3% 3/9
🛡️ Double Chance
88.9% 8/9
🤝 Draw Predictions
100.0% 1/1
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
75.0% 6/8
📌 1X2 · draw picks
100.0% 1/1

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 77.8% 7/9
⚽ Both Teams to Score 77.8% 7/9
📈 Over / Under 2.5 66.7% 6/9
🛡️ Double Chance 88.9% 8/9
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 9/9. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 1/1. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 50.4% 77.8% 9 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 62.6% 66.7% 3 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 53.6% 80.0% 5 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 70.2% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 51.4% 71.4% 7 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 71.3% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 12.5% 33.3% 9 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 83.4% 100.0% 5 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 75.0% 66.7% 3 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 64.1% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 27.7% 100.0% 1 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group H, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Draw Odds Model EV Result
01/11 16:30 DLLLL DWDDL 27.7% Draw ✅ N/A — 1 – 1 FT