Italy Serie D - Girone A Predictions and Betting Tips

Round 11 • 9 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🤝 Draws
🔍 More Italy League Tips
Serie A Serie B Serie C - Girone A Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 2 Coppa Italia Primavera Coppa Italia Serie C Coppa Italia Serie D Serie A Women Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone C Serie D - Girone B Serie D - Girone C Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone E Serie D - Girone F Serie D - Girone G Serie D - Girone H Serie D - Girone I

Group A, Round 11

Saturday, November 07

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
18:30 LWLLL
Fezzanese Fezzanese vs Borgosesia Borgosesia
LWWLL 33.3% Draw N/A — —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

Sunday, November 08

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
16:30 WWWWL
Alessandria Alessandria vs Celle Varazze Celle Varazze
WLDLL 72.9% Home N/A — —
16:30 DLLLW
Gozzano Gozzano vs Derthona Derthona
WDDLL 30% Draw N/A — —
16:30 WLDLW
Asti Asti vs Sanremese Sanremese
DWDWD 41% Home N/A — —
16:30 DWLWD
Imperia Imperia vs Saluzzo Saluzzo
DDLDL 51.9% Home N/A — —
16:30 DDLDW
Sestri Levante Sestri Levante vs Bra Bra
LDWDW 42.9% Home N/A — —
16:30 LWLLD
Valenzana Valenzana vs Chisola Chisola
WWWWW 56.8% Away N/A — —
16:30 LLLWD
Lascaris Lascaris vs Biellese Biellese
WLLWL 31.1% Draw N/A — —
16:30 LDWWL
Millesimo Millesimo vs Ligorna Ligorna
DWLWW 45.1% Home N/A — —

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — Serie D - Girone A

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

PredictLix Serie D - Girone A Facts and Insights

League facts from all completed matches · Updated: November 2, 2026, 05:15 UTC

Results and goal volume

Metric Current2026/27 · 89 matches Previous2025/26 · 310 matches Change
Home wins 40.4% 38.4% +2.0 pp
Draws 27.0% 25.8% +1.2 pp
Away wins 32.6% 35.8% -3.2 pp
Total goals per match 2.54 2.47 +0.07
Home goals per match 1.36 1.33 +0.03
Away goals per match 1.18 1.14 +0.04
First-half goals per match 1.42 1.07 +0.35
Over 1.5 goals 76.4% 69.7% +6.7 pp
Over 2.5 goals 46.1% 41.9% +4.2 pp
Over 3.5 goals 23.6% 23.9% -0.3 pp

Scoring and match patterns

Metric Current2026/27 · 89 matches Previous2025/26 · 310 matches Change
Over 4.5 goals 11.2% 11.0% +0.2 pp
First-half Over 1.5 goals 43.2% 29.7% +13.5 pp
First-half both teams scored 25.0% 16.5% +8.5 pp
Both teams scored 50.6% 48.4% +2.2 pp
BTTS and Over 2.5 37.1% 34.2% +2.9 pp
Goalless draws (0–0) 9.0% 8.1% +0.9 pp
Home clean sheets 30.3% 31.6% -1.3 pp
Away clean sheets 28.1% 28.1% 0.0 pp
One-goal winning margins 34.8% 41.6% -6.8 pp
Second-half Over 1.5 goals 28.4% 39.5% -11.1 pp

pp = percentage points. Final scores are listed with the home team first. First-half sample: 2026/27: 88 matches with half-time scores.

Most common final scores

Twelve scorelines in descending current-season frequency, continuing from the first table to the second.

Final score Current season2026/27 Previous season2025/26 Change
1–1 13.5%12 of 89 14.2%44 of 310 -0.7 pp
2–0 12.4%11 of 89 8.7%27 of 310 +3.6 pp
1–2 9.0%8 of 89 8.4%26 of 310 +0.6 pp
0–0 9.0%8 of 89 8.1%25 of 310 +0.9 pp
0–1 7.9%7 of 89 12.6%39 of 310 -4.7 pp
2–1 7.9%7 of 89 6.1%19 of 310 +1.7 pp
Final score Current season2026/27 Previous season2025/26 Change
1–0 6.7%6 of 89 9.7%30 of 310 -2.9 pp
0–2 4.5%4 of 89 4.8%15 of 310 -0.3 pp
2–2 4.5%4 of 89 3.5%11 of 310 +0.9 pp
4–1 4.5%4 of 89 0.3%1 of 310 +4.2 pp
0–3 3.4%3 of 89 1.0%3 of 310 +2.4 pp
0–4 3.4%3 of 89 0.6%2 of 310 +2.7 pp

Five key insights from the season data

  • Home wins are 40.4% this season versus 38.4% last season, while away wins fell to 32.6% from 35.8%. One possible explanation is that more matches are being decided by the home side after an early goal, with the leading team managing the game state rather than the contest opening up late.
  • First-half goals rose to 1.42 per match this season from 1.07 last season, and first-half Over 1.5 jumped to 43.2% from 29.7%. This could reflect more aggressive opening approaches or earlier game-state effects, with teams pushing before settling into shape.
  • Both teams scored in 50.6% of matches this season versus 48.4% last season, a small rise. One possible explanation is that matches are opening up after an early goal, allowing the trailing side more transition space, though the pattern remains close to last season's level.
  • Over 1.5 goals occurred in 76.4% of matches this season versus 69.7% last season, while Over 3.5 stayed essentially flat at 23.6% versus 23.9%. This could mean goals are arriving earlier and more reliably reaching two, without matches becoming substantially higher-scoring overall.
  • One-goal winning margins fell to 34.8% this season from 41.6% last season, alongside a rise in first-half scoring. One possible explanation is that early goals are forcing chasing teams to open up, producing more multi-goal separations; a regression towards last season's margin profile is possible over the remaining matches, but it is not guaranteed.

AI-selected and written from the verified figures above · Published: November 1, 2026, 17:16 UTC

Current Standings

Serie D - Girone A · 2026/27

Updated: Nov 2, 2026, 00:00 UTC
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1
Alessandria Leader
 10 9 0 1 21 10 +11 27
W W W W W
2
Chisola
10 6 2 2 24 12 +12 20
W W W W W
3
Biellese
10 6 2 2 21 11 +10 20
W L W L W
4
Ligorna
10 5 2 3 17 12 +5 17
D W L W W
5
Derthona
10 4 4 2 14 14 0 16
W D D L L
6
Millesimo
10 5 1 4 17 11 +6 16
L D W W L
7
Imperia
10 4 3 3 13 11 +2 15
D W L W D
8
Asti
10 4 2 4 11 12 -1 14
W L D L W
9
Gozzano
10 4 2 4 12 15 -3 14
D W L L L
10
Sanremese
10 3 5 2 12 9 +3 14
D D W D W
11
Saluzzo
10 2 6 2 10 10 0 12
D D L D L
12
Borgosesia
10 3 3 4 13 15 -2 12
L W W L L
13
Lascaris
10 3 2 5 9 14 -5 11
L L L W D
14
Fezzanese
10 3 1 6 8 15 -7 10
L W L L L
15
Bra
10 2 4 4 8 14 -6 10
L D W D W
16
Sestri Levante
10 2 4 4 7 10 -3 10
D D L D W
17
Valenzana
10 1 2 7 10 18 -8 5
L L L D W
18
Celle Varazze
10 1 1 8 5 19 -14 4
W L L D L

League-only form: five most recent matches in this competition, newest first. Prediction tables show form across all competitions.

The current season is still in progress; the previous season is complete. Possible explanations are hypotheses based on score patterns, not verified causes. Regression towards last season’s level is a scenario, not a prediction.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

8 matches analysed Updated Nov 1, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
62.5% 5/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score
62.5% 5/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5
62.5% 5/8
🔢 Correct Score
0.0% 0/8
🛡️ Double Chance
87.5% 7/8
🤝 Draw Predictions
50.0% 1/2
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
66.7% 4/6
📌 1X2 · draw picks
50.0% 1/2

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 62.5% 5/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score 62.5% 5/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5 62.5% 5/8
🛡️ Double Chance 87.5% 7/8
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 8/8. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 2/2. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 45.5% 62.5% 8 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 62.9% 66.7% 3 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 55.0% 60.0% 5 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 52.2% 71.4% 7 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 60.4% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 11.2% 0.0% 8 (small sample)
Double Chance · 70-79% 76.0% 100.0% 4 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 67.6% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 81.5% 100.0% 2 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 28.4% 50.0% 2 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Group A, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
02/11 16:30 LDWWL
Città di Varese Città di Varese vs Asti Asti
WLDLW — No data N/A — 0 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 WDDLL
Derthona Derthona vs Cairese Cairese
----- — No data N/A — 1 – 2 FT
02/11 16:30 DDLDL
Saluzzo Saluzzo vs Chisola Chisola
WWWWW — No data N/A — 2 – 3 FT
02/11 16:30 DDLDW
Sestri Levante Sestri Levante vs Valenzana Valenzana
LWLLD — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
02/11 16:30 LDLWL
Club Milano Club Milano vs Gozzano Gozzano
DLLLW — No data N/A — 2 – 1 FT
02/11 17:00 DWLWW
Ligorna Ligorna vs Vado Vado
DWDWW — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
02/11 17:00 DWDWD
Sanremese Sanremese vs NovaRomentin NovaRomentin
----- — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
02/11 17:00 DWLWD
Imperia Imperia vs Lavagnese Lavagnese
----- — No data N/A — 1 – 2 FT
02/11 17:00 WLDLL
Celle Varazze Celle Varazze vs Biellese Biellese
WLLWL — No data N/A — 3 – 1 FT
31/10 16:30 LWLLL
Fezzanese Fezzanese vs Asti Asti
WLDLW — No data N/A — 0 – 2 FT
01/11 16:30 LWWLL
Borgosesia Borgosesia vs Alessandria Alessandria
WWWWL 45.7% Away ✅ @2.00Pinnacle -8.6% 1 – 3 FT
01/11 16:30 WLDLL
Celle Varazze Celle Varazze vs Valenzana Valenzana
LWLLD 27.9% Draw ❌ @3.44Pinnacle -4% 2 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 WWWWW
Chisola Chisola vs Bra Bra
LDWDW 55.5% Home ✅ @1.75Betano -2.9% 5 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 DWLWW
Ligorna Ligorna vs Sestri Levante Sestri Levante
DDLDW 58.1% Home ❌ @1.67Bet365 -3% 0 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 DDLDL
Saluzzo Saluzzo vs Gozzano Gozzano
DLLLW 28.9% Draw ✅ @3.05Dafabet -11.9% 0 – 0 FT
01/11 16:30 WLLWL
Biellese Biellese vs Millesimo Millesimo
LDWWL 54.8% Home ✅ @1.72Dafabet -5.7% 4 – 1 FT
01/11 16:30 WDDLL
Derthona Derthona vs Lascaris Lascaris
LLLWD 43.2% Home ✅ @2.17Pinnacle -6.3% 4 – 3 FT
01/11 17:00 DWDWD
Sanremese Sanremese vs Imperia Imperia
DWLWD 49.8% Home ❌ @2.00Betano -0.4% 0 – 0 FT